| Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? | No | 4,654 | 99.3¢ | 99.8¢ | $4,642 | +$22 | −$2.16 | |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 5,000 | 50¢ | 82.1¢ | $4,103 | +$1,603 | $0 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 1000+ tweets in October 2026? | Yes | 2,800 | 16¢ | 76¢ | $2,128 | +$1,679 | +$406 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? | Yes | 4,900 | 4.3¢ | 42.9¢ | $2,100 | +$1,891 | +$268 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? | No | 2,200 | 86.2¢ | 85.3¢ | $1,877 | −$19 | −$291 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? | No | 1,900 | 90.6¢ | 93¢ | $1,766 | +$45 | −$341 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? | Yes | 5,000 | 5.3¢ | 32.5¢ | $1,623 | +$1,359 | +$705 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026? | No | 1,600 | 92.8¢ | 88.9¢ | $1,423 | −$62 | −$1.93 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? | No | 1,700 | 83.4¢ | 57.2¢ | $972 | −$446 | −$247 | |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 5,000 | 50¢ | 18¢ | $898 | −$1,603 | $0 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026? | No | 900 | 94.8¢ | 95.6¢ | $860 | +$6.35 | −$201 | |
| Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31 2027? | No | 800 | 95.7¢ | 98.1¢ | $784 | +$19 | $0 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026? | No | 800 | 96.4¢ | 95¢ | $760 | −$11 | −$53 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? | No | 700 | 95.5¢ | 98.3¢ | $688 | +$19 | −$223 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026? | No | 700 | 98¢ | 96.7¢ | $677 | −$9.15 | $0 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026? | No | 700 | 93.7¢ | 89.5¢ | $627 | −$29 | −$33 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? | Yes | 4,200 | 2.7¢ | 14.7¢ | $617 | +$504 | +$518 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026? | No | 600 | 98.4¢ | 97.4¢ | $584 | −$6.40 | $0 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026? | No | 600 | 97.9¢ | 95.7¢ | $574 | −$13 | −$2.10 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026? | No | 600 | 97.3¢ | 94.8¢ | $569 | −$15 | $0 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026? | No | 600 | 96.4¢ | 92.6¢ | $556 | −$23 | −$0.34 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026? | No | 500 | 98.6¢ | 97.9¢ | $489 | −$3.55 | −$3.25 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026? | No | 500 | 98.4¢ | 97.6¢ | $488 | −$4.25 | $0 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026? | No | 540 | 96¢ | 90.1¢ | $487 | −$32 | −$6.18 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026? | No | 500 | 93.9¢ | 92.3¢ | $462 | −$8.10 | −$124 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026? | No | 500 | 96.2¢ | 91.1¢ | $456 | −$25 | −$54 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? | No | 400 | 98.6¢ | 100¢ | $400 | +$5.21 | −$135 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 700-719 tweets in October 2026? | No | 400 | 99.2¢ | 99.4¢ | $398 | +$0.61 | −$12 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026? | No | 400 | 99¢ | 98.5¢ | $394 | −$1.90 | $0 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026? | No | 400 | 94¢ | 97.1¢ | $388 | +$12 | +$12 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026? | No | 400 | 94.5¢ | 87.6¢ | $350 | −$28 | +$3.32 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026? | No | 300 | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | $300 | +$0.15 | $0 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026? | No | 300 | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | $300 | +$0.15 | $0 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026? | No | 300 | 99.4¢ | 99¢ | $297 | −$1.20 | $0 | |
| 10.0 or above earthquake before 2027? | No | 300 | 94.4¢ | 98.8¢ | $296 | +$13 | $0 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026? | No | 300 | 99.4¢ | 98.7¢ | $296 | −$2.10 | $0 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026? | No | 300 | 99.4¢ | 98.7¢ | $296 | −$2.25 | $0 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026? | No | 285 | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | $285 | +$0.14 | $0 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026? | No | 285 | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | $285 | +$0.14 | $0 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026? | No | 300 | 97.1¢ | 94.9¢ | $285 | −$6.65 | −$54 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026? | No | 300 | 92.4¢ | 94.7¢ | $284 | +$6.89 | −$31 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026? | No | 300 | 96.2¢ | 87.7¢ | $263 | −$25 | −$0.39 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? | No | 300 | 71.7¢ | 67.6¢ | $203 | −$12 | −$212 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026? | No | 200 | 99.2¢ | 100¢ | $200 | +$1.50 | +$105 | |
| Will Anthropic IPO by October 15, 2026? | No | 200 | 89¢ | 100¢ | $200 | +$22 | $0 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026? | No | 200 | 99.5¢ | 99.7¢ | $199 | +$0.20 | $0 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026? | No | 200 | 95¢ | 94.5¢ | $189 | −$0.95 | +$14 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026? | No | 200 | 94.9¢ | 91.3¢ | $183 | −$7.33 | +$0.14 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026? | No | 200 | 92¢ | 90.4¢ | $181 | −$3.30 | +$5.31 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? | Yes | 2,300 | 5¢ | 7¢ | $162 | +$47 | +$299 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026? | Yes | 1,200 | 4.7¢ | 11.1¢ | $133 | +$76 | +$17 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026? | Yes | 1,000 | 4.4¢ | 12.3¢ | $123 | +$79 | −$8.26 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026? | Yes | 1,200 | 4.8¢ | 9.9¢ | $119 | +$61 | −$11 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026? | Yes | 1,500 | 4.8¢ | 7.7¢ | $116 | +$43 | +$147 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026? | Yes | 1,100 | 4.3¢ | 10.5¢ | $116 | +$68 | +$67 | |
| Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? | Yes | 200 | 17¢ | 55.5¢ | $111 | +$77 | $0 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026? | No | 100 | 99¢ | 100¢ | $100 | +$0.95 | +$134 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? | No | 100 | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | $100 | +$0.30 | −$63 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026? | No | 100 | 99.8¢ | 99.8¢ | $100 | −$0.05 | $0 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026? | No | 100 | 98.1¢ | 99.7¢ | $100 | +$1.55 | +$70 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026? | No | 100 | 98.5¢ | 99.2¢ | $99 | +$0.65 | −$2.35 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026? | No | 100 | 96.2¢ | 98.7¢ | $99 | +$2.47 | +$38 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026? | Yes | 1,100 | 4.9¢ | 8.9¢ | $97 | +$43 | +$33 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026? | No | 100 | 97¢ | 96.9¢ | $97 | −$0.10 | −$0.08 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026? | No | 100 | 92¢ | 92.5¢ | $93 | +$0.50 | +$36 | |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day? | No | 100 | 93¢ | 92.4¢ | $92 | −$0.65 | $0 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026? | No | 100 | 89.9¢ | 91.5¢ | $92 | +$1.55 | +$36 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026? | No | 100 | 89¢ | 90.5¢ | $91 | +$1.50 | +$12 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 960-999 tweets in October 2026? | Yes | 1,351 | 2.2¢ | 6.7¢ | $90 | +$60 | +$129 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026? | No | 100 | 89¢ | 89.5¢ | $90 | +$0.50 | +$23 | |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day? | No | 100 | 81¢ | 80.5¢ | $81 | −$0.50 | $0 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026? | Yes | 626 | 4.9¢ | 12.5¢ | $78 | +$47 | +$11 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026? | Yes | 1,500 | 3.5¢ | 4.5¢ | $67 | +$15 | +$194 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026? | Yes | 1,279 | 4.7¢ | 5.1¢ | $65 | +$4.70 | +$31 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026? | Yes | 1,200 | 4.8¢ | 5¢ | $60 | +$2.21 | +$30 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026? | Yes | 1,100 | 4.8¢ | 5.3¢ | $58 | +$5.22 | +$49 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 920-959 tweets in October 2026? | Yes | 1,700 | 2.2¢ | 3.3¢ | $56 | +$19 | +$81 | |
| Will there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? | Yes | 200 | 17¢ | 28¢ | $56 | +$22 | $0 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 840-879 tweets in October 2026? | Yes | 2,100 | 2.5¢ | 2.6¢ | $54 | +$0.58 | +$86 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? | Yes | 2,820 | 3.6¢ | 1.8¢ | $49 | −$54 | +$104 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026? | Yes | 1,500 | 4.4¢ | 2.9¢ | $44 | −$23 | −$1.06 | |
| Will there be between 17 and 19 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? | Yes | 200 | 17¢ | 21¢ | $42 | +$8.04 | $0 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 880-919 tweets in October 2026? | Yes | 1,331 | 2.2¢ | 2.9¢ | $39 | +$9.64 | +$60 | |
| Anthropic IPO closing market cap above $2T? | Yes | 50 | 66.4¢ | 68.5¢ | $34 | +$1.05 | $0 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 800-839 tweets in October 2026? | Yes | 1,314 | 2.2¢ | 2.4¢ | $31 | +$2.30 | +$55 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026? | Yes | 1,900 | 3.6¢ | 1.4¢ | $26 | −$42 | −$16 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 760-779 tweets in October 2026? | Yes | 2,049 | 2.2¢ | 1.3¢ | $26 | −$20 | −$1.04 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 780-799 tweets in October 2026? | Yes | 2,033 | 2.2¢ | 1.3¢ | $25 | −$19 | +$1.56 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 720-739 tweets in October 2026? | Yes | 2,675 | 2.2¢ | 1¢ | $25 | −$33 | −$2.74 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 740-759 tweets in October 2026? | Yes | 2,610 | 2.2¢ | 0.7¢ | $18 | −$38 | −$3.17 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026? | Yes | 4,200 | 2.2¢ | 0.4¢ | $15 | −$80 | −$7.70 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 680-699 tweets in October 2026? | Yes | 2,353 | 2.2¢ | 0.5¢ | $12 | −$39 | −$6.31 | |
| Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027? | Yes | 500 | 0.5¢ | 2.3¢ | $11 | +$8.99 | $0 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026? | Yes | 200 | 3.8¢ | 5.3¢ | $11 | +$2.81 | $0 | |
| Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027? | Yes | 300 | 2.4¢ | 2.9¢ | $8.55 | +$1.47 | $0 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026? | Yes | 100 | 3.8¢ | 7.4¢ | $7.40 | +$3.55 | $0 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026? | Yes | 200 | 3.8¢ | 3.4¢ | $6.70 | −$0.99 | $0 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 660-679 tweets in October 2026? | Yes | 2,568 | 2.2¢ | 0.3¢ | $6.42 | −$49 | −$1.71 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026? | Yes | 200 | 3.8¢ | 2.7¢ | $5.30 | −$2.39 | $0 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026? | Yes | 200 | 3.8¢ | 2.5¢ | $4.90 | −$2.79 | $0 | |