PnL all-time−$802vol $151k
PnL 30d+$106gains $225 · losses $40
PnL 7d+$106win rate 7d 88.5%
Win rate48.0%adj 48.4% · 30d 88.5%
Open value$45cash n/a
Positions29 / 131open / all-time
Max drawdown0%of equity peak
Account age9molast trade 1h ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
Not enough history to draw an equity curve.
SharpScore inputs
43/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 48.0% · shrunk toward 50%21
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable71
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d100
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity100
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from January 15 to January 17, 2026? · Noclosed+$288Will the highest temperature in London be 6°C on January 26? · Yesclosed+$163Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026? · Yesclosed+$114Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on October 17? · Noclosed+$72Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026? · Yesclosed+$51
Worst markets
Will the highest temperature in London be 9°C or higher on January 27? · Noclosed−$180Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026? · Yesclosed−$157Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026? · Yesclosed−$130Will the highest temperature in London be 7°C on January 27? · Yesclosed−$120Will Ethereum reach $3,200 December 29-January 4? · Noclosed−$120
Open positions · 6
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on October 17? | Yes | 17 | 54¢ | 99.5¢ | $17 | +$7.58 | $0 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 31°C on October 17? | No | 13 | 70¢ | 94.5¢ | $12 | +$3.15 | $0 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on October 17? | Yes | 5 | 55¢ | 98.1¢ | $5.35 | +$2.35 | $0 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 17? | No | 5 | 56¢ | 98.7¢ | $5.29 | +$2.29 | $0 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C on October 17? | No | 4 | 70¢ | 62¢ | $2.66 | −$0.34 | $0 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 17? | Yes | 5 | 62¢ | 28.5¢ | $1.38 | −$1.62 | $0 |
Recent trades
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