PnL all-time−$625vol $26.4k
PnL 30d−$355gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d−$341win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate66.7%adj 53.8% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$9,151cash n/a
Positions14 / 20open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age9molast trade 2d ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL−$1,672below peak −$1,715Oct 9
SharpScore inputs
16/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 66.7% · shrunk toward 50%34
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable43
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d92
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Worst markets
Open positions · 14
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? | Yes | 13.7k | 74.5¢ | 66.5¢ | $9,140 | −$1,106 | $0 | |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | Yes | 250 | 40¢ | 4.5¢ | $11 | −$89 | $0 | |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting? | Yes | 5,000 | 0.4¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$20 | $0 | |
| Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Yes | 1,818 | 11¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$200 | $0 | |
| Will OG Anunoby win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? | Yes | 726 | 3.4¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$25 | +$110 | |
| Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? | Yes | 408 | 24.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$100 | $0 | |
| Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026? | Yes | 333 | 9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$30 | $0 | |
| Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in January? | No | 271 | 36.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$100 | $0 | |
| Warriors vs. Suns | Warriors | 234 | 42.7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$100 | $0 | |
| Norway vs. England: Neither team to score first? | Yes | 167 | 6¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$10.00 | −$0.28 | |
| Celtics vs. Pacers | Celtics | 149 | 67¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$100 | $0 | |
| Exact Score: Norway 2 - 1 England? | Yes | 125 | 8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$10 | −$0.46 | |
| Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina? | Yes | 125 | 4¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$5.00 | −$0.24 | |
| Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 1 Norway? | Yes | 83 | 12¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$10.00 | −$0.26 |
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