PnL all-time−$157vol $5,012
PnL 30d−$1.07gains $103 · losses $0
PnL 7d+$78win rate 7d 100.0%
Win rate50.0%adj 50.0% · 30d 100.0%
Open value$596cash n/a
Positions11 / 19open / all-time
Max drawdown−69.6%of equity peak
Account age9molast trade 2d ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL−$410below peak −$538Oct 14
SharpScore inputs
18/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 50.0% · shrunk toward 50%25
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable43
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d91
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity30
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Worst markets
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30? · Noclosed−$100Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? · Noclosed−$100Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · Noopen−$68AI bubble burst in 2026? · Yesopen−$61Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026? · Yesclosed−$54
Open positions · 10
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthropic IPO before 2027? | No | 1,433 | 29.2¢ | 28.5¢ | $408 | −$11 | $0 | |
| OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? | No | 55 | 92¢ | 86.5¢ | $48 | −$3.02 | $0 | |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | No | 199 | 54.9¢ | 20.5¢ | $41 | −$68 | $0 | |
| AI bubble burst in 2026? | Yes | 630 | 16¢ | 6.3¢ | $39 | −$61 | $0 | |
| Will Perplexity not IPO by December 31, 2027? | Yes | 53 | 91¢ | 67.5¢ | $36 | −$12 | $0 | |
| OpenAI acquired before 2027? | Yes | 290 | 7¢ | 2.7¢ | $7.68 | −$13 | $0 | |
| Anthropic acquired before 2027? | Yes | 190 | 11¢ | 2.9¢ | $5.42 | −$15 | $0 | |
| Will Lovable be acquired before 2027? | Yes | 120 | 34¢ | 4¢ | $4.74 | −$36 | $0 | |
| Stripe IPO before 2027? | Yes | 136 | 37¢ | 3.1¢ | $4.22 | −$46 | $0 | |
| Ramp IPO before 2027? | Yes | 100 | 18¢ | 2.3¢ | $2.25 | −$16 | $0 |
Recent trades
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