sharpside
LIVE--:--:-- UTCdata as of —24h vol —trades —whale trades —markets —Polymarket flow, ranked — who’s sharp, who’s early, where size is moving.
Traders/Rank #18,121

NicholasBass3478

0x695…cb02
PoliticsSportCultureCryptoOther
Polymarket
PnL all-time−$749vol $156k
PnL 30d−$7.17gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d−$0.24win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate50.5%adj 50.4% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$575cash n/a
Positions27 / 271open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age11molast trade 6mo ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL−$758below peak −$1,292Oct 14

SharpScore inputs

24/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 50.5% · shrunk toward 50%26
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable81
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 27

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Hezbollah disarm by March 31?No42199.4¢100¢$421+$2.71$0
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 58% and 59%?No13783.8¢100¢$137+$22$0
Will Bernie endorse Alan Grayson for FL-Sen Nov 2 2026 ET?No1983¢58.7¢$11−$4.63$0
Arthur_0x mindshare all time high by March 31?No160¢100¢$1.00+$0.40$0
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2025–2026 NBA Central Division?Yes138¢100¢$1.00+$0.62$0
Based FDV above $800M one day after launch?No181¢100¢$1.00+$0.19−$1.00
Will Stephen A. Smith announce a Presidential run before 2027?No179¢97.9¢$0.98+$0.19+$3.60
Will Katie Britt announce a presidential run before 2027?No187¢97.2¢$0.97+$0.10+$0.96
Will Umaro Sissoco Embaló win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?No159.9¢84.6¢$0.85+$0.25−$7.11
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?Yes1335¢4.3¢$0.55−$4.00+$6.52
Will Team Yandex win ESL One Birmingham 2026?Yes1,83021¢0¢$0−$384$0
Will Blue Prince win Most Innovative Gameplay in the 2025 Steam Awards?Yes48314.4¢0¢$0−$70$0
Will Trump say "Two weeks" this week? (February 22)No43841¢0¢$0−$180$0
Will Inter Kashi FC win on 2026-03-06?Yes40625¢0¢$0−$102$0
Will Noëp win Eesti Laul 2026?Yes30115¢0¢$0−$45−$20
Will global temperature increase by between 1.05ºC and 1.09ºC in December 2025?No25338.2¢0¢$0−$97$0
Blackburn Beavers vs. Eastern Illinois PanthersBlackburn Beavers14120.1¢0¢$0−$28$0
Will fewer than 1550 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2025?Yes4774¢0¢$0−$35+$12
GPT ads by December 31?Yes1412.4¢0¢$0−$1.74−$3.42
Will Peter be the biggest winner in the Hustler Casino Million Dollar Marathon?Yes1017¢0¢$0−$1.70$0
30-year mortgage rate below 6% by December 31?Yes417¢0¢$0−$0.71−$0.75
Will MicroStrategy be margin called in 2025?Yes12.2¢0¢$0−$0.02+$0.66
Will Israel annex any territory by December 31?Yes12.8¢0¢$0−$0.03−$0.09
Will Erik Spoelstra win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?Yes12.5¢0¢$0−$0.03$0
Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by June 30?Yes131¢0¢$0−$0.31+$4.00
Will VirtualBacon win the Defi App trading competition?Yes13.5¢0¢$0−$0.04+$11
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025–2026 NBA Northwest Division?No121¢0¢$0−$0.21+$85

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
SELL NoWill NYC have between 2 and 3 inches of precipitation in April?92¢133$12251%24
BUY NoWill NYC have between 2 and 3 inches of precipitation in April?81¢133$10851%24
SELL NoWill Olivia Rodrigo announce a new album by April 30?24¢229$5551%24
SELL NoWill there be at least 1800 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026?10¢803$8051%24
BUY NoWill Olivia Rodrigo announce a new album by April 30?26¢229$6051%24
BUY NoWill there be at least 1800 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026?11¢803$8851%24
SELL NoPerena FDV above $100M one day after launch?58¢1,500$87051%24
BUY NoPerena FDV above $100M one day after launch?64¢1,500$96051%24
SELL NoKraken IPO by December 31, 2026?19¢125$2451%24
SELL NoMilitary action against Iran ends by March 30, 2026?81¢496$40251%24
BUY NoMilitary action against Iran ends by March 30, 2026?83¢496$41251%24
BUY NoKraken IPO by December 31, 2026?16¢125$2051%24
SELL NoWill Cristian Sanabria win the 2026 Sucre mayoral election?42¢1,029$43251%24
BUY NoWill Cristian Sanabria win the 2026 Sucre mayoral election?64¢1,029$65951%24
SELL NoWill there be exactly 7 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?81¢249$20251%24
SELL NoWill there be exactly 7 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?81¢544$44151%24
BUY NoWill there be exactly 7 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?81¢793$64251%24
SELL NoWill Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-01-13?56¢204$11451%24
BUY NoWill Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-01-13?63¢204$12951%24
BUY NoWill Hezbollah disarm by March 31?98.1¢110$10851%24