sharpside
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Traders/Unranked

winelavkakz

0x695…5575
WR 70+WR 60+Politics
Polymarket
PnL all-time−$2,323vol $244k
PnL 30d+$1,015gains $425 · losses $501
PnL 7d+$337win rate 7d 50.0%
Win rate73.8%adj 70.4% · 30d 61.1%
Open value$7,923cash n/a
Positions21 / 144open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age7molast trade 1d ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL−$1,799below peak −$2,183Oct 14

SharpScore inputs

39/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 73.8% · shrunk toward 50%76
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable72
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d96
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 15

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?No2,25088¢92.5¢$2,081+$102+$21
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?No1,50089.5¢90.5¢$1,358+$15+$7.50
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?No1,25089.6¢92.5¢$1,156+$36$0
Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026?No87281.7¢89.5¢$781+$68+$244
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?No50097.9¢98.1¢$490+$0.75+$67
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?No50087¢87.5¢$438+$2.50$0
Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?No46086¢94.5¢$435+$39$0
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Yes50079¢78.5¢$393−$2.50$0
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?No50049.4¢69.5¢$348+$101+$35
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 15, 2026?No15277.7¢98.9¢$150+$32+$70
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?No50019.3¢24¢$120+$23$0
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?No10084.7¢99.3¢$100+$15+$64
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31?No5081¢87¢$44+$3.00$0
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No2589.4¢96.4¢$24+$1.74+$172
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?Yes15028¢4.5¢$6.75−$35$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY NoWill Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?69¢100$6974%39
SELL NoUS announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?97.5¢100$9874%39
SELL NoUS announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?97.5¢245$23974%39
SELL NoUS announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?97.6¢155$15174%39
BUY NoUS announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?87¢500$43574%39
BUY NoWill Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026?89¢65$5874%39
SELL NoWill Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?70¢138$9774%39
BUY YesUS x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?79¢500$39574%39
SELL YesUS x Iran ceasefire continues through October 12?99.4¢500$49774%39
BUY NoWill Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 15, 2026?92¢70$6474%39
BUY NoNATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?93¢250$23374%39
BUY NoRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?97.9¢500$49074%39
SELL NoRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?91¢500$45574%39
BUY NoWill Riyadh airport be closed by October 31?51¢18$9.2174%39
BUY NoWill Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?19¢179$3474%39
BUY YesUS x Iran ceasefire continues through October 12?90.7¢500$45474%39
BUY NoWill Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?20¢200$4074%39
BUY NoWill Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?19¢93$1874%39
SELL NoPutin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?96.6¢100$9774%39
SELL NoWill Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 15, 2026?89¢100$8974%39