| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 12.2k | 84¢ | 82.5¢ | $10.0k | −$183 | −$215 | |
| Will iShowSpeed Win the 2026 Streamer of the Year Award? | Yes | 7,960 | 62.1¢ | 71.5¢ | $5,691 | +$747 | +$14 | |
| Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026? | No | 12.7k | 83.8¢ | 41.5¢ | $5,257 | −$5,362 | $0 | |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 4,000 | 73.9¢ | 70¢ | $2,800 | −$155 | $0 | |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | Yes | 41.3k | 20.7¢ | 5.1¢ | $2,084 | −$6,453 | +$251 | |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | Yes | 4,269 | 3.6¢ | 42.5¢ | $1,814 | +$1,661 | $0 | |
| Base FDV above $500M one day after launch? | No | 2,822 | 45¢ | 61¢ | $1,721 | +$453 | $0 | |
| Will STRC hit $100 by December 31? | No | 8,739 | 51.8¢ | 14.5¢ | $1,267 | −$3,259 | $0 | |
| Will Hyperliquid reach $120 by December 31, 2026? | No | 1,145 | 61¢ | 83.5¢ | $956 | +$258 | $0 | |
| Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch? | No | 2,600 | 63.5¢ | 35.5¢ | $923 | −$727 | $0 | |
| Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $5B in 2026? | No | 909 | 13.3¢ | 82.9¢ | $754 | +$633 | $0 | |
| Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch? | No | 4,191 | 48.9¢ | 17.5¢ | $733 | −$1,315 | $0 | |
| Will League of Legends Win the 2026 Esports Game of the Year Award? | Yes | 899 | 53¢ | 55.5¢ | $499 | +$22 | $0 | |
| Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? | Yes | 2,000 | 18¢ | 18.5¢ | $370 | +$10.00 | $0 | |
| Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch? | No | 16.0k | 6.7¢ | 2.1¢ | $336 | −$728 | +$415 | |
| Will Hyperliquid reach $130 by December 31, 2026? | No | 378 | 70¢ | 87.5¢ | $331 | +$66 | $0 | |
| Will CaseOh Win the 2026 Streamer of the Year Award? | No | 337 | 74.7¢ | 97.3¢ | $327 | +$76 | +$39 | |
| Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch? | No | 2,500 | 39¢ | 13¢ | $325 | −$650 | $0 | |
| Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ANTH? | No | 500 | 55¢ | 65¢ | $325 | +$50 | $0 | |
| Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 30, 2026? | No | 935 | 29¢ | 34.5¢ | $322 | +$51 | $0 | |
| Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? | No | 500 | 70¢ | 59.5¢ | $298 | −$53 | $0 | |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31? | No | 4,123 | 9¢ | 6.5¢ | $268 | −$103 | +$168 | |
| Eric Adams charged by December 31? | No | 255 | 61.8¢ | 86.5¢ | $221 | +$63 | $0 | |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? | Yes | 2,000 | 53¢ | 11¢ | $220 | −$840 | $0 | |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day? | Yes | 862 | 14.8¢ | 23.5¢ | $202 | +$75 | $0 | |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 1,500 | 21¢ | 12.5¢ | $188 | −$128 | $0 | |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day? | Yes | 622 | 11.4¢ | 29.9¢ | $186 | +$115 | $0 | |
| Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026? | No | 1,225 | 31.4¢ | 13.5¢ | $165 | −$219 | +$4.97 | |
| Base FDV above $2B one day after launch? | No | 225 | 45¢ | 62¢ | $139 | +$38 | +$366 | |
| Will Flop launch a token by June 30, 2027? | No | 500 | 46¢ | 24.5¢ | $123 | −$108 | $0 | |
| Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | Yes | 4,269 | 3.6¢ | 2.9¢ | $122 | −$32 | $0 | |
| Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31 2027? | Yes | 5,000 | 14.7¢ | 2.4¢ | $118 | −$616 | $0 | |
| Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $6B in 2026? | No | 84 | 71¢ | 77¢ | $65 | +$5.06 | $0 | |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 2,000 | 9¢ | 2.9¢ | $57 | −$123 | $0 | |
| Will Anthropic’s market cap be less than 0.6T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? | Yes | 5,000 | 14.7¢ | 1.1¢ | $53 | −$681 | $0 | |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 4,027 | 0.8¢ | 1.3¢ | $50 | +$19 | $0 | |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | Yes | 507 | 3.5¢ | 9.3¢ | $47 | +$30 | $0 | |
| Will Flop launch a token by December 31, 2027? | No | 269 | 27¢ | 16.5¢ | $44 | −$28 | $0 | |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31? | Yes | 50 | 68¢ | 75.5¢ | $38 | +$3.75 | $0 | |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.5T and $2.75T at market close on IPO day? | Yes | 354 | 10.5¢ | 10.5¢ | $37 | +$0.04 | $0 | |
| Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | Yes | 4,269 | 3.6¢ | 0.6¢ | $26 | −$128 | $0 | |
| Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 4,027 | 0.8¢ | 0.5¢ | $22 | −$9.05 | $0 | |
| Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 0.9T and 1.2T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? | Yes | 4,900 | 14.7¢ | 0.5¢ | $22 | −$697 | −$11 | |
| Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 3,869 | 0.8¢ | 0.5¢ | $21 | −$8.70 | −$0.12 | |
| Will Jamie Dimon win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 4,027 | 0.8¢ | 0.5¢ | $18 | −$13 | $0 | |
| Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | Yes | 3,232 | 3.5¢ | 0.5¢ | $18 | −$96 | −$21 | |
| Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 0.6T and 0.9T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? | Yes | 5,000 | 14.7¢ | 0.3¢ | $15 | −$718 | $0 | |
| Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 4,027 | 0.8¢ | 0.4¢ | $14 | −$17 | $0 | |
| Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 1,350 | 4.2¢ | 0.8¢ | $10 | −$47 | $0 | |
| Will Honor of Kings Win the 2026 Esports Mobile Game of the Year Award? | No | 10 | 76¢ | 95.8¢ | $9.75 | +$2.01 | $0 | |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be $3.0T or greater at market close on IPO day? | Yes | 310 | 5.4¢ | 2.9¢ | $9.14 | −$7.59 | $0 | |
| Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | Yes | 4,269 | 3.6¢ | 0.2¢ | $6.40 | −$147 | $0 | |
| Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 4,027 | 0.8¢ | 0.2¢ | $6.04 | −$25 | $0 | |
| Will Tom Cotton win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 4,027 | 0.8¢ | 0.2¢ | $6.04 | −$25 | $0 | |
| Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 4,027 | 0.8¢ | 0.2¢ | $6.04 | −$25 | $0 | |
| Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 4,027 | 0.8¢ | 0.2¢ | $6.04 | −$25 | $0 | |
| Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 4,027 | 0.8¢ | 0.2¢ | $6.04 | −$25 | $0 | |
| Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 4,027 | 0.8¢ | 0.2¢ | $6.04 | −$25 | $0 | |
| Will TheBurntPeanut Win the 2026 Streamer of the Year Award? | Yes | 153 | 1.1¢ | 3.7¢ | $5.66 | +$4.03 | $0 | |
| Will Microsoft have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | Yes | 3,232 | 3.5¢ | 0.2¢ | $4.85 | −$109 | −$38 | |
| Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch? | No | 17 | 54¢ | 22¢ | $3.83 | −$5.57 | $0 | |
| Will Ibai Win the 2026 Esports Personality of the Year Award? | Yes | 24 | 5¢ | 14¢ | $3.35 | +$2.15 | $0 | |
| Will Amazon have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | Yes | 2,107 | 3.5¢ | 0.2¢ | $3.16 | −$71 | −$75 | |
| Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | Yes | 4,269 | 3.6¢ | 0.1¢ | $2.13 | −$151 | $0 | |
| Will Jalen Brunson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 4,027 | 0.8¢ | 0.1¢ | $2.01 | −$29 | $0 | |
| Will Stephen Smith win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 4,027 | 0.8¢ | 0.1¢ | $2.01 | −$29 | $0 | |
| Will Alex Padilla win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 4,027 | 0.8¢ | 0.1¢ | $2.01 | −$29 | $0 | |
| Will Mike Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 4,027 | 0.8¢ | 0.1¢ | $2.01 | −$29 | $0 | |
| Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 4,027 | 0.8¢ | 0.1¢ | $2.01 | −$29 | $0 | |
| Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 4,027 | 0.8¢ | 0.1¢ | $2.01 | −$29 | $0 | |
| Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 4,027 | 0.8¢ | 0.1¢ | $2.01 | −$29 | $0 | |
| Will Tim Scott win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 4,027 | 0.8¢ | 0.1¢ | $2.01 | −$29 | $0 | |
| Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 4,027 | 0.8¢ | 0.1¢ | $2.01 | −$29 | $0 | |
| Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 4,027 | 0.8¢ | 0.1¢ | $2.01 | −$29 | $0 | |
| Will Candace Owens win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 4,027 | 0.8¢ | 0.1¢ | $2.01 | −$29 | $0 | |
| Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 4,027 | 0.8¢ | 0.1¢ | $2.01 | −$29 | $0 | |
| Will Adam Schiff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 4,027 | 0.8¢ | 0.1¢ | $2.01 | −$29 | $0 | |
| Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 4,027 | 0.8¢ | 0.1¢ | $2.01 | −$29 | $0 | |
| Will Elissa Slotkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 4,027 | 0.8¢ | 0.1¢ | $2.01 | −$29 | $0 | |
| Will John N. Kennedy win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 4,027 | 0.8¢ | 0.1¢ | $2.01 | −$29 | $0 | |
| Will Eric Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 4,027 | 35.8¢ | 0.1¢ | $2.01 | −$1,440 | +$1,411 | |
| Will Josh Stein win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 4,027 | 0.8¢ | 0.1¢ | $2.01 | −$29 | $0 | |
| Will Rick Scott win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 4,027 | 0.8¢ | 0.1¢ | $2.01 | −$29 | $0 | |
| Will Doug Burgum win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 4,027 | 0.8¢ | 0.1¢ | $2.01 | −$29 | $0 | |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 4,027 | 0.8¢ | 0.1¢ | $2.01 | −$29 | $0 | |
| Will Snax Gaming Win the 2026 Streamer of the Year Award? | Yes | 60 | 0.2¢ | 3.4¢ | $2.01 | +$1.90 | $0 | |
| Will Dota 2 Win the 2026 Esports Game of the Year Award? | Yes | 116 | 2.5¢ | 1.4¢ | $1.62 | −$1.27 | $0 | |
| Hyperbeat FDV above $100M one day after launch? | Yes | 68 | 3.3¢ | 2¢ | $1.33 | −$0.92 | $0 | |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.75T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day? | Yes | 29 | 4¢ | 2.1¢ | $0.61 | −$0.55 | $0 | |
| Will TheDonato Win the 2026 Esports Content Creator of the Year Award? | Yes | 56 | 2.6¢ | 0.2¢ | $0.08 | −$1.37 | $0 | |
| Will Brawl Stars Win the 2026 Esports Mobile Game of the Year Award? | Yes | 55 | 0.1¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.03 | −$0.03 | $0 | |
| Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27? | Yes | 20.0k | 38.2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$7,638 | +$225 | |
| Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? | No | 8,017 | 21.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1,692 | −$43 | |
| Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election? | Yes | 6,508 | 49.8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$3,243 | −$2.32 | |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? | No | 5,080 | 8.2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$418 | $0 | |
| Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 14? | No | 5,042 | 21.4¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1,079 | $0 | |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 5,000 | 20.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1,047 | $0 | |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 5,000 | 20.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1,047 | $0 | |
| Will Kai and Speed have 90 or more total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon? | Yes | 4,000 | 1.8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$72 | +$32 | |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by March 31, 2027? | No | 3,772 | 39.4¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1,484 | $0 | |