PnL all-time−$49.6kvol $2.61M
PnL 30d−$2,179gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d+$751win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate59.1%adj 57.9% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$34.7kcash n/a
Positions10 / 142open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age1.1ylast trade 15d ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL−$48.1kbelow peak −$115kOct 9
SharpScore inputs
28/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 59.1% · shrunk toward 50%45
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable72
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d49
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30? · Noclosed+$30.3kUS x Venezuela military engagement by October 31? · Noclosed+$16.9kUS x Venezuela military engagement by November 7? · Noclosed+$13.2kUS x Venezuela military engagement by December 31? · Noclosed+$13.0kAnother US strike on Venezuela by January 31? · Noclosed+$10.5k
Worst markets
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? · Noclosed−$61.5kWill Spotify's top song on Christmas be 'All I Want For Christmas Is You'? · Yesclosed−$29.5kWill Spotify's top song on Christmas be 'All I Want For Christmas Is You'? · Noclosed−$16.9kUS x Venezuela military engagement by January 15, 2026? · Noclosed−$13.4kWill Salvador Nasralla win the 2025 Honduras presidential election? · Yesclosed−$13.2k
Open positions · 10
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | 22.6k | 68.3¢ | 72.1¢ | $16.3k | +$844 | +$3.83 | |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | No | 12.6k | 90.6¢ | 95.5¢ | $12.0k | +$622 | $0 | |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 4,324 | 79.9¢ | 80.4¢ | $3,475 | +$20 | $0 | |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 2,400 | 86¢ | 84.5¢ | $2,028 | −$36 | $0 | |
| Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 19.3k | 3.1¢ | 2.5¢ | $473 | −$135 | $0 | |
| Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? | Yes | 2,222 | 12.2¢ | 11.1¢ | $246 | −$26 | $0 | |
| Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 4,196 | 2.5¢ | 2.8¢ | $115 | +$10 | $0 | |
| Cap on gambling loss deductions repealed before 2027? | No | 80 | 75¢ | 79.5¢ | $64 | +$3.61 | $0 | |
| Will Aster reach $2.00 by December 31, 2026? | No | 22 | 54¢ | 89.5¢ | $20 | +$7.81 | $0 | |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-07? | Yes | 10 | 26¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$2.60 | −$0.06 |
Recent trades
auto-refresh 30s