PnL all-time−$111kvol $58.3M
PnL 30d+$13.2kgains $14.1k · losses $1,449
PnL 7d+$588win rate 7d 83.3%
Win rate80.8%adj 79.6% · 30d 89.7%
Open value$49.5kcash n/a
Positions2 / 1,086open / all-time
Max drawdown−53.7%of equity peak
Account age5.7ylast trade 10d ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL−$109kbelow peak −$24.6kOct 11
SharpScore inputs
48/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 80.8% · shrunk toward 50%99
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d66
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity46
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting? · Yesclosed+$10.6kUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? · Yesclosed+$10.6kWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting? · Yesclosed+$10.0kWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? · Yesclosed+$6,153Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting? · Noclosed+$5,678
Worst markets
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? · Yesclosed−$41.4kKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? · Noclosed−$36.9kIran closes its airspace by May 24? · Yesclosed−$17.2kMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? · Noclosed−$14.4kUS strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? · Noclosed−$8,118
Open positions · 2
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix? | No | 49.4k | 99¢ | 99.8¢ | $49.2k | +$370 | $0 | |
| Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix? | No | 300 | 92¢ | 96.5¢ | $290 | +$14 | $0 |
Recent trades
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