sharpside
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Traders/Rank #16,474

piyasayapici

0x69c…d48d
PoliticsOtherCrypto
Polymarket
PnL all-time−$264vol $98.5k
PnL 30d−$193gains $5,071 · losses $6,844
PnL 7d−$63win rate 7d 46.7%
Win rate44.1%adj 45.0% · 30d 44.2%
Open value$1,558cash n/a
Positions24 / 135open / all-time
Max drawdown−57.3%of equity peak
Account age2molast trade 3d ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL−$550below peak −$545Oct 14

SharpScore inputs

35/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 44.1% · shrunk toward 50%13
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable71
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d88
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity43

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027? · Yesopen+$1,012Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? · Yesclosed+$821 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? · Yesclosed+$804Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? · Noclosed+$755Cincinnati Open: Sebastian Baez vs Grigor Dimitrov · Sebastian Baezclosed+$732

Worst markets

Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027? · Noclosed−$1,025Cincinnati Open: Coleman Wong vs Daniel Altmaier · Coleman Wongclosed−$956Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? · Noclosed−$821 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? · Noclosed−$804Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? · Yesclosed−$751

Open positions · 24

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?No64294¢92.5¢$594−$9.63−$88
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?No31075.5¢70¢$217−$17−$91
Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027?Yes76121.4¢20.5¢$156−$6.64+$508
Iran leadership change by December 31?Yes74918¢11.5¢$86−$49+$13
Will none of these coins hit a $1B FDV?No73713¢10.5¢$77−$18$0
Will the Democratic Party win the OH-01 House seat?Yes8492¢89.5¢$75−$2.09−$55
Will there be three UK Prime Ministers by end of 2027?Yes68212¢10.5¢$72−$10$0
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by January 31, 2027?Yes41319¢16.5¢$68−$10$0
US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026?Yes39221¢13¢$51−$31+$6.56
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No8375.7¢3.9¢$32−$16+$41
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Yes5807¢4.5¢$26−$14+$1,027
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?Yes5197¢3.9¢$20−$16+$126
Will Stripe acquire any part of Paypal in 2026?Yes2637¢6.5¢$17−$1.31$0
Will a US-Iran deal in 2026 include Surrender of Iranian Enriched Uranium?Yes3485¢4.5¢$16−$1.74+$24
OpenAI IPO before 2027?Yes38320¢3.6¢$14−$63$0
Will The Odyssey get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?No7216¢16.5¢$12+$0.36+$80
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?Yes6599¢1.8¢$12−$48$0
Iran leadership change by November 30?Yes23010¢4.5¢$10−$13+$273
Will The Odyssey get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes283¢83.5¢$1.54+$0.01−$78
Will Oura's market cap be between $10B and $12.5B at market close on IPO day?Yes2114.4¢0.5¢$1.16−$8.06+$57
Will the Republicans win the Louisiana Senate race in 2026?No118¢7.5¢$0.85−$0.06+$298
Will the highest-magnitude earthquake in 2026 be 7.9 or below?No224¢22.5¢$0.45−$0.03$0
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes115.2¢14.2¢$0.15−$0.01+$157
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?Yes114.8¢8.5¢$0.10−$0.07+$242

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
SELL NoNATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?77¢9$6.6144%35
SELL No Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?89¢86$7744%35
SELL Yes Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?11¢86$9.5044%35
SELL NoWill Cash Cat be the first to hit a $1B FDV?96.8¢154$14944%35
SELL OpenAIWill Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?3.4¢511$1744%35
SELL NoWill the highest-magnitude earthquake in 2026 be 7.9 or below?25¢5$1.2544%35
SELL NoIran leadership change by June 30, 2027?77¢18$1444%35
SELL NoIran leadership change by June 30, 2027?76.2¢494$37744%35
BUY YesWill Cash Cat be the first to hit a $1B FDV?3.2¢151$4.7944%35
SELL YesWill Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?7¢116$8.1344%35
SELL YesWill Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?7¢152$1144%35
SELL OpenAIWill Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?3.8¢552$2144%35
SELL YesIran leadership change by June 30, 2027?23¢27$6.2544%35
SELL OpenAIWill Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?6.5¢42$2.7444%35
SELL NoWill Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?6¢661$4044%35
SELL UpBitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 4AM ET27¢10$2.7044%35
BUY UpBitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 4AM ET24¢5$1.2044%35
SELL NoUS strike on Cuba by December 31?85¢73$6244%35
SELL YesPutin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?7¢20$1.4044%35
BUY YesPutin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?8¢20$1.6044%35