PnL all-time+$173kvol $6.13M
PnL 30d+$1,403gains $1,108 · losses $0
PnL 7d+$64win rate 7d 100.0%
Win rate91.4%adj 89.8% · 30d 100.0%
Open value$13.4kcash n/a
Positions7 / 915open / all-time
Max drawdown−5.8%of equity peak
Account age1.3ylast trade 6d ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$174kbelow peak −$15Oct 9
SharpScore inputs
85/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale75
Adjusted win rateraw 91.4% · shrunk toward 50%100
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable99
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d77
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity94
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will Cardi B perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show? · Yesclosed+$19.8kWill US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026? · Noclosed+$12.0kWill the Iranian regime fall by April 30? · Noclosed+$8,601Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? · Noclosed+$5,685Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31? · Noclosed+$5,237
Worst markets
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026? · Yesclosed−$3,827US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? · Yesclosed−$3,807Will Lady Gaga perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show? · Noclosed−$3,370Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27? · Yesclosed−$3,294US forces enter Iran by March 7? · Yesclosed−$2,376
Open positions · 7
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iran leadership change by October 31? | No | 9,057 | 95.4¢ | 97.9¢ | $8,862 | +$222 | $0 | |
| Iran leadership change by December 31? | No | 3,000 | 86¢ | 88.5¢ | $2,655 | +$75 | $0 | |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? | No | 788 | 74.1¢ | 81¢ | $638 | +$55 | +$21 | |
| US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 9? | Yes | 623 | 84¢ | 95.7¢ | $596 | +$72 | $0 | |
| Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31? | No | 569 | 88¢ | 88.5¢ | $504 | +$2.84 | $0 | |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by October 31? | No | 140 | 92¢ | 98.5¢ | $138 | +$9.10 | $0 | |
| Will Iran target Jordan by August 31, 2026? | No | 169 | 91¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$154 | $0 |
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