sharpside
LIVE--:--:-- UTCdata as of —24h vol —trades —whale trades —markets —Polymarket flow, ranked — who’s sharp, who’s early, where size is moving.
Traders/Rank #2,000

0x69f…fb27

0x69f…fb27
PnL 10k+WeatherPolitics
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$39.9kvol $2.84M
PnL 30d−$108kgains $4,960 · losses $1,023
PnL 7d+$12.1kwin rate 7d 36.6%
Win rate36.6%adj 39.2% · 30d 36.6%
Open value$828cash n/a
Positions139 / 48,435open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age5molast trade 53s ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL−$58.3kbelow peak −$65.4kOct 8

SharpScore inputs

44/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale66
Adjusted win rateraw 36.6% · shrunk toward 50%0
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d100
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 100

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?No22226.2¢26.3¢$58+$0.21+$4,053
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 15°C on October 9?No5799.8¢99.6¢$56−$0.12$0
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on October 9?No5799.6¢99.5¢$56−$0.03$0
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on October 8?No5692.2¢100¢$56+$4.31+$54
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 16°C on October 9?No5798.1¢97.9¢$55−$0.16$0
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on October 8?No5198.2¢99.6¢$50+$0.67−$11
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on October 9?No5788.2¢88.9¢$50+$0.41$0
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 14°C on October 9?No5099.9¢99.9¢$49−$0.02$0
Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day?No4982.4¢99¢$48+$8.04+$1.81
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on October 9?No4399.9¢99.9¢$43−$0.02$0
Will the Republican Party win the SC-06 House seat?No4452.3¢96.9¢$43+$20$0
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 17°C on October 9?No5759.4¢58¢$33−$0.80$0
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win 2026-27 Nations League Group B4?No4089.1¢80.2¢$32−$3.53−$2.66
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 18°C on October 9?No5752.1¢55.5¢$31+$1.92$0
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 50+ bps at the December meeting?No3383.4¢73.5¢$24−$3.24−$2.74
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 13°C on October 9?No2499.9¢100¢$24+$0.01$0
Will US GDP growth in 2026 be greater than 2.5%?Yes3057.9¢48.9¢$15−$2.70$0
Will Douglas Ruas win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?No2945¢3.8¢$11−$3.81+$3,453
Will Rachel peak at Category 3?Yes973¢98.3¢$8.77+$2.26−$2.55
Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?No959¢60.5¢$5.69+$0.14+$880
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on October 8?No599.6¢100¢$5.40+$0.02−$13
Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the December meeting?Yes3520¢15¢$5.25−$1.75$0
Will the Republican Party win the NC-05 House seat?Yes589¢84.5¢$4.22−$0.23$0
Will Eduardo Pazuello win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?Yes5,5724.3¢0.1¢$2.79−$239$0
Will Colonel Busnello win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?Yes5,5724.3¢0.1¢$2.79−$239$0
Will Anthony Garotinho win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?Yes5,5724.3¢0.1¢$2.79−$239$0
Will Nicola Miccione win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?Yes5,5724.3¢0.1¢$2.79−$239$0
Will André Português win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?Yes5,5724.3¢0.1¢$2.79−$239$0
Will Lindbergh Farias win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?Yes5,5654.3¢0.1¢$2.78−$239$0
Will André Ceciliano win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?Yes5,5654.3¢0.1¢$2.78−$239$0
Will Dr. Luizinho win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?Yes5,5654.3¢0.1¢$2.78−$239$0
Will Wilson Witzel win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?Yes5,5654.3¢0.1¢$2.78−$239$0
Will Fred Pacheco win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?Yes5,5654.3¢0.1¢$2.78−$239$0
Will Tarcísio Motta win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?Yes5,5654.3¢0.1¢$2.78−$239$0
Will Chico Machado win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?Yes5,5654.3¢0.1¢$2.78−$239$0
Will Felipe Curi win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?Yes5,4654.3¢0.1¢$2.73−$235$0
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?No644¢44.5¢$2.51+$0.03+$406
Will Rafa Luz win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?Yes4,8474.3¢0.1¢$2.42−$208+$52
Will Florida Gators win the 2027 CFP National Championship?Yes900.9¢2.4¢$2.12+$1.29$0
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be an Independent or a Technocrat?No1252.7¢18¢$2.09−$4.03+$15
Will Authentic Right – Dr Miloš Jovanović win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?Yes2,7512.7¢0.1¢$1.38−$73$0
Will Ivica Dačić – Factor of Stability! win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?Yes2,7512.7¢0.1¢$1.38−$73$0
Will European Serbia – Marinika Tepić, Zdravko Ponoš win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?Yes2,7292.7¢0.1¢$1.36−$72$0
Will Russian Party – Serbia in BRICS – Slobodan Nikolić win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?Yes2,7292.7¢0.1¢$1.36−$72$0
Will Alliance of Vojvodina Hungarians – Dr Bálint Pásztor win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?Yes2,7292.7¢0.1¢$1.36−$72$0
Will Rasim Ljajić – Humane (SDP – CDP) win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?Yes2,7292.7¢0.1¢$1.36−$72$0
Will Usame Zukorlić Movement for Unification win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?Yes2,7182.7¢0.1¢$1.36−$72$0
Will SDA of Sandžak – Guardians of Sandžak win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?Yes2,7132.7¢0.1¢$1.36−$72$0
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Roraima?No3011.8¢0.3¢$0.90−$4.48+$27
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-05 House seat?Yes57.9¢13.1¢$0.66+$0.26$0
Will US GDP growth in 2026 be between 1.5% and 2.0%?Yes3018.4¢1.8¢$0.53−$5.00$0
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of AUR?Yes87.7¢4.3¢$0.33−$0.27+$12
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of PNL?Yes127.7¢2.5¢$0.29−$0.60+$12
Will Rachel peak at Category 2?Yes141¢1.8¢$0.24+$0.10+$2.97
Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes1203.6¢0.2¢$0.18−$4.11$0
Will Rachel peak at Category 4?Yes99.6¢1.8¢$0.16−$0.70+$4.43
Will Gilad Erdan be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes1413.6¢0.1¢$0.14−$4.89$0
Will Ofer Winter be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes213.6¢0.7¢$0.14−$0.61+$20
Will Singapore win Group D at the 2027 AFC Asian Cup?Yes614.3¢2.2¢$0.13−$0.73$0
Will Benny Gantz be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes1203.6¢0.1¢$0.12−$4.17$0
Will Gideon Sa’ar be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes1203.6¢0.1¢$0.12−$4.17$0
Will Ayelet Shaked be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes1203.6¢0.1¢$0.12−$4.17$0
Will Yariv Levin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes1203.6¢0.1¢$0.12−$4.17$0
Will Israel Katz be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes1203.6¢0.1¢$0.12−$4.17$0
Will Moshe Feiglin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes1203.6¢0.1¢$0.12−$4.17$0
Will Nir Barkat be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes1203.6¢0.1¢$0.12−$4.17$0
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on October 8?Yes2039.1¢0.1¢$0.10−$18$0
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 8?Yes2039.1¢0.1¢$0.10−$18$0
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 20°C or below on October 8?Yes2039.1¢0.1¢$0.10−$18$0
Will Rachel peak at Category 1 or weaker?Yes201¢0.5¢$0.10−$0.10$0
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 21°C on October 8?Yes1989.1¢0.1¢$0.10−$18$0
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 8?Yes1989.1¢0.1¢$0.10−$18$0
Will Steven Cheung be the next White House Press Secretary?Yes12.9¢9.5¢$0.10+$0.07$0
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 27°C on October 9?Yes428.1¢0.2¢$0.08−$3.34$0
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 25°C or below on October 9?Yes428.1¢0.2¢$0.08−$3.30$0
Will Elizabeth Pipko be the next White House Press Secretary?Yes12.9¢8¢$0.08+$0.05$0
Will Rachel peak at Category 5?Yes96.5¢0.9¢$0.08−$0.50+$4.79
Will Maria Bartiromo be the next White House Press Secretary?Yes12.9¢6.6¢$0.07+$0.04$0
Will India’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 1.50% and 2.24%?Yes1045¢0.6¢$0.06−$4.44$0
Will India’s 2026 Annual Inflation be less than 0.75%?Yes1034¢0.6¢$0.06−$3.34$0
Will Éric Duhaime be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?Yes213.4¢0.3¢$0.05−$0.67$0
Will Amir Ohana be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes513.6¢0.1¢$0.05−$1.77$0
Will Z.ai be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?Yes203.1¢0.3¢$0.05−$0.57$0
Will US GDP growth in 2026 be less than 0.5%?Yes1910.4¢0.3¢$0.05−$1.90$0
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C or higher on October 9?Yes379.1¢0.1¢$0.04−$3.33$0
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C or higher on October 8?Yes719.1¢0.1¢$0.04−$6.42$0
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 76°F or higher on October 8?Yes581.1¢0.1¢$0.03−$0.61+$16
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of UDMR?Yes277.7¢0.1¢$0.03−$2.05+$6.77
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of USR?Yes77.7¢0.3¢$0.02−$0.56+$12
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 26°C on October 9?Yes379.1¢0.1¢$0.02−$3.35$0
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 62-63°F on October 8?Yes329.1¢0.1¢$0.02−$2.89$0
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 60-61°F on October 8?Yes329.1¢0.1¢$0.02−$2.89$0
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 57°F or below on October 8?Yes329.1¢0.1¢$0.02−$2.89$0
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 58-59°F on October 8?Yes329.1¢0.1¢$0.02−$2.89$0
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 74-75°F on October 8?Yes286.5¢0.1¢$0.01−$1.84+$42
Will Sol Zanetti be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?Yes163.4¢0.1¢$0.01−$0.54$0
Will Bernard Drainville be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?Yes163.4¢0.1¢$0.01−$0.54$0
Will Ruba Ghazal be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?Yes163.4¢0.1¢$0.01−$0.54$0
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 66-67°F on October 8?Yes169.1¢0.1¢$0.01−$1.45+$22
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on October 8?Yes169.1¢0.1¢$0.01−$1.45+$19

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY YesWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on October 9?26¢2$0.5237%44
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in Istanbul be 20°C on October 9?99.9¢5$5.0937%44
BUY YesWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on October 9?2.6¢5$0.1337%44
BUY YesWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 23°C or higher on October 9?0.2¢5$0.0137%44
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on October 9?99.9¢5$5.0037%44
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in Lucknow be 27°C on October 9?99.9¢11$1137%44
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on October 10?99.7¢5$5.4337%44
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on October 9?99.5¢8$8.0337%44
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on October 9?99.7¢40$4037%44
BUY YesWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 70-71°F on October 8?0.5¢20$0.1037%44
BUY YesWill the highest temperature in Austin be between 92-93°F on October 8?0.2¢16$0.0337%44
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in London be 14°C on October 9?99.8¢5$5.0737%44
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in London be 17°C on October 9?97.4¢6$5.9137%44
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in London be 15°C on October 9?99.8¢27$2737%44
BUY YesWill the highest temperature in Austin be between 90-91°F on October 8?98.9¢5$4.9537%44
BUY YesWill the highest temperature in Austin be between 92-93°F on October 8?0.2¢10$0.0237%44
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C or higher on October 9?99.9¢7$6.7837%44
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 78-79°F on October 8?99.8¢4$4.4337%44
BUY NoWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?83.3¢18$1537%44
BUY NoWill Jynxzi, Ron, and Los have between 240 and 269 Minecraft deaths during the marathon?99.7¢41$4037%44