sharpside
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Traders/Rank #1,420

Pulser

0x6a8…4c59@PulserPoly
SharpPnL 100k+PnL 50k+PnL 10k+WR 60+1y+PoliticsSport
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$137kvol $7.78M
PnL 30d−$7,685gains $1,354 · losses $3,112
PnL 7d−$2,008win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate62.8%adj 62.3% · 30d 30.8%
Open value$20.5kcash n/a
Positions67 / 1,122open / all-time
Max drawdown−14.7%of equity peak
Account age2.0ylast trade 10h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$134kbelow peak −$23.1kOct 9

SharpScore inputs

74/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale73
Adjusted win rateraw 62.8% · shrunk toward 50%56
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d99
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity85

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 67

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No11.1k64¢63.5¢$7,055−$56$0
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?No16.6k26.1¢23¢$3,823−$511−$438
Iran Nuke before 2027?No3,83486¢96.3¢$3,692+$395$0
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?Yes16.8k16.9¢9.5¢$1,599−$1,244$0
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Yes2,56049.3¢37.5¢$960−$301+$187
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?No4,44419¢18.5¢$822−$22$0
Iran leadership change by December 31?Yes6,42222.5¢11.5¢$739−$704−$8.27
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 12?No13.1k5¢5.6¢$734+$72$0
Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31Yes10.7k10.8¢4.5¢$480−$670$0
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?No3,33310¢7.5¢$250−$83$0
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes3,3339¢5.5¢$183−$117$0
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027?Yes1,80214¢5¢$90−$161−$68
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 9?No6,0071.7¢0.9¢$54−$51$0
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by December 31, 2026?Yes2626.9¢4.5¢$12−$6.23−$3.44
Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?No23.0k10.8¢0¢$0−$2,480+$752
Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?No13.8k18.9¢0¢$0−$2,607$0
Israel closes its airspace by August 15?Yes11.7k16.3¢0¢$0−$1,912+$192
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?Yes11.1k14.6¢0¢$0−$1,621+$1,152
Israel closes its airspace by July 24?Yes9,3324.6¢0¢$0−$433$0
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?No7,96921.1¢0¢$0−$1,681$0
US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 20?No7,8603¢0¢$0−$237+$220
Israel closes its airspace by July 15?Yes7,0003.6¢0¢$0−$252$0
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?Yes6,19539.6¢0¢$0−$2,452$0
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 1?No5,6618.7¢0¢$0−$493$0
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?No5,35318.1¢0¢$0−$967−$76
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?No5,0006¢0¢$0−$300$0
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?Yes4,99419.4¢0¢$0−$970+$721
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?No4,45239.6¢0¢$0−$1,761−$21
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?No4,30943.4¢0¢$0−$1,868$0
Iran full airspace closure by August 15?Yes4,11313.6¢0¢$0−$558$0
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Yes3,64324.4¢0¢$0−$890$0
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 22?No3,3103.3¢0¢$0−$108$0
Israeli parliament dissolved by July 16?No2,50023.4¢0¢$0−$585$0
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?No2,30016¢0¢$0−$368+$106
Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to AdvanceGermany2,08352.8¢0¢$0−$1,100−$8.18
Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 1 Ecuador?Yes2,0009¢0¢$0−$180−$4.91
Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes2,0009.5¢0¢$0−$190$0
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 25, 2026?No1,79443.2¢0¢$0−$775$0
Iran full airspace closure by July 24?Yes1,72912.8¢0¢$0−$222+$12
Will Israel win on 2026-09-27?Yes1,5555¢0¢$0−$78−$3.69
Will the US-Iran deal be physically signed by June 30?No1,50047.3¢0¢$0−$709$0
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 27?Yes1,5007¢0¢$0−$105$0
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 7, 2026?Yes1,44215.7¢0¢$0−$226$0
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 20?No1,34411¢0¢$0−$148$0
Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?Yes1,2262.8¢0¢$0−$35$0
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?No1,15440.2¢0¢$0−$465$0
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by August 31, 2026?Yes1,1500.2¢0¢$0−$2.30$0
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?No1,09151.7¢0¢$0−$564+$74
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Switzerland?Yes1,0502.7¢0¢$0−$29$0
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 24, 2026?Yes1,0003.2¢0¢$0−$32$0
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3?No1,00030¢0¢$0−$300$0
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-08-28?Yes1,00027¢0¢$0−$270−$9.85
Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 3.5Under1,00014¢0¢$0−$140−$3.61
Israel closes its airspace by August 31?Yes99528¢0¢$0−$279+$493
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 22?Yes72015¢0¢$0−$108$0
Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?Yes6932.5¢0¢$0−$17+$828
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28?Yes65527¢0¢$0−$177−$14
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes6026.3¢0¢$0−$38$0
Iran full airspace closure by August 31?Yes39538¢0¢$0−$150$0
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 30?Yes27134¢0¢$0−$92$0
Israel closes its airspace by September 30?No25346¢0¢$0−$116+$279
Karl-Anthony Towns: Points O/U 17.5Yes25049¢0¢$0−$123−$1.87
Will Israel vs. Republic of Ireland end in a draw?Yes22212¢0¢$0−$27−$1.17
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 18, 2026?No17846.8¢0¢$0−$83$0
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?Yes15032¢0¢$0−$48$0
Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?Yes5419¢0¢$0−$10−$0.25
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?Yes563¢0¢$0−$3.15$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY NoUS x Iran ceasefire continues through October 9?1.7¢6,007$10563%74Sharp
BUY NoUS x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?22.6¢6,078$1,37163%74Sharp
BUY NoUS x Iran ceasefire continues through October 12?4.2¢1,996$8463%74Sharp
BUY NoIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?19¢4,444$84463%74Sharp
BUY NoUS x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?30¢3,878$1,16363%74Sharp
BUY NoWill Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?64¢11.1k$7,11163%74Sharp
SELL YesTrump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027?4¢220$8.8063%74Sharp
SELL YesWill Putin meet with Zelenskyy by December 31, 2026?6¢395$2463%74Sharp
SELL YesWill the Iranian regime fall by September 30?0.1¢13.3k$1363%74Sharp
SELL YesStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?0.2¢4,053$8.1163%74Sharp
SELL YesStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?0.2¢1,351$2.7063%74Sharp
SELL NoUS x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?3.6¢3,000$10963%74Sharp
SELL YesUS announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?4.3¢500$2263%74Sharp
SELL YesWill Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?0.7¢595$4.1663%74Sharp
SELL YesWill Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31?10.3¢1,519$15663%74Sharp
SELL YesIran coup attempt by December 31?9¢4,384$39563%74Sharp
BUY YesWill Israel win on 2026-09-27?5¢1,111$5663%74Sharp
BUY YesWill Israel vs. Republic of Ireland end in a draw?12¢222$2763%74Sharp
BUY YesWill Israel win on 2026-09-27?5¢444$2263%74Sharp
SELL YesUS announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?30¢1,500$45063%74Sharp