sharpside
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Traders/Rank #10,832

THPJBM

0x6aa…5d7a
WR 80+WR 70+WR 60+SportPolitics
Polymarket
PnL all-time−$51vol $10.2k
PnL 30d−$15gains $137 · losses $39
PnL 7d+$44win rate 7d 100.0%
Win rate93.3%adj 85.5% · 30d 93.3%
Open value$1,164cash n/a
Positions50 / 320open / all-time
Max drawdown−27.9%of equity peak
Account age2molast trade 14h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL−$175below peak −$279Oct 13

SharpScore inputs

58/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 93.3% · shrunk toward 50%100
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable84
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d98
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity72

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 50

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?Yes81255.4¢54.5¢$442−$7.55$0
Will iShowSpeed Win the 2026 Streamer of the Year Award?Yes22571¢71.5¢$161+$1.13$0
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?No12580¢90.5¢$113+$13$0
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes11176.6¢87.3¢$97+$12$0
Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?Yes8062.7¢77.5¢$62+$12$0
Will Åsa Johansson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Värmland?Yes4687¢93.2¢$43+$2.85$0
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections?Yes4185.5¢86.2¢$35+$0.27$0
Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin?Yes4376¢74.5¢$32−$0.65$0
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?Yes18255¢16¢$29−$71$0
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes19512.8¢13.6¢$26+$1.46$0
Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win LoL Worlds 2026?Yes3768¢68.5¢$25+$0.18$0
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Yes2987¢81.5¢$23−$1.58$0
Will Inde Navarrette win Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes10923¢15.5¢$17−$8.15$0
Will Russia capture Novyi Donbas by October 31?Yes7739¢15¢$12−$18$0
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes3557.2¢27.8¢$9.70−$10$0
Will Sara Nylund be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Västernorrland?Yes2678¢29.5¢$7.56−$12$0
Henry Cavill announced as next James Bond?Yes2001¢0.7¢$1.40−$0.60$0
Theo James announced as next James Bond?Yes923.3¢0.9¢$0.82−$2.18$0
Will Eduardo Paes win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?Yes5080¢0.4¢$0.17−$40$0
Will Russia enter Orikhiv by September 30?No1,0693.7¢0¢$0−$40$0
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?No16164¢0¢$0−$103$0
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9?No11834¢0¢$0−$40$0
US Open ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Alex MichelsenAlex Michelsen10994¢0¢$0−$102−$0.31
Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?No7135¢0¢$0−$25−$0.65
Will Arthur Fils win the 2026 Men's US Open?Yes687.3¢0¢$0−$5.00−$0.14
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Jessica Pegula vs Alexandra EalaJessica Pegula4981¢0¢$0−$40−$0.38
NATO downs another Russian drone by August 31?No3713.5¢0¢$0−$5.00$0
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 15?No2366¢0¢$0−$15$0
LoL: DN SOOPers vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - KeSPA Cup Last Chance QualifierKiwoom DRX952.9¢0¢$0−$5.00−$0.12
LoL: DN SOOPers vs Kiwoom DRX - Game 2 WinnerKiwoom DRX80¢0¢$0$0$0
LoL: Team WE vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group AscendAnyone's Legend866¢0¢$0−$5.00−$0.09
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 WinnerKT Rolster771¢0¢$0−$5.00−$0.07
LoL: T1 vs DN SOOPers (BO5) - KeSPA Cup PlayoffsT1729¢0¢$0−$2.00−$0.07
LoL: LYON vs Sentinels - Game 1 WinnerLYON679¢0¢$0−$5.00−$0.05
LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 - Game 1 WinnerT1682¢0¢$0−$5.00−$0.04
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 WinnerNatus Vincere685¢0¢$0−$5.00−$0.04
US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Taylor TownsendTaylor Townsend618¢0¢$0−$1.00−$0.04
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 WinnerKT Rolster580¢0¢$0−$4.00−$0.04
LoL: Top Esports vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 WinnerTop Esports583¢0¢$0−$4.00−$0.03
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE - Game 2 WinnerAnyone's Legend586¢0¢$0−$4.00−$0.03
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs NIP - Map 2 WinnerAstralis544¢0¢$0−$2.00−$0.06
LoL: JD Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 1 WinnerJD Gaming449¢0¢$0−$2.00−$0.05
Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Level UP - Game 2 WinnerYellow Submarine474¢0¢$0−$3.00−$0.04
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group AscendBilibili Gaming477¢0¢$0−$3.00−$0.03
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Invictus Gaming - Game 2 WinnerInvictus Gaming480¢0¢$0−$3.00−$0.03
LoL: Solary vs Vitality.Bee (BO3) - LFL PlayoffsVitality.Bee329¢0¢$0−$1.00−$0.04
LoL: GIANTX vs Team Vitality (BO3) - LEC Regular SeasonGIANTX330.7¢0¢$0−$1.00−$0.03
LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs T1 Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Challenge GroupT1 Academy366¢0¢$0−$2.00−$0.03
LoL: Team WE vs EDward Gaming - Game 2 WinnerTeam WE366¢0¢$0−$2.00−$0.03
Counter-Strike: The Huns Esports vs Rare Atom - Map 2 WinnerThe Huns Esports375¢0¢$0−$2.00−$0.03

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUYGames Total: O/U 3.5 AND Jinan: Kaito Uesugi vs Yosuke Watanuki AND Olbia: Samuele Pieri vs Daniel Rincon AND Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-13?49.3¢8$3.9093%58
BUYLoL: G2 HEL vs AZ Rising Eterna (BO3) - LGC Rising Playoffs AND LoL: Cloud9 vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - Worlds Play-In AND Wuhan Tennis Open: Magdalena Frech vs Iga Swiatek AND Wuhan Tennis Open: Sonay Kartal vs Belinda Bencic38.2¢8$2.9193%58
BUYShanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Gea vs Jakub Mensik AND LoL: Team WE vs FlyQuest (BO5) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Playoffs48.1¢10$4.8793%58
BUYLoL: Maryville University vs Disguised (BO5) - LCS Promotion Playoffs AND Roanne: Hugo Grenier vs Benjamin Bonzi AND Shanghai Rolex Masters: Tommy Paul vs Valentin Vacherot AND Wuhan Tennis Open: Katie Boulter vs Diana Shnaider14.6¢20$2.8893%58
BUYShanghai Rolex Masters: Pablo Carreno Busta vs Felix Auger-Aliassime AND Shanghai Rolex Masters: Daniil Medvedev vs Dalibor Svrcina AND Wuhan Tennis Open: Daria Snigur vs Elise Mertens AND Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-13?33.1¢15$4.8493%58
BUYLoL: Team WE vs FlyQuest (BO5) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Playoffs AND Shanghai Rolex Masters: Zizou Bergs vs Carlos Alcaraz AND Wuhan Tennis Open: Iva Jovic vs Mia Pohankova AND Wuhan Tennis Open: Alexandra Eala vs Han Shi47.2¢10$4.8793%58
BUY YesWill Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?56.2¢356$20093%58
SELL NoUS strike on Colombia by December 31?77¢268$20693%58
BUY YesWill Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?56.7¢53$3093%58
BUYWuhan Tennis Open, Qualification: Peyton Stearns vs Han Shi AND Shanghai Rolex Masters: Learner Tien vs Zachary Svajda AND Shanghai Rolex Masters: Tommy Paul vs Adolfo Vallejo37.2¢10$3.8893%58
BUYLoL: Solary vs G2 NORD (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playoffs AND LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs Anubis Gaming (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playoffs AND LoL: Team WE vs FlyQuest (BO5) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Playoffs51.6¢19$9.7693%58
SELL YesWill Paul St-Pierre Plamondon be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?99.4¢55$5493%58
BUY YesWill David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?12.8¢195$2593%58
BUYGames Total: O/U 3.5 AND LoL: HANJIN BRION vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Playoffs36.4¢8$2.9193%58
BUYShanghai Rolex Masters: Karen Khachanov vs Arthur Fery AND Shanghai Rolex Masters: Yannick Hanfmann vs Frances Tiafoe AND LoL: KT Rolster vs Team Vitality (BO5) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Playoffs AND LoL: BNK FEARX vs JD Gaming (BO5) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Playoffs AND Shanghai Rolex Masters: Ben Shelton vs Daniel Altmaier28¢17$4.8393%58
BUYLoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs Anubis Gaming (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playoffs AND Shanghai Rolex Masters: Rei Sakamoto vs Andrey Rublev AND Shanghai Rolex Masters: Learner Tien vs Zachary Svajda AND Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alex de Minaur vs Alex Molcan30.1¢16$4.8393%58
BUYLoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs Anubis Gaming (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playoffs AND Shanghai Rolex Masters: Rei Sakamoto vs Andrey Rublev AND Antofagasta: Gustavo Heide vs Eduardo Ribeiro AND Samsun: Caroline Werner vs Anna Blinkova AND Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alex de Minaur vs Alex Molcan28.5¢17$4.8393%58
BUYLoL: FlyQuest vs RED Canids (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage AND Games Total: O/U 3.5 AND LoL: Natus Vincere vs JD Gaming (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage AND Shanghai Rolex Masters: Kimmer Coppejans vs Stefanos Tsitsipas AND Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-10?42.6¢11$4.8693%58
BUY YesWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?85¢71$6093%58
BUYBraga: Florian Broska vs Lukas Neumayer AND LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs Skillcamp Esport (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playoffs AND LoL: Disguised vs Maryville University (BO5) - LCS Promotion Playoffs AND Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-10?38.9¢12$4.8593%58