PnL all-time−$763vol $132k
PnL 30d+$238gains $51 · losses $1,556
PnL 7d+$51win rate 7d 100.0%
Win rate47.6%adj 48.8% · 30d 50.0%
Open value$3,666cash n/a
Positions11 / 32open / all-time
Max drawdown−92.1%of equity peak
Account age8molast trade 3mo ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$908below peak −$5,254Oct 12
SharpScore inputs
13/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 47.6% · shrunk toward 50%22
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable50
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity8
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch? · Noopen+$2,523USD.AI FDV above $300M one day after launch? · Noclosed+$1,075Will Solstice launch a token by March 31 2026? · Noclosed+$410Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yesclosed+$374Will Perena launch a token by December 31, 2026? · Noopen+$206
Worst markets
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Noclosed−$1,556Flying Tulip FDV above $800M one day after launch? · Noclosed−$1,049Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch? · Noopen−$532Solstice FDV above $50M one day after launch? · Noopen−$399Based FDV above $100M one day after launch? · Noclosed−$368
Open positions · 11
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch? | No | 2,030 | 9.8¢ | 85.5¢ | $1,735 | +$1,536 | +$987 | |
| Unit FDV above $200M one day after launch? | No | 1,018 | 35.4¢ | 54¢ | $550 | +$189 | $0 | |
| Abstract FDV above $400M one day after launch? | No | 353 | 51¢ | 94.9¢ | $335 | +$155 | $0 | |
| Will Perena launch a token by December 31, 2026? | No | 374 | 31.8¢ | 87¢ | $325 | +$206 | $0 | |
| StandX FDV above $200M one day after launch? | No | 442 | 30.6¢ | 64¢ | $283 | +$148 | $0 | |
| Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | 6,396 | 1.4¢ | 2.4¢ | $150 | +$62 | $0 | |
| Perena FDV above $100M one day after launch? | No | 198 | 69.7¢ | 63¢ | $125 | −$13 | $0 | |
| Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch? | Yes | 1,000 | 21.8¢ | 11.5¢ | $115 | −$103 | $0 | |
| Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch? | No | 1,170 | 49.4¢ | 3.9¢ | $46 | −$532 | $0 | |
| Surf FDV above $50M one day after launch? | No | 10 | 33¢ | 29¢ | $2.88 | −$0.40 | $0 | |
| Solstice FDV above $50M one day after launch? | No | 1,091 | 23.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$252 | −$147 |
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