sharpside
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Traders/Unranked

rocky42007

0x6b1…03b2
PnL 10k+1y+WeatherSportPolitics
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$15.1kvol $10.1M
PnL 30d−$9,239gains $5,738 · losses $5,850
PnL 7d−$3,600win rate 7d 75.6%
Win rate51.5%adj 51.4% · 30d 51.5%
Open value$10.8kcash n/a
Positions324 / 6,715open / all-time
Max drawdown−36.3%of equity peak
Account age1.3ylast trade 21h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$15.9kbelow peak −$7,882Oct 12

SharpScore inputs

60/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale60
Adjusted win rateraw 51.5% · shrunk toward 50%28
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d97
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity64

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 100

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026?No84834.4¢100¢$848+$556−$100
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on October 9?No53329.7¢100¢$533+$375+$105
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $780 Week of October 5 2026?Yes30028¢100¢$300+$216$0
Will more than 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026?No46951.1¢61.5¢$288+$49$0
Will the Democratic Party win the MI-03 House seat?Yes30094.5¢95.1¢$285+$1.89$0
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?No28787¢91.5¢$263+$13+$15
Will JPMorgan (JPM) close at USD 1 trillion or more market cap by October 31?No28553¢90¢$257+$106+$33
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?No96524.6¢23.5¢$227−$10+$16
Will Augusto Cury win between 2% and 4% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes21992.1¢100¢$219+$17$0
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 20°C on October 6?No18623.9¢100¢$186+$142+$14
Will JPMorgan (JPM) close at USD 1 trillion or more market cap by December 31?No22335¢81.5¢$182+$104−$4.77
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on October 10?Yes18032¢100¢$180+$123−$8.27
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win between 48% and 51% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No17891.5¢100¢$178+$15$0
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 3 to October 5, 2026?No17387¢100¢$173+$23$0
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 84-85°F on October 7?No17194.6¢100¢$171+$9.25$0
Will Augusto Cury win between 4% and 6% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No15381.7¢100¢$153+$28$0
Will exactly 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026?No30851¢49.5¢$153−$4.55−$26
UFC 332: Marvin Vettori vs. Ismail Naurdiev (Middleweight, Early Prelims)Ismail Naurdiev15053¢100¢$150+$70$0
AS Roma vs. FC Barcelona: AS Roma O/U 0.5Under13152¢100¢$131+$63+$0.13
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on October 4?No13057.1¢100¢$130+$56$0
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 3 to October 5, 2026?No12643.1¢100¢$126+$72+$224
Will the Democrats win the Alabama governor race in 2026?No13295.6¢94.8¢$125−$1.12−$0.28
Map Handicap: GL (-1.5) vs PRIVATE (+1.5)PRIVATE12363.2¢100¢$123+$45+$11
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on October 2?No12264.8¢100¢$122+$43−$10
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 17°C on October 2?No12066.9¢100¢$120+$40−$8.21
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on October 12?No18667¢61.5¢$115−$10+$1.90
Will Solary win WSCI 2026?No10962.9¢100¢$109+$40−$0.86
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on October 9?Yes10936.9¢100¢$109+$69+$10
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 19°C on October 2?No10674.8¢100¢$106+$27−$1.43
Will Chippenham Town FC win on 2026-10-03?No10575¢100¢$105+$26$0
Map Handicap: Gothic (-1.5) vs mellren (+1.5)mellren10377¢100¢$103+$24$0
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 26°C on October 6?No10070.6¢100¢$100+$29+$0.65
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on October 10?No10043.3¢100¢$100+$57−$7.77
Will Jynxzi, Ron, and Los have between 150 and 179 Minecraft deaths during the marathon?No9887¢100¢$98+$13$0
Will "Verity" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 30m and 32m?No8871¢100¢$88+$26−$3.57
Will Vitória SC win on 2026-10-11?No8791¢100¢$87+$7.83$0
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on October 12?No19047.8¢44¢$84−$7.18−$1.21
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 22°C on October 6?No8161.7¢100¢$81+$31−$3.16
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 78-79°F on September 30?No8171.3¢100¢$81+$23+$2.51
Will another city host the final of the 2030 FIFA World Cup?No16648¢48.5¢$81+$0.83$0
Spread: CA Boca Juniors (-1.5)CA Boca Juniors8055¢100¢$80+$36$0
CA Boca Juniors vs. CA Unión: O/U 1.5Over8078¢100¢$80+$18$0
CA Boca Juniors vs. CA Unión: O/U 2.5Over8045¢100¢$80+$44$0
Valorant: LOUD vs Global Esports (BO3) - VCT Champions Group BLOUD7953¢100¢$79+$37$0
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 76-77°F on October 7?No7870.2¢100¢$78+$23+$3.22
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on October 1?No7870.6¢100¢$78+$23−$0.60
Holy Cross vs. William & Mary: O/U 51.5Over7851¢100¢$78+$38$0
Spread: Villanova (-10.5)Morgan State7844¢100¢$78+$43−$0.64
Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on October 2?No7447¢100¢$74+$39+$3.95
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on October 2?No7390.4¢100¢$73+$7.01+$5.60
Will Democrats win the Iowa Governor election and Republicans win the Iowa Senate election?Yes13444¢53.5¢$72+$13+$3.94
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on October 2?No7159.9¢100¢$71+$29+$12
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on October 10?No6420.6¢100¢$64+$51+$11
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 22°C on October 2?No6280¢100¢$62+$12+$6.11
Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?Yes6298.6¢99.3¢$61+$0.40+$170
Will SB Energy IPO by December 31, 2026?No10010¢60.8¢$61+$51$0
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 22°C on October 6?No6069¢100¢$60+$19+$0.19
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 34°C on September 30?No5981.8¢100¢$59+$11−$4.27
Will Jynxzi, Ron, and Los have between 180 and 209 Minecraft deaths during the marathon?No5891¢100¢$58+$5.20−$0.11
Will Iran target an Arab country by October 15, 2026?Yes12025.8¢48¢$58+$27+$52
Will Jynxzi, Ron, and Los have between 60 and 89 Minecraft deaths during the marathon?No5759.5¢100¢$57+$23−$13
Will Jynxzi, Ron, and Los have between 210 and 239 Minecraft deaths during the marathon?No5794.6¢100¢$57+$3.07+$3.49
Will Dagenham & Redbridge FC win on 2026-10-03?No5543¢100¢$55+$31$0
Will Louisiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027?Yes30027¢18¢$54−$27$0
Will Trump and Putin not meet?Yes29917¢18¢$54+$2.98−$16
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on September 30?No5467¢100¢$54+$18+$4.26
Will Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 National League Championship Series?No9436¢52.5¢$49+$15+$32
Map Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs 9z (+1.5)Aurora Gaming4965¢100¢$49+$17+$9.22
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 72-73°F on October 4?No4886¢100¢$48+$6.72$0
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on October 11?No4781¢100¢$47+$8.93+$5.52
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 19°C on October 4?No4668¢100¢$46+$15$0
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on October 12?No4587.4¢100¢$45+$5.70−$0.34
Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?Yes13931¢32.5¢$45+$2.07+$13
Counter-Strike: NAVI Junior vs Next UP (BO1) - FOX Legacy Cup Group ANext UP4322.5¢100¢$43+$34+$22
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on October 10?No4188¢100¢$41+$4.93$0
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on October 7?Yes4030.8¢100¢$40+$28+$17
Will the National Action Party (PAN) win the second most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election?No14124.3¢28¢$40+$5.25$0
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on October 12?Yes3953¢100¢$39+$18$0
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 30°C on September 30?No3893.8¢100¢$38+$2.35$0
Will Louisiana enact a data center moratorium by June 30, 2027?Yes30017¢12.5¢$38−$14$0
Will a team from LPL (China) win LoL Worlds 2026?Yes14634¢25.5¢$37−$12−$4.83
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on October 9?No3776.7¢100¢$37+$8.60+$15
Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Yes22815.9¢15.4¢$35−$1.25−$0.25
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on September 30?No3393¢100¢$33+$2.30$0
Ukraine coup attempt by December 31, 2026?No3492¢95.2¢$32+$1.08$0
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-02 House seat?Yes43324.7¢7.5¢$32−$75−$0.29
Will Gemini Argon debut with a Humanity's Last Exam score of 55% or higher?Yes4767¢68.5¢$32+$0.70$0
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on October 2?No3273¢100¢$32+$8.69+$2.22
Will there be no next Fable model (5.2+) release by October 31, 2026?Yes16221.2¢19.7¢$32−$2.49−$5.57
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 76-77°F on September 30?Yes3032.5¢100¢$30+$21+$34
Will Anders Öberg be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Norrbotten?No64611¢4.5¢$29−$42$0
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 18°C on October 11?No2850¢100¢$28+$14$0
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C on October 8?No2776¢100¢$27+$6.48$0
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 24°C on October 2?No2753.6¢100¢$27+$13+$6.33
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on October 8?Yes2727.4¢100¢$27+$19+$25
Will Google have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of December 2026?Yes5354¢49.5¢$26−$2.38$0
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on October 10?No2678.7¢100¢$26+$5.53+$1.53
Will "Monster: The Lizzie Borden Story: Season 1" be the top global Netflix show this week?No2648¢100¢$26+$13+$33
Will "Verity" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 36m?No2576¢100¢$25+$6.00$0
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on October 10?No2385¢100¢$23+$3.44+$13

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
SELL NoWill the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on October 12?86.6¢10$8.6652%60
SELL NoWill the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on October 12?86.7¢15$1352%60
SELL NoGemini Argon released by October 14, 2026?50¢50$2552%60
SELL NoWill the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on October 12?46¢8$3.6852%60
SELL PRIVATECounter-Strike: GamerLegion vs PRIVATE (BO3) - 1win Private Club #2: Closed Qualifier Playoffs34¢116$3952%60
SELL PRIVATECounter-Strike: GamerLegion vs PRIVATE (BO3) - 1win Private Club #2: Closed Qualifier Playoffs34¢151$5152%60
SELL YesGemini Argon released by October 16, 2026?61¢40$2452%60
SELL NoWill there be no next Fable model (5.2+) release by October 31, 2026?79¢123$9752%60
SELL NoWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on October 10?51¢20$1052%60
SELL YesWill the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on October 9?50¢5$2.5052%60
SELL YesWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on October 10?49¢5$2.4552%60
SELL NoWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on October 10?48¢116$5652%60
SELL NoWill exactly 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026?36¢15$5.4052%60
SELL NoWill exactly 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026?36¢156$5652%60
SELL NoWill the 30-year Treasury yield hit 6.00% before 2027?75.7¢39$3052%60
SELL NoWill South African inflation be greater than 5.0% in 2026?33¢26$8.5852%60
SELL YesWill the highest temperature in Munich be 15°C on October 9?41¢7$2.8752%60
SELL SINQUCounter-Strike: G2 Ares vs SINQU (BO1) - Roman Imperium Cup Group A19¢102$1952%60
SELL YesWill the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on October 7?14¢10$1.4052%60
SELL NoWill Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 National League Championship Series?60¢70$4252%60