sharpside
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Traders/Rank #1,655

0x6ba…0fe5

0x6ba…0fe5
SharpWhalePnL 50k+PnL 10k+WR 60+PoliticsSport
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$93.2kvol $13.0M
PnL 30d+$20.5kgains $12.3k · losses $475
PnL 7d+$6,421win rate 7d 66.7%
Win rate64.9%adj 64.1% · 30d 82.4%
Open value$181kcash n/a
Positions48 / 409open / all-time
Max drawdown−5.7%of equity peak
Account age12molast trade 5h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$121kbelow peak $0Oct 10

SharpScore inputs

76/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale71
Adjusted win rateraw 64.9% · shrunk toward 50%60
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable87
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d99
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity94

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 48

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Yes60.7k46.1¢51¢$30.9k+$2,984$0
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?No25.0k67.3¢84.5¢$21.1k+$4,309+$155
Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?No21.7k53.5¢82¢$17.8k+$6,167+$2.31
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?No20.5k72.4¢81.5¢$16.7k+$1,867+$70
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?No19.4k76.5¢82.5¢$16.0k+$1,159$0
Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?No18.1k81.5¢85.3¢$15.4k+$682−$560
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Yes15.7k79.4¢86.5¢$13.6k+$1,116+$71
Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?No8,49869¢93¢$7,903+$2,041+$1,065
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?No14.0k42.1¢51.5¢$7,204+$1,312$0
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?No12.9k46.5¢55¢$7,095+$1,085+$104
Israel military action against Greater Beirut by October 31?No4,78184.6¢93¢$4,446+$402$0
Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Yes11.1k26.6¢28.5¢$3,157+$213$0
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?Yes3,76571.3¢76¢$2,862+$176$0
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?No3,48465.1¢72¢$2,509+$240$0
Will Yashar win 30 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?No2,50182.9¢94.5¢$2,362+$288$0
Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by October 31?No2,62588.8¢89.5¢$2,350+$19+$14
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No2,58091¢89.5¢$2,309−$39−$15
Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?No2,47564.3¢62¢$1,534−$57+$1.11
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?No1,44076.6¢79¢$1,138+$34$0
Kash Patel out by December 31?No1,32274¢78.5¢$1,038+$59$0
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Yes8,12312.8¢11¢$894−$150−$2.46
Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?No1,00873¢82.5¢$831+$96$0
Will Shas win 6-7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?No38474.6¢68¢$261−$25$0
Will any AI model reach 1580 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?No31171¢83.5¢$260+$39$0
Will RZP-Zehut win 4-5 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?No35272.9¢68.5¢$241−$15$0
Will the New Economic Party / The Reservists be in the next Israeli government?No48066.2¢44¢$211−$107$0
Will Dems win fewer than 8 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?No15162.5¢85.5¢$129+$35$0
Will Religious Zionist Party–Zehut win less than 3.25% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?No14081¢86.4¢$121+$7.49$0
Will RZP-Zehut win a seat in the 2026 Knesset elections?Yes12381¢83.5¢$103+$3.08$0
Syrian troops enter Yemen by December 31, 2026?No7974.3¢84.5¢$67+$8.10$0
Israel election: will Likud lose seats?No7637.8¢7.1¢$54−$5.13+$5.02
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?No5086¢93.5¢$47+$3.76$0
Will Blue and White win 3.25% or more of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?No4484.5¢95.6¢$42+$4.90$0
Will Dems win 14 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?No4085.5¢94.8¢$38+$3.72$0
Will Amcha Yisrael win fewer than 4 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?Yes3628¢64.5¢$23+$13$0
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1510?Yes6612¢29¢$19+$11$0
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1500?Yes5723¢27.5¢$16+$2.56$0
Will Together win the second-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?No1097.3¢97.5¢$9.75+$0.03$0
CA Osasuna vs. FC Barcelona: Both Teams to ScoreNo3,59986¢0¢$0−$3,094−$13
UFC 328: Yaroslav Amosov vs. Joel Álvarez (Welterweight, Prelims)Joel Álvarez1,89937.4¢0¢$0−$711−$13
UFC 328: Jeremy Stephens vs. King Green (Lightweight, Main Card)Jeremy Stephens1,14522.9¢0¢$0−$262−$6.06
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 330m and 340m?Yes1,0792.4¢0¢$0−$26$0
Tulsi Gabbard out by June 30?No17276.3¢0¢$0−$131−$1.25
Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by August 31, 2026?No15859.4¢0¢$0−$94$0
Will Cape Verde finish second in Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?No4691¢0¢$0−$42−$7.50
Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting occur after May 10?No3560¢0¢$0−$21$0
Will South Africa finish second in Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?No2291¢0¢$0−$20$0
Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by July 31, 2026?No977.6¢0¢$0−$6.60+$52

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
SELL NoUS announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?94¢90$8565%76Sharp
BUY NoSyrian troops enter Yemen by December 31, 2026?74.3¢79$5965%76Sharp
BUY YesIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?71¢1,425$1,01265%76Sharp
SELL NoSaudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by October 31?90¢1,182$1,06465%76Sharp
SELL YesWill Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?13¢416$5465%76Sharp
BUY NoWill Together win the second-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?97.3¢10$9.7365%76Sharp
BUY NoWill Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?91¢2,580$2,34865%76Sharp
BUY YesWill Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?46¢30$1465%76Sharp
BUY NoWill Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?77.3¢3,613$2,79365%76Sharp
BUY NoSaudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by October 31?89¢2,967$2,64165%76Sharp
BUY NoSaudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by October 31?88¢840$74065%76Sharp
BUY YesWill Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?53¢134$7165%76Sharp
BUY NoWill the New Economic Party / The Reservists be in the next Israeli government?66.3¢480$31865%76Sharp
BUY NoWill Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?42¢3,972$1,66865%76Sharp
SELL NoWill Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?77¢8,457$6,51565%76Sharp
SELL NoUS announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?42.1¢6,157$2,59265%76Sharp
BUY YesIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?82¢1,009$82765%76Sharp
BUY YesIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?82¢1,581$1,29665%76Sharp
BUY NoIran charges Hormuz fees by September 30?83.2¢5$4.1665%76Sharp
SELL NoIran full airspace closure by September 30?98.9¢1,800$1,78065%76Sharp