PnL all-time+$152kvol $13.7M
PnL 30d$0gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d$0win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate51.5%adj 51.4% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$0cash n/a
Positions8 / 173open / all-time
Max drawdown−32.7%of equity peak
Account age2.2ylast trade 9mo ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$152kbelow peak −$38.1kOct 8
SharpScore inputs
49/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale74
Adjusted win rateraw 51.5% · shrunk toward 50%28
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable75
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity67
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will MicroStrategy announce holding 650k+ BTC by November 30? · Noclosed+$104kFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting? · Yesclosed+$54.2kWill Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister? · Noclosed+$31.8kWill Zelenskyy wear a suit before July? · Noclosed+$29.5kWill Biden finish his term? · Yesclosed+$19.6k
Worst markets
Will Ethereum reach $5000 in October? · Yesclosed−$42.1kMicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase December 2-8? · Noopen−$35.2kWill a Democrat win the popular vote and a Republican win the Presidency? · Yesclosed−$30.1kWill Monad perform an airdrop by November 15? · Yesclosed−$19.8kLighter Airdrop on December 29? · Yesclosed−$18.3k
Open positions · 8
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase December 2-8? | No | 70.4k | 50¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$35.2k | $0 | |
| Will a handshake between Trump and Mohammed bin Salman only be photographed on November 18 2025? | Yes | 25.0k | 3.4¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$850 | $0 | |
| Nothing Ever Happens: December | No | 25.0k | 59¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$14.7k | +$0.61 | |
| Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11? | Yes | 22.3k | 3.8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$845 | $0 | |
| Will the government shutdown end November 11? | Yes | 20.0k | 2.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$491 | $0 | |
| Will the Gävle Goat burn in 2025? | Yes | 9,000 | 27.7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$2,494 | $0 | |
| Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31? | Yes | 789 | 1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$7.89 | $0 | |
| Trump announces new drug boat strike by November 30? | Yes | 58 | 20¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$12 | $0 |
Recent trades
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