sharpside
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Traders/Rank #3,571

mapleggg

0x6bd…6fcd
PoliticsSportWeather
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$882vol $62.3k
PnL 30d+$5,911gains $574 · losses $458
PnL 7d+$3,572win rate 7d 34.5%
Win rate34.5%adj 35.1% · 30d 34.5%
Open value$31cash n/a
Positions765 / 4,661open / all-time
Max drawdown−35.4%of equity peak
Account age6molast trade 2d ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$8,499below peak −$4,649Oct 9

SharpScore inputs

51/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale42
Adjusted win rateraw 34.5% · shrunk toward 50%0
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d91
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity65

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 100

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will China’s CPI increase by ≤0.4% over the 12 month period ending in September 2026?No599.8¢99.3¢$4.96−$0.03$0
Will Boris Pistorius be the next Chancellor of Germany?No599.9¢96.8¢$4.85−$0.16+$0.13
Will Javier Milei win the most votes in the first round of the 2027 Argentina presidential election?Yes32.2¢42.5¢$1.28+$1.21$0
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MD-03 House election by 30%-35%?Yes47.7¢30.6¢$1.25+$0.94+$0.20
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-18 House election by 5%-10%?Yes59.1¢25¢$1.24+$0.79+$0.65
Will Jim Chalmers be Prime Minister of Australia after the next election?Yes200¢6.1¢$1.22+$1.22$0
Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series?Yes53.2¢24¢$1.19+$1.03+$12
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Mississippi Senate election by 0%-5%?Yes510¢16.8¢$0.84+$0.34$0
Will Yisrael Beiteinu win 10-11 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?Yes520¢15¢$0.75−$0.25$0
Will The Democrats win 8-9% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?Yes520¢14.5¢$0.72−$0.28$0
Will the Ornn RTX 5090 Index be between $0.50 and $0.55 on October 31, 2026?Yes516.7¢14.5¢$0.65−$0.10$0
Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be at least $2.5T?Yes312.5¢18.4¢$0.55+$0.18$0
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?Yes24.5¢26¢$0.53+$0.43+$3.75
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-04 House election by 15%-18%?Yes57.7¢10.7¢$0.49+$0.14$0
Will Professora Maria do Carmo win the 2026 Amazonas gubernatorial election?Yes43.8¢12¢$0.48+$0.33$0
Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.25 and $2.50 on November 30, 2026?Yes216.7¢20¢$0.48+$0.08$0
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 WI-06 House election by 0%-5%?Yes59.1¢9.2¢$0.46+$0.01$0
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Mississippi Senate election?Yes510¢7¢$0.35−$0.15$0
Will “The Fall” by Cody Johnson win Music Video of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards?Yes53.1¢7¢$0.35+$0.19$0
Will the Ornn H100 Index be less than $1.50 on December 31, 2026?Yes514.3¢5.9¢$0.30−$0.42$0
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Mississippi Senate election by 25%-30%?Yes510¢5.7¢$0.28−$0.21$0
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NC-04 House election by 40%-45%?Yes56.5¢5¢$0.25−$0.08$0
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from New Hampshire be 800,000 or more?Yes512.5¢5¢$0.25−$0.38$0
Will Orit Farkash-Hacohen be the next Israeli Minister of Interior?Yes53¢4.8¢$0.24+$0.09$0
Will Meta be the #2 AI lab at the end of October 2026?Yes23.1¢10¢$0.23+$0.16+$2.15
Will Meituan be the #3 AI Lab at the end of December 2026 (Style Control On)?Yes32.9¢7.6¢$0.23+$0.14$0
Will Auxerre win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship?Yes4134.5¢0.1¢$0.21−$19$0
Will Le Mans win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship?Yes4134.5¢0.1¢$0.21−$19$0
Will Angers win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship?Yes4134.5¢0.1¢$0.21−$19$0
Will Lorient win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship?Yes4134.5¢0.1¢$0.21−$19$0
Will Le Havre win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship?Yes4134.5¢0.1¢$0.21−$19$0
Will Lille win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship?Yes54.5¢3.7¢$0.17−$0.04$0
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Mississippi Senate election by 30% or more?Yes510¢3.3¢$0.16−$0.34$0
Will Tencent be the #3 AI Lab at the end of December 2026 (Style Control On)?Yes32.9¢5.4¢$0.16+$0.07$0
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-13 House election by 15%-18%?Yes57.7¢2.9¢$0.15−$0.24$0
Will the Republican Party hold 230 or more House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Yes50¢2.4¢$0.11+$0.11$0
Will Baidu be the #3 AI Lab at the end of December 2026 (Style Control On)?Yes32.9¢3.9¢$0.11+$0.03$0
Will MiniMax be the #3 AI Lab at the end of December 2026 (Style Control On)?Yes32.9¢3.6¢$0.11+$0.02$0
Will Xiaomi be the #3 AI Lab at the end of December 2026 (Style Control On)?Yes12.9¢10.2¢$0.10+$0.07$0
Will ISM Services PMI be at least 59.0 in October?Yes310¢3¢$0.10−$0.24$0
Will GANA win the second most seats in the 2027 Salvadoran legislative election?Yes42.6¢2.4¢$0.10−$0.01+$1.99
Will Perplexity AI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes1940¢0.1¢$0.10+$0.10$0
Will Waymo have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes1940¢0.1¢$0.10+$0.10$0
Will SHEIN have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes1830¢0.1¢$0.09+$0.09$0
Will Charlotte FC win the 2026 MLS Cup?Yes33.2¢2.7¢$0.09−$0.02$0
Will Yoram Cohen be the next Israeli Minister of Interior?Yes53¢1.8¢$0.09−$0.06$0
Will Oded Forer be the next Israeli Minister of Interior?Yes53¢1.7¢$0.09−$0.07$0
Will Yair Golan be the next Israeli Minister of Interior?Yes53¢1.7¢$0.09−$0.07$0
Will Meirav Cohen be the next Israeli Minister of Interior?Yes53¢1.7¢$0.09−$0.07$0
Will Keren Terner Eyal be the next Israeli Minister of Interior?Yes53¢1.7¢$0.09−$0.07$0
Will Olara Otunnu be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations?Yes150¢0.5¢$0.08+$0.08$0
Will Thinky have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes1333.1¢0.1¢$0.07−$4.10$0
Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes1333.1¢0.1¢$0.07−$4.10$0
Will Microsoft have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes1333.1¢0.1¢$0.07−$4.10$0
Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes1333.1¢0.1¢$0.07−$4.10$0
Will MiniMax have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes1333.1¢0.1¢$0.07−$4.10$0
Will StepFun have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes1333.1¢0.1¢$0.07−$4.10$0
Will Nvidia have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes1333.1¢0.1¢$0.07−$4.10$0
Will Amazon have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes1333.1¢0.1¢$0.07−$4.10$0
Will ISM Services PMI be between 51.0 and 51.9 in October?Yes710¢0.8¢$0.05−$0.65$0
Will Discord have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes910¢0.1¢$0.05+$0.05$0
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NC-04 House election by 20%-30%?Yes56.5¢0.9¢$0.04−$0.28$0
Will Eli Cohen be the next Israeli Minister of National Security?Yes103¢0.4¢$0.04−$0.26$0
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NJ-07 House election by 18% or more?Yes27.7¢1.7¢$0.04−$0.14−$0.18
Will Mistral be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of November 2026?Yes12.9¢3.8¢$0.04+$0.01$0
Will Brest win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship?Yes674.5¢0.1¢$0.03−$3.00$0
Will Mistral be the third-best AI lab at the end of December 2026?Yes12.9¢3.1¢$0.03$0+$1.43
Will Hili Tropper be the next Israeli Minister of Finance?Yes53.1¢0.5¢$0.03−$0.13+$2.35
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Israeli Minister of Finance?Yes53.1¢0.5¢$0.03−$0.13+$2.35
Will Moshe Feiglin be the next Israeli Minister of Finance?Yes53.1¢0.5¢$0.03−$0.13+$2.35
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Israeli Minister of Finance?Yes53.1¢0.5¢$0.03−$0.13+$2.35
Will Yair Golan be the next Israeli Minister of National Security?Yes53¢0.5¢$0.03−$0.12+$2.35
Will Los Angeles Chargers win the 2026 AFC West?Yes219.2¢1.5¢$0.03−$0.31$0
Will Bruno Fernandes win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes511.1¢0.1¢$0.03−$0.55$0
Will Luis Diaz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes511.1¢0.1¢$0.03−$0.55$0
Will Vitinha win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes511.1¢0.1¢$0.03−$0.55$0
Will Vinícius Júnior win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes511.1¢0.1¢$0.03−$0.55$0
Will Lautaro Martinez win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes511.1¢0.1¢$0.03−$0.55$0
Will Declan Rice win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes511.1¢0.1¢$0.03−$0.55$0
Will Achraf Hakimi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes511.1¢0.1¢$0.03−$0.55$0
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Israeli Minister of Interior?Yes53¢0.5¢$0.03−$0.13$0
Will Bezalel Smotrich be the next Israeli Minister of National Security?Yes53¢0.5¢$0.02−$0.13+$2.35
Will Meituan be the third-best AI lab at the end of December 2026?Yes42.9¢0.5¢$0.02−$0.09+$1.71
Will Amazon be the third-best AI lab at the end of October 2026?Yes203.1¢0.1¢$0.02−$0.61$0
Will Alibaba be the #2 AI lab at the end of October 2026?Yes43.1¢0.5¢$0.02−$0.10+$1.85
Will Marseille win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship?Yes44.5¢0.5¢$0.02−$0.18$0
Will SpaceXAI be the #3 AI Lab at the end of December 2026 (Style Control On)?Yes32.9¢0.7¢$0.02−$0.06$0
Will zekken play for Sentinels in 2027?Yes115.6¢0.2¢$0.02−$0.60$0
Will ISM Services PMI be between 58.0 and 58.9 in October?Yes210¢0.8¢$0.02−$0.18$0
Will Colonel Busnello win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?Yes324.3¢0.1¢$0.02−$1.37$0
Will Michael Younger win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes322.2¢0.1¢$0.02−$0.69$0
Will Leo Zacky win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes322.2¢0.1¢$0.02−$0.69$0
Will Toni Atkins win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes322.2¢0.1¢$0.02−$0.69$0
Will Kyle Langford win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes322.2¢0.1¢$0.02−$0.69$0
Will Eric Swalwell win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes322.2¢0.1¢$0.02−$0.69$0
Will Daniel Mercuri win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes322.2¢0.1¢$0.02−$0.69$0
Will Stephen Cloobeck win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes322.2¢0.1¢$0.02−$0.69$0
Will Katie Porter win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes322.2¢0.1¢$0.02−$0.69$0
Will Betty Yee win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes322.2¢0.1¢$0.02−$0.69$0
Will Kamala Harris win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes322.2¢0.1¢$0.02−$0.69$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on October 8?64¢2$1.2935%51
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on October 8?61¢2$1.2335%51
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in Panama City be 24°C or below on October 8?99.9¢2$2.0235%51
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in Panama City be 25°C on October 8?99.9¢2$2.0235%51
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in Panama City be 26°C on October 8?99.9¢2$2.0235%51
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in Panama City be 27°C on October 8?99.9¢2$2.0235%51
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in Panama City be 34°C or higher on October 8?98.2¢2$1.9835%51
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in Panama City be 30°C on October 8?90¢2$1.8235%51
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in Panama City be 29°C on October 8?93¢2$1.8835%51
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in Panama City be 28°C on October 8?99¢2$2.0035%51
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in Manila be 36°C on October 7?99.9¢5$5.0035%51
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on October 7?78¢5$3.9135%51
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in Manila be 35°C on October 7?99.5¢5$4.9835%51
BUY NoWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026?99.8¢6$6.2435%51
BUY NoWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026?16¢6$1.0035%51
BUY NoWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026?99.8¢8$8.3235%51
BUY NoWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026?87¢8$7.2635%51
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 23°C on October 7?89.1¢8$6.8635%51
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on October 8?92¢8$7.6235%51
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on October 8?91¢8$7.5335%51