PnL all-time−$4,064vol $57.1k
PnL 30d−$650gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d−$113win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate37.1%adj 41.8% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$3,871cash n/a
Positions2 / 37open / all-time
Max drawdown−58.8%of equity peak
Account age2.1ylast trade 7mo ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL−$3,693below peak −$2,464Oct 12
SharpScore inputs
12/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 37.1% · shrunk toward 50%4
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable52
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity41
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2024 meeting? · Yesclosed+$371Will Bitcoin hit $100k before Trump inauguration? · Yesclosed+$290Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yesopen+$258Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days? · Noclosed+$243Will Trump endorse any candidate for President before 2027? · Noopen+$113
Worst markets
Open positions · 2
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 18.7k | 13.4¢ | 14.8¢ | $2,758 | +$258 | $0 | |
| Will Trump endorse any candidate for President before 2027? | No | 1,158 | 86.3¢ | 96.1¢ | $1,113 | +$113 | $0 |
Recent trades
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