PnL all-time+$2,547vol $492k
PnL 30d+$32gains $214 · losses $0
PnL 7d+$12win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate85.7%adj 72.7% · 30d 100.0%
Open value$1,835cash n/a
Positions32 / 67open / all-time
Max drawdown−84.5%of equity peak
Account age1.7ylast trade 1d ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$2,947below peak −$12.5kOct 14
SharpScore inputs
41/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale49
Adjusted win rateraw 85.7% · shrunk toward 50%82
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable61
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d95
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity16
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister? · Yesclosed+$15.4kWill the Liberal Party win the popular vote in Canada's next election? · Yesclosed+$4,090Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? · Yesclosed+$1,265Israel x Iran ceasefire before July? · Noclosed+$1,121Norway vs. England: O/U 2.5 · Underclosed+$1,090
Worst markets
Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives in 2025? · Yesclosed−$5,468Iran x Israel conflict ends before July? · Noopen−$3,896Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yesopen−$2,166Will the Liberal Party win the most seats in British Columbia in the next Canadian Election? · Yesclosed−$1,967Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yesopen−$1,905
Open positions · 5
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? | No | 1,000 | 37¢ | 89.5¢ | $895 | +$525 | $0 | |
| Will Lorne Doerkson be the next Premier of British Columbia? | Yes | 1,000 | 75¢ | 79.5¢ | $795 | +$45 | $0 | |
| Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 1,489 | 45.9¢ | 8¢ | $119 | −$564 | $0 | |
| Will Pete Fry win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election? | Yes | 32 | 56¢ | 57.1¢ | $18 | +$0.34 | $0 | |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? | Yes | 41 | 22¢ | 18¢ | $7.39 | −$1.64 | $0 |
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