PnL all-time+$1,393vol $17.2k
PnL 30d−$70gains $673 · losses $103
PnL 7d−$377win rate 7d 75.0%
Win rate85.7%adj 64.7% · 30d 77.8%
Open value$2,105cash n/a
Positions5 / 19open / all-time
Max drawdown−45.4%of equity peak
Account age46dlast trade 17h ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$867below peak −$447Oct 11
SharpScore inputs
37/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale45
Adjusted win rateraw 85.7% · shrunk toward 50%62
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable43
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d98
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity55
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Next Google Gemini Flash Model (3.8+) released by September 2, 2026? · Yesclosed+$633Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by September 30, 2026? · Yesclosed+$268Gemini 4.0 released by October 10, 2026? · Noclosed+$172Next Google Gemini Flash Model (3.8+) released by September 4, 2026? · Yesclosed+$157Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released between September 28 and October 4, 2026? · Noclosed+$111
Worst markets
Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026? · Yesopen−$592Gemini 4.0 released by October 13, 2026? · Yesopen−$145Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 23, 2026? · Yesclosed−$89Gemini 4.0 released by October 14, 2026? · Yesopen−$29Gemini 4.0 released by October 16, 2026? · Yesclosed−$14
Open positions · 5
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026? | Yes | 2,235 | 76.8¢ | 51.5¢ | $1,151 | −$566 | −$26 | |
| Gemini 4.0 released by October 14, 2026? | Yes | 935 | 55.6¢ | 52.5¢ | $491 | −$29 | $0 | |
| Gemini 4.0 released by October 13, 2026? | Yes | 1,334 | 39.4¢ | 28.5¢ | $380 | −$145 | $0 | |
| Next Gemini Flash Model (3.9+) released by October 31, 2026? | No | 150 | 63.5¢ | 55.5¢ | $83 | −$12 | $0 | |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on October 8, 2026? | Yes | 52 | 0.3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$0.16 | $0 |
Recent trades
auto-refresh 30s