sharpside
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Traders/Rank #18,467

AYTLS

0x6c9…9627
WR 60+SportPolitics
Polymarket
PnL all-time−$2,333vol $612k
PnL 30d−$3,342gains $2,110 · losses $423
PnL 7d−$1,273win rate 7d 100.0%
Win rate67.3%adj 64.7% · 30d 66.7%
Open value$2,424cash n/a
Positions152 / 265open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age4molast trade 2h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL−$2,410below peak −$6,405Oct 13

SharpScore inputs

37/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 67.3% · shrunk toward 50%62
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable81
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d100
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 100

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?Yes10.4k7.7¢6.5¢$677−$123−$18
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?No3,06317.6¢16.5¢$505−$35$0
Israel military action against Greater Beirut by October 31?Yes3,09114.2¢8¢$247−$193$0
Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Yes75723.8¢26¢$197+$17$0
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Yes45239.9¢42¢$190+$9.66−$11
Will Israel election happen as scheduled?No1,75810.2¢10.3¢$180+$0.17−$109
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes54533¢30.5¢$166−$14−$5.93
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?No4,2508.5¢2.8¢$117−$243−$82
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?No43941¢18.5¢$81−$99$0
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?No2,5737¢1.9¢$49−$131$0
US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?No9,57912.3¢0¢$0−$1,180$0
US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 25?No6,44110.5¢0¢$0−$680$0
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 10?Yes6,0723¢0¢$0−$180$0
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 7?No4,7699.2¢0¢$0−$440$0
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?No4,53815.1¢0¢$0−$684−$212
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?No4,3904.1¢0¢$0−$180−$1,016
Israel military action against Greater Beirut by July 31?Yes3,9384.6¢0¢$0−$180+$4.00
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes3,84726¢0¢$0−$1,001+$30
Israel military action against Greater Beirut by September 30?Yes3,52515.3¢0¢$0−$540$0
Iran full airspace closure by July 21?Yes3,41111.6¢0¢$0−$394−$6.93
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4?No2,9762.9¢0¢$0−$85$0
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?No2,9647.8¢0¢$0−$230−$58
Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by June 30?Yes2,8953.5¢0¢$0−$100$0
Iran full airspace closure by July 15?Yes2,6975.1¢0¢$0−$139+$377
US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 22?No2,5717¢0¢$0−$180$0
Exact Score: Netherlands 2 - 2 Sweden?Yes2,5717¢0¢$0−$180−$5.02
Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by June 26?Yes2,5542.2¢0¢$0−$55$0
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes2,38619.4¢0¢$0−$462−$5.13
US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 20?No2,2167.2¢0¢$0−$160$0
US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 24, 2026?Yes2,0759.4¢0¢$0−$194−$51
Israel closes its airspace by June 9?Yes2,0231.4¢0¢$0−$28−$130
Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 2 Korea Republic?Yes2,0006¢0¢$0−$120−$3.38
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?Yes1,9569.2¢0¢$0−$180−$26
US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 25?No1,8869.5¢0¢$0−$180$0
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 7?Yes1,8722.1¢0¢$0−$40$0
Spread: Belgium (-3.5)Belgium1,80010¢0¢$0−$180−$4.86
Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's US Open?Yes1,75010.3¢0¢$0−$180−$4.84
Kylian Mbappé: 3+ goalsYes1,7425¢0¢$0−$87+$343
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by June 30?Yes1,7355.8¢0¢$0−$100$0
Iran full airspace closure by September 30?Yes1,72810.4¢0¢$0−$180$0
Israel closes its airspace by July 15?Yes1,7134.1¢0¢$0−$70$0
Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 17?Yes1,71310.5¢0¢$0−$180$0
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?Yes1,6854.7¢0¢$0−$80$0
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 7, 2026?Yes1,6767.8¢0¢$0−$130$0
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 17?Yes1,63613.6¢0¢$0−$223+$67
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 20?No1,6052.6¢0¢$0−$41$0
Iran full airspace closure by July 24?Yes1,57616.2¢0¢$0−$256−$1.23
Will Novak Djokovic be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?Yes1,54111.3¢0¢$0−$174−$25
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 9?No1,4741.9¢0¢$0−$28$0
Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?Yes1,45555¢0¢$0−$800−$11
Will Israel win on 2026-09-24?Yes1,38513¢0¢$0−$180−$7.83
Exact Score: Germany 3 - 3 Côte d'Ivoire?Yes1,3341.3¢0¢$0−$18−$0.53
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 22?No1,3196.1¢0¢$0−$80$0
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?No1,26728.4¢0¢$0−$360$0
Iran full airspace closure by July 31?Yes1,26321.4¢0¢$0−$270+$62
Exact Score: Germany 3 - 1 Côte d'Ivoire?Yes1,2508¢0¢$0−$100−$2.76
United States vs. Australia: O/U 5.5Over1,2075.8¢0¢$0−$70−$1.98
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?Yes1,20115¢0¢$0−$180$0
Israel closes its airspace by July 24?Yes1,20015¢0¢$0−$180$0
Will Iran close its airspace by June 10?Yes1,19624.2¢0¢$0−$289−$111
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by June 30?Yes1,1674.3¢0¢$0−$50$0
Exact Score: Germany 3 - 2 Côte d'Ivoire?Yes1,1314.4¢0¢$0−$50−$1.43
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 24?Yes1,05033.3¢0¢$0−$350+$202
Will Iran close its airspace by June 12?Yes1,0181.7¢0¢$0−$17−$275
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 31?Yes9582.6¢0¢$0−$25$0
Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Novak DjokovicNovak Djokovic85721¢0¢$0−$180−$7.11
Cincinnati Open: Arthur Fils vs Frances TiafoeFrances Tiafoe83614¢0¢$0−$117+$73
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?Yes7432.7¢0¢$0−$20−$105
Will Israel win on 2026-10-04?Yes72724.8¢0¢$0−$180−$6.77
Will Israel win on 2026-09-27?Yes70337¢0¢$0−$260−$8.19
Will Iran target Saudi Arabia by August 31, 2026?Yes6637.5¢0¢$0−$50$0
Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Joao FonsecaCasper Ruud65342.4¢0¢$0−$277−$4.78
Israel closes its airspace by June 10?Yes6524.6¢0¢$0−$30$0
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?Yes63447.3¢0¢$0−$300−$4.32
Will Iran close its airspace by June 11?Yes6234.5¢0¢$0−$28−$356
US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Ben SheltonBen Shelton62129¢0¢$0−$180−$6.39
Exact Score: Any Other Score?Yes61513¢0¢$0−$80−$2.09
Michael Olise: 1+ goalsYes58230.9¢0¢$0−$180−$3.73
Spread: Morocco (-1.5)Morocco58131¢0¢$0−$180−$3.73
Exact Score: Belgium 2 - 0 IR Iran?Yes57114¢0¢$0−$80−$2.06
Viktor Gyökeres: 1+ goalsYes56332¢0¢$0−$180−$3.67
Will Iran target Qatar by August 31, 2026?Yes5519.1¢0¢$0−$50$0
Mexico vs. South Africa: Both Teams to ScoreYes54533.1¢0¢$0−$180−$3.62
Brazil vs. Haiti: O/U 4.5Over54333.1¢0¢$0−$180−$3.61
MH Maccabi Tel Aviv vs. FC Lugano: Team to AdvanceMH Maccabi Tel Aviv54033.3¢0¢$0−$180−$6.00
Scotland vs. Morocco: O/U 3.5Over53022¢0¢$0−$117−$2.73
Iran invades Kuwait by August 31?Yes5221¢0¢$0−$5.00$0
Exact Score: Any Other Score?Yes50020¢0¢$0−$100−$2.40
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 28?No4993.6¢0¢$0−$18$0
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 29?Yes48637¢0¢$0−$180$0
Will Brazil vs. Norway end in a draw?Yes48128¢0¢$0−$135−$2.91
Spread: FC Barcelona (-2.5)FC Barcelona47438¢0¢$0−$180−$5.58
Will Julian Alvarez be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes4743.8¢0¢$0−$18−$0.52
Will MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva vs. Sabah FK end in a draw?Yes46239¢0¢$0−$180−$5.49
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 27?Yes46139.1¢0¢$0−$180$0
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 28?Yes44840.2¢0¢$0−$180$0
England vs. Ghana: O/U 3.5Over43941¢0¢$0−$180−$3.19
Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Alexander ZverevRafael Jodar43821¢0¢$0−$92−$2.18
Scotland vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5Over42942¢0¢$0−$180−$3.13
Cristiano Ronaldo: 1+ goalsNo42942¢0¢$0−$180−$3.13

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY NoIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?17¢1,059$18067%37
SELL YesWill FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-13?93¢563$52367%37
BUY YesWill FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-13?32¢563$18067%37
BUYWill FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-13? AND Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-10-13? AND Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-13? AND Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-10-13? AND Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-13? AND Will Villarreal CF vs. SSC Napoli end in a draw? AND Will RB Leipzig vs. PSV end in a draw?1.3¢1,092$1467%37
BUY YesIsrael military action against Greater Beirut by October 31?14.6¢1,235$18067%37
BUY NoWill Israel election happen as scheduled?10.2¢1,758$18067%37
BUY YesIsrael military action against Greater Beirut by October 31?11¢730$8067%37
BUY NoIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?18¢1,000$18067%37
BUY NoUS x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?9¢2,000$18067%37
BUY NoUS x Iran ceasefire continues through October 9?1.9¢1,474$2867%37
BUY NoIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?7¢2,573$18067%37
BUY NoUS x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?8¢2,250$18067%37
SELL NoWill Israel election happen as scheduled?4.6¢1,746$8067%37
SELL NoUS x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?5.5¢1,800$9867%37
BUY NoWill Israel election happen as scheduled?10.3¢1,746$18067%37
BUY YesIsrael accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?12¢500$6067%37
BUY YesIsrael accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?12¢1,500$18067%37
BUY NoUS x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?10¢1,800$18067%37
SELL YesWill France win on 2026-10-05?88¢500$44067%37
BUY YesIsrael accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?6¢3,000$18067%37