| Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 16 | 1.1¢ | 52.3¢ | $8.11 | +$7.93 | $0 | |
| Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 16 | 1.1¢ | 40.1¢ | $6.22 | +$6.04 | +$3.53 | |
| Will Mistral have the best Math AI model at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 116 | 2.9¢ | 0.8¢ | $0.87 | −$2.53 | $0 | |
| Will ByteDance have the best Math AI model at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 116 | 2.9¢ | 0.5¢ | $0.64 | −$2.76 | $0 | |
| Will Alex Pereira be the UFC Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026? | Yes | 84 | 5.3¢ | 0.7¢ | $0.55 | −$3.88 | $0 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on October 9? | Yes | 23 | 9.1¢ | 2.1¢ | $0.47 | −$1.60 | $0 | |
| Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 419 | 3.1¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.42 | −$13 | $0 | |
| Will Meta have the best Math AI model at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 18 | 2.9¢ | 2¢ | $0.36 | −$0.17 | $0 | |
| Will Team Liquid win Worlds 2026? | Yes | 25 | 5¢ | 1.1¢ | $0.26 | −$0.99 | $0 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on October 9? | Yes | 50 | 9.1¢ | 0.5¢ | $0.23 | −$4.32 | $0 | |
| Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 419 | 3.1¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.21 | −$13 | $0 | |
| Will Thinky have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 419 | 3.1¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.21 | −$13 | $0 | |
| Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 419 | 3.1¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.21 | −$13 | $0 | |
| Will Microsoft have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 419 | 3.1¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.21 | −$13 | $0 | |
| Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 419 | 3.1¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.21 | −$13 | $0 | |
| Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 419 | 3.1¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.21 | −$13 | $0 | |
| Will MiniMax have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 419 | 3.1¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.21 | −$13 | $0 | |
| Will StepFun have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 419 | 3.1¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.21 | −$13 | $0 | |
| Will Tencent have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 419 | 3.1¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.21 | −$13 | $0 | |
| Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 419 | 3.1¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.21 | −$13 | $0 | |
| Will Nvidia have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 419 | 3.1¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.21 | −$13 | $0 | |
| Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 419 | 3.1¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.21 | −$13 | $0 | |
| Will Xiaomi have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 419 | 3.1¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.21 | −$13 | $0 | |
| Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 419 | 3.1¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.21 | −$13 | $0 | |
| Will Amazon have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 419 | 3.1¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.21 | −$13 | $0 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on October 9? | Yes | 50 | 9.1¢ | 0.4¢ | $0.20 | −$4.35 | $0 | |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C or higher on October 9? | Yes | 63 | 9.1¢ | 0.3¢ | $0.19 | −$5.55 | $0 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on October 9? | Yes | 25 | 9.1¢ | 0.7¢ | $0.17 | −$2.10 | $0 | |
| Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 16 | 1.1¢ | 1.1¢ | $0.16 | −$0.01 | $0 | |
| Will LYON win Worlds 2026? | Yes | 25 | 5¢ | 0.7¢ | $0.16 | −$1.09 | $0 | |
| Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the October 2026 meeting? | Yes | 318 | 20¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.16 | −$63 | $0 | |
| Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the October 2026 meeting? | Yes | 318 | 20¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.16 | −$63 | $0 | |
| Will Carlos Cuerpo be the next Prime Minister of Spain? | Yes | 100 | 1.7¢ | 0.2¢ | $0.15 | −$1.57 | $0 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Munich be 11°C on October 9? | Yes | 52 | 9.1¢ | 0.3¢ | $0.13 | −$4.62 | $0 | |
| Will Xiaomi have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? | Yes | 50 | 2.9¢ | 0.3¢ | $0.13 | −$1.30 | $0 | |
| Will The Democrats win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | Yes | 225 | 2.6¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.11 | −$5.66 | $0 | |
| Will Shas win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | Yes | 225 | 2.6¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.11 | −$5.66 | $0 | |
| Will Otzma Yehudit win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | Yes | 225 | 2.6¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.11 | −$5.66 | $0 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on October 9? | Yes | 75 | 9.1¢ | 0.2¢ | $0.11 | −$6.71 | $0 | |
| Will Moonshot have the best Math AI model at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 23 | 2.9¢ | 0.5¢ | $0.11 | −$0.55 | $0 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 32°C on October 9? | Yes | 25 | 9.1¢ | 0.5¢ | $0.11 | −$2.16 | $0 | |
| Will Alibaba have the best AI Agent at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 26 | 3.1¢ | 0.4¢ | $0.10 | −$0.71 | $0 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 19°C on October 9? | Yes | 25 | 9.1¢ | 0.4¢ | $0.10 | −$2.17 | $0 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on October 9? | Yes | 25 | 9.1¢ | 0.4¢ | $0.10 | −$2.17 | $0 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 18°C on October 9? | Yes | 10 | 9.1¢ | 0.9¢ | $0.09 | −$0.82 | $0 | |
| Will Cloud9 win Worlds 2026? | Yes | 50 | 5¢ | 0.2¢ | $0.07 | −$2.42 | $0 | |
| Will Alibaba be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026? | Yes | 25 | 3.1¢ | 0.3¢ | $0.07 | −$0.71 | $0 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 17°C or higher on October 9? | Yes | 50 | 9.1¢ | 0.2¢ | $0.07 | −$4.47 | $0 | |
| Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 16 | 1.1¢ | 0.5¢ | $0.07 | −$0.10 | $0 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C or higher on October 9? | Yes | 23 | 9.1¢ | 0.3¢ | $0.07 | −$2.00 | $0 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on October 9? | Yes | 68 | 9.1¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.07 | −$6.09 | $0 | |
| Will Xiaomi have the best Math AI model at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 23 | 2.9¢ | 0.3¢ | $0.07 | −$0.59 | $0 | |
| Will Bruno Fernandes win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 129 | 1.1¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.06 | −$1.38 | $0 | |
| Will Luis Diaz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 129 | 1.1¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.06 | −$1.38 | $0 | |
| Will Vitinha win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 129 | 1.1¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.06 | −$1.38 | $0 | |
| Will Vinícius Júnior win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 129 | 1.1¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.06 | −$1.38 | $0 | |
| Will Lautaro Martinez win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 129 | 1.1¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.06 | −$1.38 | $0 | |
| Will Declan Rice win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 129 | 1.1¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.06 | −$1.38 | $0 | |
| Will Achraf Hakimi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 129 | 1.1¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.06 | −$1.38 | $0 | |
| Will Z.ai be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026? | Yes | 25 | 3.1¢ | 0.3¢ | $0.06 | −$0.72 | $0 | |
| Will Éric Duhaime be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election? | Yes | 25 | 3.4¢ | 0.3¢ | $0.06 | −$0.80 | $0 | |
| Will Tencent have the best Math AI model at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 116 | 2.9¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.06 | −$3.34 | $0 | |
| Will Meituan have the best Math AI model at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 116 | 2.9¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.06 | −$3.34 | $0 | |
| Will DeepSeek have the best Math AI model at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 116 | 2.9¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.06 | −$3.34 | $0 | |
| Will Microsoft have the best Math AI model at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 116 | 2.9¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.06 | −$3.34 | $0 | |
| Will Nvidia have the best Math AI model at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 116 | 2.9¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.06 | −$3.34 | $0 | |
| Will StepFun have the best Math AI model at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 116 | 2.9¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.06 | −$3.34 | $0 | |
| Will Amazon have the best Math AI model at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 116 | 2.9¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.06 | −$3.34 | $0 | |
| Will MiniMax have the best Math AI model at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 116 | 2.9¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.06 | −$3.34 | $0 | |
| Will Z.ai have the best Math AI model at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 116 | 2.9¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.06 | −$3.34 | $0 | |
| Will SpaceXAI have the best Math AI model at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 116 | 2.9¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.06 | −$3.34 | $0 | |
| Will Baidu have the best Math AI model at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 116 | 2.9¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.06 | −$3.34 | $0 | |
| Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 16 | 1.1¢ | 0.4¢ | $0.05 | −$0.12 | $0 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Munich be 12°C on October 9? | Yes | 52 | 9.1¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.05 | −$4.70 | $0 | |
| Will Carles Puigdemont be the next Prime Minister of Spain? | Yes | 100 | 1.7¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.05 | −$1.67 | $0 | |
| Will María Jesús Montero be the next Prime Minister of Spain? | Yes | 100 | 1.7¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.05 | −$1.67 | $0 | |
| Will Cuca Gamarra be the next Prime Minister of Spain? | Yes | 100 | 1.7¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.05 | −$1.67 | $0 | |
| Will Nvidia have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? | Yes | 100 | 2.9¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.05 | −$2.81 | $0 | |
| Will Óscar Puente be the next Prime Minister of Spain? | Yes | 100 | 1.7¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.05 | −$1.67 | $0 | |
| Will Thinky have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? | Yes | 100 | 2.9¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.05 | −$2.81 | $0 | |
| Will Ester Muñoz be the next Prime Minister of Spain? | Yes | 100 | 1.7¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.05 | −$1.67 | $0 | |
| Will Microsoft have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? | Yes | 100 | 2.9¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.05 | −$2.81 | $0 | |
| Will Pepa Millán be the next Prime Minister of Spain? | Yes | 100 | 1.7¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.05 | −$1.67 | $0 | |
| Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? | Yes | 100 | 2.9¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.05 | −$2.81 | $0 | |
| Will Borja Sémper be the next Prime Minister of Spain? | Yes | 100 | 1.7¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.05 | −$1.67 | $0 | |
| Will StepFun have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? | Yes | 100 | 2.9¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.05 | −$2.81 | $0 | |
| Will Aitor Esteban be the next Prime Minister of Spain? | Yes | 100 | 1.7¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.05 | −$1.67 | $0 | |
| Will MiniMax have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? | Yes | 100 | 2.9¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.05 | −$2.81 | $0 | |
| Will Amazon have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? | Yes | 100 | 2.9¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.05 | −$2.81 | $0 | |
| Will Tencent have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? | Yes | 100 | 2.9¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.05 | −$2.81 | $0 | |
| Will Ernest Urtasun be the next Prime Minister of Spain? | Yes | 100 | 1.7¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.05 | −$1.67 | $0 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 12°C on October 9? | Yes | 100 | 9.1¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.05 | −$9.04 | $0 | |
| Will Nvidia have the #1 AI model at the end of November 2026? | Yes | 25 | 2.9¢ | 0.2¢ | $0.05 | −$0.66 | $0 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Munich be 19°C or higher on October 9? | Yes | 25 | 9.1¢ | 0.2¢ | $0.05 | −$2.22 | $0 | |
| Will Derrick Lewis be the UFC Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026? | Yes | 84 | 5.3¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.04 | −$4.39 | $0 | |
| Will Tyrell Fortune be the UFC Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026? | Yes | 84 | 5.3¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.04 | −$4.39 | $0 | |
| Will Curtis Blaydes be the UFC Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026? | Yes | 84 | 5.3¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.04 | −$4.39 | $0 | |
| Will Waldo Cortes Acosta be the UFC Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026? | Yes | 84 | 5.3¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.04 | −$4.39 | $0 | |
| Will Rizvan Kuniev be the UFC Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026? | Yes | 84 | 5.3¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.04 | −$4.39 | $0 | |
| Will Serghei Spivac be the UFC Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026? | Yes | 84 | 5.3¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.04 | −$4.39 | $0 | |