PnL all-time+$4,835vol $77.3k
PnL 30d+$4,581gains $5,991 · losses $988
PnL 7d+$4,885win rate 7d 80.0%
Win rate80.0%adj 60.0% · 30d 80.0%
Open value$533cash n/a
Positions5 / 15open / all-time
Max drawdown−45.3%of equity peak
Account age13dlast trade 1d ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$4,572below peak −$334Oct 9
SharpScore inputs
34/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale53
Adjusted win rateraw 80.0% · shrunk toward 50%50
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable39
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d95
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity55
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on September 18? · Noclosed+$4,548Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 1? · Noclosed+$1,270Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 5? · Yesclosed+$99Houthis enter Aden by October 31, 2026? · Yesopen+$78Will Jynxzi, Ron and Los beat the Minecraft challenge by October 11? · Yesclosed+$57
Worst markets
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 15? · Noclosed−$965Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from September 22 to September 29, 2026? · Noopen−$310Pakistan military action against Yemen by December 31, 2026? · Yesopen−$168Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 31? · Yesclosed−$23Pakistan military action against Yemen by October 31, 2026? · Yesopen−$18
Open positions · 5
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Houthis enter Aden by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 3,762 | 10¢ | 8¢ | $301 | −$75 | +$153 | |
| Pakistan military action against Yemen by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 588 | 60¢ | 31.5¢ | $185 | −$168 | $0 | |
| Pakistan military action against Yemen by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 214 | 30.4¢ | 22¢ | $47 | −$18 | $0 | |
| Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from September 22 to September 29, 2026? | No | 410 | 74.8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$307 | −$3.16 | |
| Will Türkiye vs. France end in a draw? | Yes | 200 | 5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$10 | −$0.47 |
Recent trades
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