PnL all-time+$36.5kvol $2.28M
PnL 30d+$3,064gains $6,373 · losses $4,265
PnL 7d+$3,525win rate 7d 50.0%
Win rate64.9%adj 64.3% · 30d 84.6%
Open value$6,206cash n/a
Positions1 / 480open / all-time
Max drawdown−58.1%of equity peak
Account age1.9ylast trade 14h ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$40.4kbelow peak −$33.7kOct 9
SharpScore inputs
64/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale65
Adjusted win rateraw 64.9% · shrunk toward 50%61
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable89
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d98
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity42
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026? · Yesclosed+$17.3kWill Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026? · Noclosed+$10.2kWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026? · Noclosed+$6,090Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 7 to February 9, 2026? · Noclosed+$4,511Will Bitcoin hit $100k in November? · Noclosed+$3,851
Worst markets
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026? · Noclosed−$9,510Exact Score: New Zealand 1 - 3 Egypt? · Noclosed−$8,004Will Elon Musk post 140+ tweets from January 5 to January 7, 2026? · Noclosed−$6,009Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026? · Noclosed−$5,695Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 1 Croatia? · Noclosed−$5,134
Open positions · 1
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026? | No | 7,220 | 84.6¢ | 86¢ | $6,206 | +$101 | $0 |
Recent trades
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