sharpside
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Traders/Rank #2,876

trzorira2

0x6d7…82e5
WR 80+WR 70+WR 60+1y+CryptoPoliticsOther
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$2,617vol $307k
PnL 30d+$122gains $141 · losses $0
PnL 7d+$5.22win rate 7d 100.0%
Win rate84.3%adj 78.0% · 30d 100.0%
Open value$28.6kcash n/a
Positions36 / 131open / all-time
Max drawdown−30.1%of equity peak
Account age1.9ylast trade 4h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$3,290below peak −$116Oct 8

SharpScore inputs

68/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale49
Adjusted win rateraw 84.3% · shrunk toward 50%95
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable71
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d99
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity70

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Will Ethereum reach $5,500 by December 31, 2026? · Noclosed+$1,392Will Bitcoin reach $190,000 by December 31, 2026? · Noclosed+$1,354Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026? · Noclosed+$427Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? · Noopen+$426Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2026? · Noopen+$408

Worst markets

Will Bitcoin reach $190,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yesclosed−$1,335Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by March 31? · Yesclosed−$523Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? · Noclosed−$360Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2026? · Noclosed−$350Will Bitcoin hit $100k in November? · Yesclosed−$237

Open positions · 36

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?No3,49094.3¢97.1¢$3,388+$96$0
Xi Jinping out before 2027?No3,00095.6¢97.4¢$2,921+$53$0
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?No2,58195.9¢97.4¢$2,513+$38+$362
Iran Nuke before 2027?No2,30094.9¢96.5¢$2,218+$35$0
US recession by end of 2026?No2,30093.6¢93.5¢$2,151−$2.50$0
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?No2,16085.9¢93.8¢$2,025+$170+$21
Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?No1,80098.6¢98.3¢$1,769−$4.69$0
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026?No1,30296.6¢97¢$1,262+$4.75$0
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?No1,30078.6¢96.6¢$1,255+$233+$193
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No1,00093¢94.5¢$945+$15$0
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?No1,00092¢90.5¢$905−$15$0
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?No79296¢97.5¢$772+$12$0
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes1,40042.1¢48.6¢$680+$91$0
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No60097.3¢99.6¢$597+$13+$2.00
Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026?No53895.7¢97.9¢$526+$12+$52
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?No50087¢95¢$475+$40$0
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?No50094¢92.5¢$463−$7.50+$167
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes2,00020¢19.9¢$397−$3.00$0
Will the Democrats win the Louisiana Senate race in 2026?No40093¢94¢$376+$4.00$0
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-08 House seat?No40087¢93.3¢$373+$25$0
Will the Republicans win the Idaho Senate race in 2026?Yes39493¢93.4¢$368+$1.58$0
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?No50072¢73.5¢$368+$7.50$0
Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2026?No30390.5¢98.6¢$298+$24+$384
Trump out as President before 2027?No30092¢95.8¢$287+$11$0
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes30095.4¢95.6¢$287+$0.45$0
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes1,40027¢15.2¢$212−$166$0
Will the Republican Party win the FL-26 House seat?Yes20087¢88¢$176+$2.00$0
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?Yes20089¢81.5¢$163−$15+$6.00
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes2,00014¢7.4¢$147−$133$0
Will over 66 Senators vote for the Clarity Act?No10091¢94.3¢$94+$3.30+$0.39
Will over 68 Senators vote for the Clarity Act?No9796¢95.3¢$93−$0.69+$0.29
Will Nvidia’s market capitalization be at least $6.50T at the end of 2026?No7080.1¢81¢$57+$0.62+$0.76
Will Zcash reach $2000 by December 31, 2026?Yes10047.4¢33.1¢$33−$14$0
Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?No594¢91.5¢$4.58−$0.13$0
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?No10098¢0¢$0−$98$0
Knicks vs. SpursSpurs1664¢0¢$0−$10−$0.11

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY NoRepublicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?98.9¢500$49584%68
BUY NoUS recession by end of 2026?94¢2,000$1,88084%68
BUY NoWill the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?92¢500$46084%68
BUY NoWill the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?92¢500$46084%68
BUY NoRepublicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?98.8¢1,000$98884%68
SELL NoWill Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?96.7¢800$77484%68
SELL NoTrump out as President by September 30?99.8¢1,000$99884%68
BUY YesWill no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?95.4¢300$28684%68
BUY NoTrump out as President by September 30?99.4¢1,000$99484%68
BUY NoUS recession by end of 2026?91¢300$27384%68
BUY NoXi Jinping out before 2027?95.6¢2,000$1,91284%68
BUY NoWill the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?94¢5$4.7084%68
BUY NoWill Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?95.4¢16$1584%68
BUY NoWill Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?93¢1,000$93084%68
BUY NoXi Jinping out before 2027?95.6¢1,000$95684%68
BUY NoIran Nuke before 2027?95.3¢625$59684%68
BUY NoWill Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?95.4¢500$47784%68
BUY NoIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by August 31, 2026?99.6¢500$49884%68
BUY NoWill Nvidia’s market capitalization be at least $6.50T at the end of 2026?83¢20$1784%68
BUY NoWill over 66 Senators vote for the Clarity Act?94¢50$4784%68