sharpside
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Traders/Unranked

DoubleAgentKrasnov

0x6d8…b79a@DoubleAgntKrsnv
SharpWR 80+WR 70+WR 60+1y+PoliticsWeather
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$4,588vol $73.0k
PnL 30d+$2,164gains $929 · losses $438
PnL 7d+$537win rate 7d 100.0%
Win rate85.3%adj 82.1% · 30d 91.3%
Open value$7,374cash n/a
Positions15 / 223open / all-time
Max drawdown−13.7%of equity peak
Account age1.4ylast trade 3d ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$5,818below peak −$48Oct 13

SharpScore inputs

82/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale52
Adjusted win rateraw 85.3% · shrunk toward 50%100
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable78
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d90
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity86

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 15

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026?No3,52173.8¢84.5¢$2,975+$377+$10
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?No1,38067.9¢84¢$1,159+$222+$27
Will Russia enter Mykhailivka by October 31?No68681.4¢89.5¢$614+$55$0
Will Russia capture Vodianske by December 31?No75161¢77.5¢$582+$124$0
Will Russia capture Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by December 31, 2026?No63577.1¢90.5¢$575+$85$0
Will Russia enter Krasnopillya by December 31, 2026?No51573.4¢85.5¢$440+$62+$14
Will Ukraine re-enter Rodynske by December 31, 2026?No31680.2¢86.5¢$273+$20+$7.00
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by October 31, 2026?No22475.2¢97.4¢$218+$50$0
Will Ukraine re-enter Huliaipole by December 31, 2026?No14979¢91.5¢$136+$19$0
Will Russia capture Havrylivka by December 31, 2026?No13788.7¢94.9¢$130+$8.34+$8.17
Will Russia enter Stavky by December 31, 2026?No15076.8¢85.5¢$128+$13$0
Will Ukraine re-enter Huliaipole by October 31, 2026?No8489.6¢96.4¢$81+$5.63$0
Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?No10063¢62.5¢$63−$0.50$0
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?Yes5057¢0¢$0−$29−$0.61
Will anyone say "Raven" during House of the Dragon E2 S3?Yes2055¢0¢$0−$11$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
SELL YesPerim Island no longer under Houthi control by December 31?69¢57$3985%82Sharp
BUY NoWill Russia capture Vodianske by December 31?61¢751$45885%82Sharp
SELL YesWill Russia capture Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by March 31, 2027?25¢100$2585%82Sharp
BUY YesPerim Island no longer under Houthi control by December 31?69¢126$8785%82Sharp
SELL YesWill Russia capture Vodianske by December 31?39¢10$4.0085%82Sharp
BUY NoWill Russia enter Mykhailivka by October 31?84¢388$32685%82Sharp
SELL NoWill Russia capture all of Bilytske by December 31?36¢24$8.7885%82Sharp
SELL NoWill Russia capture all of Bilytske by December 31?37¢50$1985%82Sharp
SELL NoWill Russia enter Krasnopillya by December 31, 2026?86¢110$9585%82Sharp
BUY YesWill Russia capture Shevchenko by October 31?51¢29$1585%82Sharp
BUY NoWill Russia enter Krasnopillya by December 31, 2026?77¢255$19685%82Sharp
BUY NoWill Russia capture Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by December 31, 2026?85¢300$25585%82Sharp
BUY NoWill Russia enter Mykhailivka by October 31?78¢298$23285%82Sharp
BUY NoWill Russia enter Krasnopillya by December 31, 2026?71¢370$26385%82Sharp
BUY NoWill Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?79¢175$13885%82Sharp
SELL NoWill Ukraine re-enter Rodynske by December 31, 2026?85¢100$8585%82Sharp
BUY YesWill Russia enter Mykolaivka by October 31, 2026?88¢129$11485%82Sharp
BUY YesWill Russia enter Mykolaivka by December 31, 2026?87¢30$2685%82Sharp
SELL YesWill Russia enter Mykolaivka by September 30, 2026?22¢134$2985%82Sharp
SELL YesWill Russia enter Mykolaivka by September 30, 2026?23¢66$1585%82Sharp