PnL all-time+$362vol $4,932
PnL 30d−$518gains $170 · losses $308
PnL 7d−$63win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate75.0%adj 59.4% · 30d 60.0%
Open value$458cash n/a
Positions2 / 14open / all-time
Max drawdown−76.3%of equity peak
Account age6molast trade 12d ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL−$25below peak −$763Oct 12
SharpScore inputs
28/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale37
Adjusted win rateraw 75.0% · shrunk toward 50%49
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable38
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d59
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity24
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? · Yesclosed+$141Will claude-opus-5-max be the best AI model on August 17, 2026? · Yesclosed+$132Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026? · Yesclosed+$102Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? · Yesclosed+$96Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of September 2026? · Yesclosed+$74
Worst markets
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? · Yesopen−$408Will Z.ai be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026? · Yesclosed−$205Will Moonshot be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026? · Yesclosed−$102Will claude-opus-5-max be the best AI model on September 7, 2026? · Yesclosed−$102
Open positions · 2
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 365 | 82.2¢ | 86.5¢ | $316 | +$16 | $0 | |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 618 | 89¢ | 23¢ | $142 | −$408 | $0 |
Recent trades
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