PnL all-time+$23.4kvol $3.08M
PnL 30d−$4,238gains $9,222 · losses $9,252
PnL 7d−$3,753win rate 7d 100.0%
Win rate55.4%adj 55.0% · 30d 66.7%
Open value$32.4kcash n/a
Positions5 / 277open / all-time
Max drawdown−56.0%of equity peak
Account age2.2ylast trade 11h ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$22.4kbelow peak −$17.2kOct 9
SharpScore inputs
58/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale62
Adjusted win rateraw 55.4% · shrunk toward 50%38
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable81
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d98
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity44
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup? · Yesclosed+$8,160US forces enter Iran by April 30? · Yesclosed+$6,801US strikes Iraq by February 28? · Yesclosed+$6,260Maduro out by January 31, 2026? · Yesclosed+$4,976Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? · Yesclosed+$4,487
Worst markets
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? · Yesclosed−$6,993Will Michael Carrick be appointed as manager of Manchester United? · Noclosed−$4,465US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? · Noclosed−$4,320Grok 4.20 released by January 31? · Yesclosed−$4,231Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yesclosed−$4,150
Open positions · 5
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? | Yes | 25.1k | 49¢ | 61¢ | $15.3k | +$3,008 | $0 | |
| Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 31.6k | 51.6¢ | 40.1¢ | $12.6k | −$3,630 | $0 | |
| Will Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? | Yes | 50.0k | 9¢ | 4.4¢ | $2,200 | −$2,300 | $0 | |
| Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? | Yes | 20.0k | 7.7¢ | 6.8¢ | $1,350 | −$199 | $0 | |
| Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? | No | 1,082 | 80.7¢ | 80.5¢ | $871 | −$2.12 | −$4.26 |
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