PnL all-time−$8,953vol $982k
PnL 30d−$3,153gains $41 · losses $1,900
PnL 7d−$797win rate 7d 33.3%
Win rate38.2%adj 42.6% · 30d 33.3%
Open value$25.8kcash n/a
Positions9 / 43open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age11molast trade 6d ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$4,618below peak −$3,282Oct 10
SharpScore inputs
17/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 38.2% · shrunk toward 50%7
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable54
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d79
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yesopen+$11.6kWill the government shutdown end November 12? · Noclosed+$6,785Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11? · Yesclosed+$2,416Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting? · Yesclosed+$1,597Will Jensen Huang be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025? · Yesclosed+$1,225
Worst markets
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair? · Yesclosed−$5,000Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025? · Yesclosed−$2,480Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025? · Yesclosed−$2,382Will Trump announce Kevin Hassett as next Fed Chair in 2025? · Yesclosed−$2,000Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025? · Yesclosed−$1,984
Open positions · 9
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 200k | 4.2¢ | 10.1¢ | $20.1k | +$11.6k | $0 | |
| Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 106k | 2¢ | 3.1¢ | $3,242 | +$1,087 | $0 | |
| Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 125k | 1.1¢ | 1.8¢ | $2,192 | +$755 | $0 | |
| Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 10.8k | 2.7¢ | 2.8¢ | $303 | +$13 | $0 | |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | No | 267 | 15¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$40 | $0 | |
| Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-23? | Yes | 200 | 5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$10 | −$0.28 | |
| Will United States win on 2026-07-06? | Yes | 51 | 39¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$20 | −$0.37 | |
| Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? | Yes | 39 | 25.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$10.00 | −$0.37 | |
| Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | Argentina | 25 | 39.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$10.00 | −$0.30 |
Recent trades
auto-refresh 30s