sharpside
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altsu

0x6f9…3f1e
PoliticsOtherSport
Polymarket
PnL all-time−$462vol $17.7k
PnL 30d+$31gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d−$26win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate60.0%adj 56.0% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$6,445cash n/a
Positions28 / 58open / all-time
Max drawdown−72.2%of equity peak
Account age11molast trade 3mo ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL−$233below peak −$398Oct 12

SharpScore inputs

18/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 60.0% · shrunk toward 50%40
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable59
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity28

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 28

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-19 House seat?Yes1,90092.4¢97.1¢$1,844+$88$0
Will the Republican Party win the SC-04 House seat?Yes1,90085.9¢95.5¢$1,815+$182$0
Will the Republican Party win the CA-24 House seat?No68891.1¢98.2¢$676+$49$0
Will the Democratic Party win the VA-11 House seat?Yes61194¢97.2¢$594+$20$0
Will the Republican Party win the KY-03 House seat?No60092¢97.7¢$586+$34$0
Will the Democratic Party win the OH-05 House seat?No50090¢94¢$470+$20$0
Will the Democratic Party win the MI-02 House seat?No10092¢99.2¢$99+$7.20$0
Will the Republican Party win the OH-02 House seat?Yes7091¢97.3¢$68+$4.41$0
Will the Democratic Party win the ME-01 House seat?Yes5591¢95.9¢$53+$2.67$0
Will the Republican Party win the CA-43 House seat?No5092¢97.4¢$49+$2.67$0
Will the Democratic Party win the NY-03 House seat?Yes5076¢87¢$44+$5.50$0
Will Mike Pieciak win the 2026 Vermont Governor Democratic primary election?No3382.1¢100¢$33+$5.83−$0.01
Will the Republican Party win the TX-32 House seat?No25053¢10.5¢$26−$106$0
Will the Republican Party win the MA-08 House seat?No1993¢98.5¢$19+$1.04$0
Will the Republican Party win the CA-05 House seat?Yes2081¢91¢$18+$2.00$0
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?No1780¢85.5¢$15+$0.94$0
Will the Republican Party win the TX-23 House seat?Yes2061¢63.5¢$13+$0.51$0
Will the Democratic Party win the MO-08 House seat?No1091¢97.8¢$9.88+$0.68$0
Will the Republican Party win the LA-06 House seat?No10091¢7.5¢$7.50−$84$0
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026?Yes4211¢10.2¢$4.31−$0.35$0
Will the Republican Party win the MA-02 House seat?No394¢96.1¢$2.88+$0.06$0
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes227¢19.9¢$0.40−$0.14+$1.84
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?Yes1030¢3.4¢$0.34−$2.66$0
Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season?Yes915¢0.3¢$0.02−$1.33$0
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes1,2811.3¢0¢$0−$17−$0.49
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes5003.5¢0¢$0−$17−$0.51
Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026?No36715.9¢0¢$0−$58$0
Will Gunnar Henderson win the 2026 American League Hank Aaron Award?Yes11065.6¢0¢$0−$72$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
SELL NoWill Exponent launch a token by December 31, 2026?75¢11$8.6060%18
SELL NoWill Exponent launch a token by December 31, 2026?75¢7$4.9160%18
BUY YesWill the Democratic Party win the NY-03 House seat?76¢50$3860%18
SELL NoWill the Democratic Party win the VA-02 House seat?18¢25$4.5060%18
BUY YesWill Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?1.3¢1,000$1360%18
BUY YesWill Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?1.3¢81$1.0560%18
BUY NoWill Cape Verde win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?96.6¢200$19360%18
BUY YesWill Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?1.3¢200$2.6060%18
BUY YesWill USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?3.5¢500$1860%18
BUY NoWill Mike Pieciak win the 2026 Vermont Governor Democratic primary election?98.7¢16$1660%18
BUY YesWill Croatia win Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?8.2¢21$1.7260%18
SELL YesWill Manny Rutinel be the Democratic nominee for CO-08?90¢59$5360%18
BUY YesWill Manny Rutinel be the Democratic nominee for CO-08?91¢151$13760%18
BUY YesWill Manny Rutinel be the Democratic nominee for CO-08?91¢151$13760%18
BUY YesWill the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026?14.1¢7$1.0160%18
BUY YesWill Croatia win Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?2¢43$0.8660%18
BUY NoWill Exponent launch a token by December 31, 2026?49¢18$8.8260%18
BUY NoOpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?80¢17$1460%18
BUY YesWill LeBron James retire before next NBA season?15¢9$1.3560%18
SELL NoWill SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?54¢90$4960%18