sharpside
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Traders/Rank #3,948

0x6fa…907e

0x6fa…907e
SharpWR 80+WR 70+WR 60+OtherCulturePoliticsSport
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$7,929vol $408k
PnL 30d+$4,747gains $6,961 · losses $2,698
PnL 7d−$1,742win rate 7d 78.7%
Win rate86.4%adj 85.0% · 30d 86.7%
Open value$13.2kcash n/a
Positions24 / 728open / all-time
Max drawdown−16.5%of equity peak
Account age2molast trade 7h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$8,508below peak −$1,680Oct 13

SharpScore inputs

81/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale56
Adjusted win rateraw 86.4% · shrunk toward 50%100
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable95
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d99
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity84

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Noopen+$4,955Set Handicap: Routliffe/Sutjiadi (-1.5) vs Garland/Hsieh (+1.5) · Garland/Hsiehclosed+$1,412Will the median home value in Miami be between $1,125,000 and $1,161,000 on September 30? · Yesclosed+$1,120Will the median home value in the Chicago Metro be between $340,000 and $345,000 on September 30? · Yesclosed+$444Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 4.78% in September? · Yesclosed+$271

Worst markets

Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yesopen−$4,955Map Handicap: LDP (-1.5) vs METANOIA WOLVES (+1.5) · METANOIA WOLVESclosed−$1,597Will the median home value in the Chicago Metro be between $335,000 and $340,000 on September 30? · Yesclosed−$366Will the peak wind gust in Wellington be 102 km/h or above in September? · Noclosed−$93Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.80% before 2027? · Yesopen−$86

Open positions · 24

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No10.0k50¢99.6¢$9,955+$4,955$0
Will Taylor Swift's monthly listeners figure hit 113m by October 31?No66495.4¢96¢$637+$3.78$0
Will Taylor Swift's monthly listeners figure hit 116m by October 31?No55895.8¢97.3¢$543+$8.22$0
Will Wells Fargo (WFC) Q3 provision for credit losses be above $0.65B?Yes46076¢75.5¢$348−$2.30$0
Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.80% before 2027?Yes61554.9¢40.9¢$252−$86$0
Will the Reserve Bank of India decrease the policy repo rate by 25 bps at the December meeting?No25485¢97.1¢$246+$31+$1.80
Progressive (PGR) Q3 combined ratio <86%?No24092.2¢92.4¢$222+$0.46−$21
Will the median home value in the DC Metro be between $519,000 and $521,000 on December 31?No21577.1¢85¢$183+$17+$41
Will the Reserve Bank of India increase the policy repo rate by 25 bps at the December meeting?Yes23437¢63.5¢$149+$62$0
Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.70% before 2027?Yes19279.9¢61.5¢$118−$35+$47
Progressive (PGR) Q3 combined ratio 86% to 89%?Yes16520¢60.5¢$100+$67$0
Will CMI declare the Navier-Stokes problem solved by December 31, 2026?No10092¢96.5¢$97+$4.50$0
Will the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage hit 7.50% (HIGH) by December 31, 2026?Yes13450¢72¢$96+$29$0
Progressive (PGR) Q3 combined ratio 89% to 92%?Yes16520¢28.5¢$47+$14$0
Will the Reserve Bank of India make no change to the policy repo rate at the December meeting?Yes22727¢20.5¢$47−$15$0
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes10.0k50¢0.5¢$45−$4,955$0
Will Taylor Swift's monthly listeners figure hit 110m by October 31?Yes8395.5¢4.8¢$40−$6.21$0
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $800B and $900B on October 31?Yes14211.2¢10.3¢$15−$1.29+$3.52
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes2004.2¢6.3¢$13+$4.10+$8.00
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No5039.6¢12.9¢$6.45−$13−$1.31
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?No1146¢41.5¢$4.42−$0.48$0
Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) Q3 gross profit margin <66%?Yes2002¢0.8¢$1.50−$2.50$0
Will the median home value in Austin Metro be between $417,000 and $427,000 on December 31?Yes124¢12¢$1.44+$0.96$0
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Yes343¢41.5¢$1.04−$0.04$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY YesWill Wells Fargo (WFC) Q3 provision for credit losses be above $0.65B?76¢460$35086%81Sharp
BUY YesWill Nolo peak at Category 4?99.9¢3,285$3,28286%81Sharp
BUY NoWill Nolo peak at Category 5?99.9¢159$15986%81Sharp
BUY NoWill Nolo peak at Category 1 or weaker?99.9¢272$27186%81Sharp
BUY YesWill Isaias peak at Category 3?99.9¢4,391$4,38786%81Sharp
BUY NoWill Isaias peak at Category 2?99.9¢352$35286%81Sharp
BUY NoWill Isaias peak at Category 1 or weaker?99.9¢421$42086%81Sharp
BUY YesMeta's Watermelon released by November 30, 2026?99.9¢20$2086%81Sharp
BUY YesMeta's Watermelon released by October 31, 2026?99.9¢42$4286%81Sharp
BUY YesMeta's Watermelon released by October 15, 2026?99.9¢390$39086%81Sharp
BUY NoWill the next Muse model family be named Muse Watermelon?99.9¢1,000$99986%81Sharp
BUY YesWill Meta's Watermelon model be released on October 12, 2026?99.6¢650$64786%81Sharp
BUY YesWill Union Centriste hold 62-64 French Senate seats after the 2026 election?99¢100$9986%81Sharp
BUY YesWill Łukasz Gibała win the 2026 Kraków mayoral election?99.8¢498$49786%81Sharp
SELL NoProgressive (PGR) Q3 combined ratio 92% to 95%?96.4¢105$10186%81Sharp
BUY NoWill Birmingham, AL face tornado risk on October 9?99¢10$9.9086%81Sharp
BUY NoWill Birmingham, AL face tornado risk on October 9?97.9¢69$6886%81Sharp
BUY NoWill Nashville, TN face tornado risk on October 9?99¢15$1586%81Sharp
SELL YesWill Tampa, FL face tornado risk on October 9?0.1¢150$0.1586%81Sharp
BUY NoWill Nashville, TN face tornado risk on October 9?94.9¢24$2286%81Sharp