PnL all-time+$1,072vol $73.0k
PnL 30d+$1,265gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d+$380win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate50.0%adj 50.0% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$54.7kcash n/a
Positions4 / 6open / all-time
Max drawdown−32.6%of equity peak
Account age12molast trade 19d ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$5,488below peak −$20Oct 8
SharpScore inputs
22/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale43
Adjusted win rateraw 50.0% · shrunk toward 50%25
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable26
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d35
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity67
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Worst markets
Open positions · 4
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | 25.7k | 84¢ | 97.2¢ | $24.9k | +$3,376 | $0 | |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | No | 21.3k | 93.7¢ | 95.6¢ | $20.4k | +$386 | $0 | |
| NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | No | 10.0k | 85¢ | 91¢ | $9,100 | +$600 | $0 | |
| China x Philippines military clash before 2027? | No | 402 | 72¢ | 73¢ | $293 | +$4.02 | $0 |
Recent trades
auto-refresh 30s
| Time | Side | Market | Price | Shares | Value | Trader WR | Sharp | Flags | Transaction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BUY No | NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | 85¢ | 839 | $713 | 50% | 22 | |||
| BUY No | China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | 93.7¢ | 21.3k | $20.0k | 50% | 22 | Whale | ||
| BUY No | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | 84¢ | 25.7k | $21.6k | 50% | 22 | Whale | ||
| BUY No | Xi Jinping out in 2025? | 93¢ | 15.5k | $14.4k | 50% | 22 | Whale | ||
| BUY Yes | 100% tariff on China in effect by November 1? | 15¢ | 73 | $11 | 50% | 22 |