| Will a US-Iran deal in 2026 include Surrender of Iranian Enriched Uranium? | No | 917 | 88.1¢ | 89¢ | $816 | +$8.27 | $0 | |
| Will August be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026? | Yes | 300 | 40¢ | 80.2¢ | $240 | +$120 | $0 | |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | No | 335 | 67.1¢ | 68.5¢ | $229 | +$4.53 | $0 | |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? | Yes | 542 | 40¢ | 39.4¢ | $213 | −$3.58 | $0 | |
| Anthropic IPO closing market cap above $2.25T? | No | 244 | 72.9¢ | 80.5¢ | $196 | +$18 | $0 | |
| Will Buffalo Sabres advance to the Second Round of the 2027 Stanley Cup Playoffs? | No | 367 | 44.3¢ | 49.5¢ | $182 | +$19 | $0 | |
| Anthropic IPO closing market cap above $2.5T? | No | 207 | 87.6¢ | 86¢ | $178 | −$3.25 | $0 | |
| OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1T? | No | 542 | 29.5¢ | 32.5¢ | $176 | +$16 | $0 | |
| Will the Buffalo Sabres make the 2026-27 NHL Playoffs? | Yes | 367 | 46¢ | 48¢ | $176 | +$7.33 | $0 | |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 253 | 65¢ | 68.5¢ | $173 | +$8.85 | $0 | |
| Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $340 Week of October 26 2026? | No | 181 | 85¢ | 95.1¢ | $173 | +$18 | $0 | |
| Will the Democratic Party win the UT-02 House seat? | No | 182 | 94.5¢ | 94.6¢ | $172 | +$0.05 | $0 | |
| Anthropic IPO closing market cap above $2.75T? | No | 200 | 91¢ | 85.3¢ | $170 | −$11 | $0 | |
| Will the Democrats win the Kansas governor race in 2026? | No | 220 | 71.9¢ | 76.5¢ | $168 | +$10 | $0 | |
| Will Republicans win the Kansas Governor election and Democrats win the Kansas Senate election? | No | 220 | 70.1¢ | 69.8¢ | $153 | −$0.77 | −$0.01 | |
| Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | No | 339 | 45¢ | 40.5¢ | $137 | −$15 | $0 | |
| Will the Republican Party win the RI-01 House seat? | No | 124 | 97.7¢ | 96.7¢ | $120 | −$1.22 | $0 | |
| Will Republicans sweep the Kansas Senate and Governor elections? | No | 220 | 53¢ | 53¢ | $117 | $0 | $0 | |
| Will Ilija Srdanović become Serbian PM and Iliana Iotova win Bulgaria? | No | 166 | 80¢ | 69¢ | $114 | −$18 | $0 | |
| Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? | No | 118 | 87¢ | 85.5¢ | $101 | −$1.77 | $0 | |
| Will Amcha Yisrael win 4-6 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? | No | 91 | 73.1¢ | 98.5¢ | $90 | +$23 | $0 | |
| Anthropic IPO closing market cap above $2T? | No | 170 | 55.4¢ | 52¢ | $88 | −$5.75 | $0 | |
| Will the Republican Party win the NM-03 House seat? | No | 89 | 96.8¢ | 97.3¢ | $87 | +$0.45 | $0 | |
| Will Republicans sweep the Texas Senate and Governor elections? | No | 117 | 69.5¢ | 74¢ | $87 | +$5.30 | $0 | |
| Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024? | Yes | 80 | 91.2¢ | 97.1¢ | $78 | +$4.74 | $0 | |
| Will there be no Hormuz agreement by October 23 or oil at least $80, and the Republicans win the Senate? | Yes | 253 | 30.9¢ | 30¢ | $76 | −$2.19 | $0 | |
| Will Republicans win the Texas Governor election and Democrats win the Texas Senate election? | No | 117 | 62.8¢ | 63¢ | $74 | +$0.20 | $0 | |
| Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election by 0%-4%? | Yes | 339 | 20.8¢ | 21.5¢ | $73 | +$2.03 | $0 | |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NC-05 House election by 3% or more? | No | 72 | 94¢ | 95.3¢ | $68 | +$0.93 | $0 | |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? | Yes | 542 | 13.2¢ | 12¢ | $65 | −$6.41 | $0 | |
| Will Hapoel Be'er Sheva finish first in UEL league phase? | No | 65 | 87.2¢ | 95.8¢ | $62 | +$5.59 | +$12 | |
| Will The Joint List win 7.5% or more of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections? | Yes | 63 | 96.2¢ | 98.4¢ | $62 | +$1.40 | $0 | |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? | Yes | 542 | 10.1¢ | 11.4¢ | $62 | +$6.85 | $0 | |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NC-05 House election by 0%-3%? | No | 72 | 87.4¢ | 85.4¢ | $61 | −$1.44 | $0 | |
| Will the Democratic Party win the UT-03 House seat? | No | 64 | 97.6¢ | 95.9¢ | $61 | −$1.12 | $0 | |
| Will Toronto Maple Leafs advance to the Eastern Conference Finals of the 2027 Stanley Cup Playoffs? | No | 84 | 46.8¢ | 67.5¢ | $57 | +$17 | $0 | |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 FL-27 House election by 3%-6%? | No | 60 | 91.9¢ | 93¢ | $56 | +$0.64 | $0 | |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 FL-27 House election by 6% or more? | No | 60 | 89.5¢ | 88.3¢ | $53 | −$0.75 | $0 | |
| Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election by 8%-12%? | Yes | 286 | 5.7¢ | 18.5¢ | $53 | +$36 | $0 | |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 917 | 6¢ | 5.5¢ | $50 | −$4.58 | $0 | |
| Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $15.5B by October 31? | No | 52 | 88¢ | 96.8¢ | $50 | +$4.55 | $0 | |
| Will Lana Del Rey release a new album by December 31? | No | 67 | 61.4¢ | 69¢ | $46 | +$5.10 | +$14 | |
| Will Chase Brown finish as a top-12 FLEX in the 2026-27 NFL season? | No | 52 | 43.3¢ | 84.5¢ | $44 | +$21 | $0 | |
| Will the Republican Party win the WI-04 House seat? | No | 44 | 96.9¢ | 96.3¢ | $42 | −$0.29 | $0 | |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NY-03 House election by 5% or more? | No | 45 | 92¢ | 93¢ | $42 | +$0.46 | $0 | |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NY-03 House election by 0%-5%? | No | 45 | 89.8¢ | 88.7¢ | $40 | −$0.51 | $0 | |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day? | Yes | 414 | 10.8¢ | 9.5¢ | $39 | −$5.47 | $0 | |
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election by at least 20%? | No | 40 | 96.5¢ | 98.1¢ | $39 | +$0.62 | $0 | |
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election by 16%-20%? | No | 40 | 97.5¢ | 97¢ | $39 | −$0.20 | $0 | |
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election by 12%-16%? | No | 40 | 94¢ | 96.6¢ | $39 | +$1.02 | $0 | |
| Will the Republicans win the Maine governor race in 2026? | No | 40 | 96¢ | 96.1¢ | $38 | +$0.04 | $0 | |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 FL-27 House election by 0%-3%? | No | 60 | 77¢ | 63¢ | $38 | −$8.40 | $0 | |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026? | Yes | 60 | 62.7¢ | 62.5¢ | $37 | −$0.12 | $0 | |
| Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election by 4%-8%? | Yes | 321 | 10.4¢ | 11.5¢ | $37 | +$3.59 | $0 | |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 AR-02 House election by 0%-5%? | No | 40 | 92¢ | 91.8¢ | $37 | −$0.08 | $0 | |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 AR-02 House election by 5% or more? | No | 40 | 83.2¢ | 91.3¢ | $37 | +$3.22 | $0 | |
| Will the Toronto Maple Leafs make the 2026-27 NHL Playoffs? | Yes | 84 | 43¢ | 43¢ | $36 | $0 | $0 | |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026? | No | 57 | 63¢ | 62.5¢ | $36 | −$0.29 | $0 | |
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election by 8%-12%? | No | 40 | 89¢ | 88.5¢ | $35 | −$0.20 | $0 | |
| Will Rebeca Grynspan be the next Secretary General of the United Nations? | No | 48 | 72¢ | 73.9¢ | $35 | +$0.90 | $0 | |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day? | Yes | 170 | 21.3¢ | 20.8¢ | $35 | −$0.93 | $0 | |
| Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.45% in October? | No | 45 | 95.9¢ | 75.3¢ | $34 | −$9.27 | $0 | |
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election by 4%-8%? | No | 40 | 87¢ | 82.5¢ | $33 | −$1.80 | $0 | |
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election by 0%-4%? | No | 40 | 80¢ | 79¢ | $32 | −$0.40 | $0 | |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 New Hampshire Senate election by 0%-3%? | No | 32 | 92¢ | 97.8¢ | $31 | +$1.86 | $0 | |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 New Hampshire Senate election by 6% or more? | No | 32 | 99.2¢ | 96.4¢ | $31 | −$0.92 | $0 | |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 New Hampshire Senate election by 3%-6%? | No | 32 | 92.4¢ | 95.2¢ | $31 | +$0.88 | $0 | |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-15 House election by 3%-6%? | No | 31 | 94.1¢ | 96.6¢ | $30 | +$0.76 | $0 | |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 Week of October 26 2026? | No | 55 | 72¢ | 55¢ | $30 | −$9.30 | $0 | |
| Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $600 Week of October 26 2026? | No | 34 | 82¢ | 83¢ | $28 | +$0.34 | $0 | |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-15 House election by 0%-3%? | No | 31 | 88¢ | 89.5¢ | $28 | +$0.47 | $0 | |
| Will Republicans hold 50–52 Senate seats and 193–207 House seats after the 2026 midterms? | Yes | 335 | 8.7¢ | 7.9¢ | $26 | −$2.73 | $0 | |
| Will Republicans hold 50–52 Senate seats and 208–222 House seats after the 2026 midterms? | Yes | 335 | 5¢ | 7.6¢ | $25 | +$8.49 | $0 | |
| Abstract FDV above $400M one day after launch? | No | 26 | 76.9¢ | 96.9¢ | $25 | +$5.19 | +$13 | |
| Will the US strike 8 countries in 2026? | Yes | 34 | 68.5¢ | 72.8¢ | $25 | +$1.46 | $0 | |
| Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? | No | 35 | 68¢ | 70.5¢ | $25 | +$0.88 | $0 | |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October? | Yes | 55 | 25¢ | 44.5¢ | $24 | +$11 | $0 | |
| Will there be 1-3 hurricanes during the Atlantic Hurricane Season in 2026? | Yes | 25 | 87.3¢ | 96.2¢ | $24 | +$2.23 | $0 | |
| Will Trump deport 400-500k people? | Yes | 50 | 57¢ | 43.5¢ | $22 | −$6.75 | $0 | |
| Will the Democratic Party win the FL-27 House seat? | Yes | 60 | 35¢ | 34.5¢ | $21 | −$0.30 | −$9.59 | |
| Will Lana Del Rey release an album in 2026? | Yes | 67 | 30.1¢ | 28.5¢ | $19 | −$1.08 | −$0.15 | |
| Will Republicans hold 53+ Senate seats and ≤207 House seats after the 2026 midterms? | Yes | 335 | 4.2¢ | 5.4¢ | $18 | +$3.89 | $0 | |
| Will Ilija Srdanović be the next prime minister of Serbia? | Yes | 165 | 10.7¢ | 10.5¢ | $17 | −$0.34 | −$6.62 | |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OH-10 House election by 0%-3%? | No | 20 | 82¢ | 86.5¢ | $17 | +$0.89 | +$3.24 | |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Connecticut gubernatorial election by 20%-25%? | Yes | 60 | 26¢ | 27.5¢ | $17 | +$0.90 | $0 | |
| Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election by 12%-16%? | Yes | 305 | 2.9¢ | 5.4¢ | $16 | +$7.56 | $0 | |
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | Yes | 40 | 40.9¢ | 40.6¢ | $16 | −$0.12 | $0 | |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OH-10 House election by 3% or more? | No | 20 | 84¢ | 80.5¢ | $16 | −$0.70 | $0 | |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Connecticut gubernatorial election by 15%-20%? | Yes | 60 | 13¢ | 24.5¢ | $15 | +$6.90 | $0 | |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.5T and $2.75T at market close on IPO day? | Yes | 621 | 3.1¢ | 2.4¢ | $15 | −$4.41 | $0 | |
| Will Chase Brown finish as a top-12 RB in the 2026-27 NFL season? | Yes | 52 | 26.8¢ | 25.5¢ | $13 | −$0.66 | $0 | |
| Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election by 16%-20%? | Yes | 339 | 2.8¢ | 3.6¢ | $12 | +$2.77 | $0 | |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Connecticut gubernatorial election by 10%-15%? | Yes | 60 | 20¢ | 20¢ | $12 | $0 | $0 | |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.75T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day? | Yes | 819 | 1.7¢ | 1.5¢ | $12 | −$2.13 | $0 | |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 UT-02 House election? | Yes | 182 | 1.1¢ | 6.3¢ | $11 | +$9.37 | $0 | |
| Will Rebeca Grynspan be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations? | Yes | 48 | 23¢ | 23.5¢ | $11 | +$0.24 | $0 | |
| Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election by at least 20%? | Yes | 339 | 2.3¢ | 3.2¢ | $11 | +$3.07 | $0 | |
| Will the Democratic Party win the NC-05 House seat? | Yes | 72 | 13.6¢ | 14.3¢ | $10 | +$0.50 | $0 | |
| Will Republicans hold 50–52 Senate seats and ≤192 House seats after the 2026 midterms? | Yes | 334 | 4.2¢ | 3.1¢ | $10 | −$3.97 | $0 | |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Nevada gubernatorial election by 9%-12%? | Yes | 39 | 3.4¢ | 25.9¢ | $10 | +$8.79 | $0 | |
