PnL all-time−$127vol $12.7k
PnL 30d−$55gains $46 · losses $74
PnL 7d−$17win rate 7d 100.0%
Win rate85.8%adj 82.8% · 30d 93.8%
Open value$105cash n/a
Positions9 / 221open / all-time
Max drawdown−15.2%of equity peak
Account age8molast trade 47s ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL−$95below peak −$107Oct 12
SharpScore inputs
65/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 85.8% · shrunk toward 50%100
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable78
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d100
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity85
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 13°C on April 2? · Noclosed+$18Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C on August 20? · Yesclosed+$17Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 27°C on September 4? · Noclosed+$13Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 76-77°F on June 3? · Noclosed+$13Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on October 1? · Noclosed+$12
Worst markets
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 25°C on October 2? · Noclosed−$74Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 4°C on March 8? · Noclosed−$61Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 82-83°F on March 30? · Noclosed−$54Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on September 8? · Noclosed−$52Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 14°C on April 2? · Noclosed−$46
Open positions · 9
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on October 13? | No | 108 | 97.7¢ | 97.5¢ | $105 | −$0.24 | $0 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 18°C on October 9? | No | 26 | 86¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$22 | −$0.16 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 16? | No | 21 | 81¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$17 | −$0.16 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on August 28? | Yes | 11 | 79.3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$8.85 | −$0.09 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C on October 3? | Yes | 10 | 39¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$4.08 | −$0.12 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on October 3? | Yes | 9 | 41¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$3.81 | −$0.11 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 90-91°F on September 8? | No | 6 | 94¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$5.50 | −$0.02 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 32°C on August 21? | Yes | 5 | 40¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1.90 | −$0.06 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on August 26? | Yes | 3 | 87¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$2.51 | −$0.02 |
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