| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? | No | 20.1k | 89¢ | 100¢ | $20.1k | +$2,203 | +$1,505 | |
| Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? | No | 17.6k | 79.6¢ | 89.5¢ | $15.7k | +$1,738 | $0 | |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 16.7k | 83.8¢ | 83.5¢ | $13.9k | −$58 | +$175 | |
| Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? | No | 10.6k | 83.8¢ | 100¢ | $10.6k | +$1,710 | $0 | |
| Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026? | No | 10.2k | 88.7¢ | 97.5¢ | $9,949 | +$899 | $0 | |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30? | No | 5,000 | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | $5,000 | +$15 | $0 | |
| Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026? | No | 4,500 | 86.7¢ | 97.5¢ | $4,387 | +$488 | $0 | |
| Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026? | Yes | 3,136 | 15.6¢ | 66.5¢ | $2,086 | +$1,597 | $0 | |
| Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027? | No | 4,721 | 23.2¢ | 37.5¢ | $1,770 | +$675 | $0 | |
| Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027? | No | 4,004 | 20.6¢ | 32¢ | $1,281 | +$457 | $0 | |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 5,480 | 54.5¢ | 20.5¢ | $1,123 | −$1,865 | $0 | |
| Will AI solve 2 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026? | No | 1,104 | 71.8¢ | 96.8¢ | $1,069 | +$276 | $0 | |
| Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026? | No | 1,000 | 77¢ | 100¢ | $1,000 | +$230 | $0 | |
| Will AI solve 3 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026? | No | 1,000 | 92.8¢ | 99.6¢ | $996 | +$68 | $0 | |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | Yes | 2,549 | 34¢ | 37.5¢ | $956 | +$89 | +$2,531 | |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | No | 1,191 | 65.3¢ | 74.5¢ | $887 | +$110 | $0 | |
| Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? | No | 1,017 | 47.2¢ | 80.5¢ | $819 | +$338 | $0 | |
| Will no Millennium Prize Problem be solved by AI by December 31, 2027? | Yes | 2,693 | 21.1¢ | 29.5¢ | $794 | +$227 | $0 | |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Yes | 2,000 | 30¢ | 36.5¢ | $730 | +$130 | $0 | |
| Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by December 31, 2026? | No | 753 | 77¢ | 92.5¢ | $697 | +$117 | $0 | |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31? | No | 3,333 | 18.8¢ | 18.5¢ | $617 | −$10 | $0 | |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31? | No | 1,110 | 51.1¢ | 54.5¢ | $605 | +$38 | +$75 | |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 1,173 | 81.4¢ | 49¢ | $575 | −$380 | +$11 | |
| Will the Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI? | No | 736 | 61.7¢ | 77.5¢ | $570 | +$116 | $0 | |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31? | No | 2,200 | 33.1¢ | 24.5¢ | $539 | −$189 | $0 | |
| Will Farsi, Hengam, Hormuz or Kharg Island no longer be under Iranian control by September 30, 2026? | No | 500 | 90¢ | 100¢ | $500 | +$50 | $0 | |
| Will GameStop acquire eBay? | No | 500 | 78¢ | 94.5¢ | $473 | +$83 | $0 | |
| Will gas be below $3.75/gallon in any state on October 31? | Yes | 631 | 46¢ | 66.5¢ | $419 | +$129 | $0 | |
| Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31 | Yes | 8,566 | 16¢ | 4.5¢ | $385 | −$982 | +$16 | |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? | Yes | 1,000 | 31¢ | 36¢ | $360 | +$50 | $0 | |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in September? | No | 336 | 60¢ | 100¢ | $336 | +$134 | $0 | |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31? | No | 5,109 | 9.9¢ | 6.5¢ | $332 | −$174 | $0 | |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 500 | 64¢ | 62.5¢ | $313 | −$7.50 | $0 | |
| Will STRC hit $100 by December 31? | No | 1,455 | 16.9¢ | 19.5¢ | $284 | +$38 | $0 | |
| US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by October 31? | Yes | 2,280 | 10.9¢ | 12¢ | $274 | +$26 | +$31 | |
| Will Anthropic announce a Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027? | No | 410 | 22.8¢ | 59¢ | $242 | +$149 | $0 | |
| Will there be fewer than 25 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on September 30? | No | 186 | 29.4¢ | 100¢ | $186 | +$131 | $0 | |
| Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026? | Yes | 200 | 21¢ | 81¢ | $162 | +$120 | $0 | |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 2,407 | 10.3¢ | 5.7¢ | $137 | −$110 | +$0.28 | |
| Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2027? | No | 135 | 63¢ | 87.5¢ | $118 | +$33 | $0 | |
| Will Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? | Yes | 121 | 92.6¢ | 95.6¢ | $116 | +$3.57 | $0 | |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | Yes | 2,422 | 8¢ | 4.5¢ | $109 | −$85 | $0 | |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September? | No | 88 | 25¢ | 100¢ | $88 | +$66 | $0 | |
| Will Trump meet with Javier Milei in September 2026? | Yes | 87 | 67¢ | 100¢ | $87 | +$29 | $0 | |
| USMCA extended in 2026? | No | 83 | 78¢ | 91.5¢ | $75 | +$11 | $0 | |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31? | Yes | 764 | 39¢ | 9.5¢ | $73 | −$225 | +$61 | |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31? | Yes | 2,728 | 8.7¢ | 2.5¢ | $67 | −$170 | +$30 | |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? | Yes | 4,000 | 3.8¢ | 1.7¢ | $66 | −$85 | $0 | |
| Another Fed rate hike in 2026? | No | 300 | 24¢ | 22¢ | $66 | −$6.00 | $0 | |
| Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the October interest rate announcement? | No | 270 | 3.3¢ | 23.7¢ | $64 | +$55 | $0 | |
| Will USD be less than 2.0M Iranian rials on December 31? | Yes | 658 | 15.5¢ | 9.5¢ | $62 | −$40 | $0 | |
| Bank of Canada Rate Hike in 2026? | Yes | 74 | 26¢ | 77¢ | $57 | +$38 | $0 | |
| Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.10% before 2027? | No | 236 | 21¢ | 20.3¢ | $48 | −$1.65 | $0 | |
| Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? | No | 41 | 29¢ | 89.5¢ | $37 | +$25 | $0 | |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | Yes | 500 | 5¢ | 6.5¢ | $32 | +$7.25 | $0 | |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | Yes | 200 | 34¢ | 15.5¢ | $31 | −$37 | $0 | |
| Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31? | Yes | 246 | 27¢ | 11.5¢ | $28 | −$38 | $0 | |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? | Yes | 945 | 2.5¢ | 2.8¢ | $26 | +$2.83 | $0 | |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be less than $1.25T at market close on IPO day? | Yes | 905 | 3¢ | 2.6¢ | $24 | −$3.62 | $0 | |
| Will Anthropic announce a Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? | No | 12 | 52.5¢ | 84¢ | $10 | +$3.83 | $0 | |
| Will OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | Yes | 517 | 0.3¢ | 0.6¢ | $3.10 | +$1.55 | $0 | |
| Will USD be less than 2.3M Iranian rials on October 31? | Yes | 25 | 0.9¢ | 2.8¢ | $0.69 | +$0.46 | $0 | |
| Will USD be between 2.4M and 2.5M Iranian rials on October 31? | Yes | 20 | 0.3¢ | 2.8¢ | $0.57 | +$0.51 | $0 | |
| Will USD be between 2.3M and 2.4M Iranian rials on October 31? | Yes | 35 | 0.3¢ | 0.9¢ | $0.32 | +$0.21 | $0 | |
| Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 0.9T and 1.2T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? | Yes | 66 | 0.3¢ | 0.5¢ | $0.29 | +$0.10 | $0 | |
| Will fewer than 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26? | No | 107k | 0.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$107 | +$106 | |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | Yes | 30.9k | 1.3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$404 | $0 | |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026? | Yes | 12.1k | 4.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$499 | $0 | |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15? | Yes | 12.0k | 1.6¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$189 | $0 | |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? | Yes | 10.2k | 30.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$3,159 | −$283 | |
| US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by August 31? | Yes | 8,399 | 22.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1,893 | −$279 | |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 7,244 | 3.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$224 | $0 | |
| Iran full airspace closure by August 15? | Yes | 6,840 | 1.4¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$98 | $0 | |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 14, 2026? | Yes | 5,671 | 3.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$196 | −$9.73 | |
| US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by September 30? | Yes | 5,669 | 7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$398 | $0 | |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in July? | Yes | 5,000 | 0.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$5.00 | $0 | |
| Will there be between 40 and 60 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31? | Yes | 4,773 | 6¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$286 | +$0.57 | |
| US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 24? | Yes | 4,421 | 9.2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$407 | $0 | |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 12, 2026? | Yes | 3,790 | 3.2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$120 | $0 | |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 3,500 | 48.3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1,690 | +$80 | |
| Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31? | No | 3,244 | 72.6¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$2,356 | −$21 | |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30? | Yes | 2,505 | 13.8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$346 | $0 | |
| 0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by July 31? | No | 2,500 | 3.4¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$84 | $0 | |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 9, 2026? | Yes | 2,405 | 7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$168 | −$22 | |
| Iran blockade lifted before Xi visits US? | Yes | 2,000 | 0.3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$6.00 | +$42 | |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 22, 2026? | Yes | 1,754 | 1.3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$23 | −$270 | |
| Will there be between 0 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on August 31? | No | 1,642 | 3.2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$53 | $0 | |
| US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 21? | Yes | 1,634 | 3.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$51 | $0 | |
| Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? | No | 1,519 | 3.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$59 | −$11 | |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 1,329 | 5.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$73 | +$13 | |
| Will there be between 5 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on September 30? | Yes | 1,323 | 1.4¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$19 | $0 | |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? | Yes | 1,216 | 37.2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$452 | −$1,135 | |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July? | Yes | 1,000 | 33¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$330 | $0 | |
| Will at least 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 1,000 | 6¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$60 | $0 | |
| Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027? | No | 1,000 | 3.4¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$34 | $0 | |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 10, 2026? | Yes | 950 | 12¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$114 | $0 | |
| Will there be 40 or more average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on August 31? | Yes | 935 | 3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$28 | +$0.71 | |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $50 by end of June? | Yes | 853 | 4.8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$41 | −$69 | |
| Will there be Saudi Arabian military action against Yemen by August 31, 2026? | Yes | 828 | 28.6¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$236 | +$7.52 | |
| Will 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? | Yes | 716 | 11.4¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$82 | +$7.61 | |