sharpside
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Traders/Rank #706

Ronaldo2100

0x71c…3501
SharpWhalePnL 100k+PnL 50k+PnL 10k+WR 60+1y+PoliticsSport
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$287kvol $13.7M
PnL 30d+$75.6kgains $109k · losses $28.1k
PnL 7d+$22.4kwin rate 7d 100.0%
Win rate69.5%adj 68.5% · 30d 57.1%
Open value$427kcash n/a
Positions177 / 578open / all-time
Max drawdown−35.1%of equity peak
Account age2.3ylast trade 4d ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$331kbelow peak $0Oct 9

SharpScore inputs

72/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale78
Adjusted win rateraw 69.5% · shrunk toward 50%71
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable92
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d85
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity65

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 100

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Yes217k69.8¢84.5¢$183k+$31.8k$0
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No167k50¢51.6¢$86.0k+$2,584$0
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes167k50¢48.4¢$80.8k−$2,584$0
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No38.7k83¢83.5¢$32.3k+$194+$615
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes31.1k84.1¢85.8¢$26.7k+$520$0
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?No11.1k50¢96.1¢$10.7k+$5,117$0
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?No5,55588¢97.8¢$5,430+$542$0
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes3,33368.8¢71.3¢$2,376+$83$0
Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?Yes212k3.3¢0¢$0−$7,053$0
Will any other candidate win the Romanian presidential election?Yes104k2.1¢0¢$0−$2,141−$0.51
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes56.4k22¢0¢$0−$12.4k−$71
Will Cristian-Vasile Terheș win the Romanian presidential election?Yes50.0k4.1¢0¢$0−$2,029−$0.11
Will Anamaria Gavrilă win the Romanian presidential election?Yes50.0k4.1¢0¢$0−$2,029−$0.11
Will Ilie Bolojan win the Romanian presidential election?Yes50.0k4.1¢0¢$0−$2,029−$0.11
Will Silviu Predoiu win the Romanian presidential election?Yes50.0k4.1¢0¢$0−$2,029−$0.11
Will Călin Georgescu win the Romanian presidential election?Yes50.0k4.1¢0¢$0−$2,029−$0.11
Will Mircea Geoană win the Romanian presidential election?Yes50.0k4.1¢0¢$0−$2,029−$0.11
Will Crin Antonescu win the Romanian presidential election?Yes50.0k4.1¢0¢$0−$2,029−$0.11
Will Anton Pisaroglu win the Romanian presidential election?Yes50.0k4.1¢0¢$0−$2,029−$0.11
Will Marcela-Lavinia Șandru win the Romanian presidential election?Yes50.0k4.1¢0¢$0−$2,029−$0.11
Will Sebastian-Constantin Popescu win the Romanian presidential election?Yes50.0k4.1¢0¢$0−$2,029−$0.11
Will Teodor Nițulescu win the Romanian presidential election?Yes50.0k4.1¢0¢$0−$2,029−$0.11
Will Daniel Funeriu win the Romanian presidential election?Yes50.0k4.1¢0¢$0−$2,029−$0.11
Will Hunor Kelemen win the Romanian presidential election?Yes50.0k4.1¢0¢$0−$2,029−$0.11
Will Diana Șoșoacă win the Romanian presidential election?Yes50.0k4.1¢0¢$0−$2,029−$0.11
Will John-Ion Banu-Muscel win the Romanian presidential election?Yes50.0k4.1¢0¢$0−$2,029−$0.11
Will Ana Birchall win the Romanian presidential election?Yes50.0k4.1¢0¢$0−$2,029−$0.11
Will Cristian Sima win the Romanian presidential election?Yes50.0k4.1¢0¢$0−$2,029−$0.11
Will Nicolae Ciucă win the Romanian presidential election?Yes50.0k4.1¢0¢$0−$2,029−$0.11
Will Marcel Ciolacu win the Romanian presidential election?Yes50.0k4.1¢0¢$0−$2,029−$0.11
Will Maciej Maciak be the next President of Poland?Yes33.3k3.3¢0¢$0−$1,112−$0.07
Will Krzysztof Stanowski be the next President of Poland?Yes33.3k3.3¢0¢$0−$1,112−$0.07
Will Waldemar Witkowski be the next President of Poland?Yes33.3k3.3¢0¢$0−$1,112−$0.07
Will Marek Woch be the next President of Poland?Yes33.3k3.3¢0¢$0−$1,112−$0.07
Will Joanna Senyszyn be the next President of Poland?Yes33.3k3.3¢0¢$0−$1,112−$0.07
Will Artur Bartoszewicz be the next President of Poland?Yes33.3k3.3¢0¢$0−$1,112−$0.07
Will Romuald Starosielec be the next President of Poland?Yes33.3k3.3¢0¢$0−$1,112−$0.07
Will Szymon Hołownia be the next President of Poland?Yes33.3k3.3¢0¢$0−$1,112−$0.07
Will Sławomir Mentzen be the next President of Poland?Yes33.3k3.3¢0¢$0−$1,112−$0.07
Will Agnieszka Dziemianowicz-Bąk be the next President of Poland?Yes33.3k3.3¢0¢$0−$1,112−$0.07
Will Grzegorz Braun be the next President of Poland?Yes33.3k3.3¢0¢$0−$1,112−$0.07
Will Marek Jakubiak be the next President of Poland?Yes33.3k3.3¢0¢$0−$1,112−$0.07
Will Magdalena Biejat be the next President of Poland?Yes33.3k3.3¢0¢$0−$1,112−$0.07
Will Adrian Zandberg be the next President of Poland?Yes33.3k3.3¢0¢$0−$1,112−$0.07
Will Elena Lasconi win the Romanian presidential election?Yes22.9k4.1¢0¢$0−$932−$1,042
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes20.3k21.6¢0¢$0−$4,374+$5,965
Will Cho Kuk be elected the next president of South Korea?Yes20.2k2.8¢0¢$0−$568−$0.02
Will Kwon Yeong-guk be elected the next president of South Korea?Yes20.2k2.8¢0¢$0−$568−$0.02
Will Yoon Suk Yeol be elected the next president of South Korea?Yes20.2k2.8¢0¢$0−$568−$0.02
Will Oh Se-hoon be elected the next president of South Korea?Yes20.2k2.8¢0¢$0−$568−$0.02
Will Kim Kyoung-soo be elected the next president of South Korea?Yes20.2k2.8¢0¢$0−$568−$0.02
Will Yoo Seong-min be elected the next president of South Korea?Yes20.2k2.8¢0¢$0−$568−$0.02
Will Kim Boo-kyum be elected the next president of South Korea?Yes20.2k2.8¢0¢$0−$568−$0.02
Will Han Dong-hoon be elected the next president of South Korea?Yes20.2k2.8¢0¢$0−$568−$0.02
Will Lee Nak-yon be elected the next president of South Korea?Yes20.2k2.8¢0¢$0−$568−$0.02
Will Kim Dong-yeon be elected the next president of South Korea?Yes20.2k2.8¢0¢$0−$568−$0.02
Will Na Kyung-won be elected the next president of South Korea?Yes20.2k2.8¢0¢$0−$568−$0.02
Will Hwang Kyo-ahn be elected the next president of South Korea?Yes20.2k2.8¢0¢$0−$568−$0.02
Will Won Hee-ryong be elected the next president of South Korea?Yes20.2k2.8¢0¢$0−$568−$0.02
Will Hong Joon-pyo be elected the next president of South Korea?Yes20.2k2.8¢0¢$0−$568−$0.02
Will Ahn Cheol-soo be elected the next president of South Korea?Yes20.2k2.8¢0¢$0−$568−$0.02
Will Han Duck-soo be elected the next president of South Korea?Yes20.2k2.8¢0¢$0−$568−$0.02
Will the New York Knicks win the 2025 NBA Finals?Yes18.4k14.9¢0¢$0−$2,744$0
Will George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?Yes16.6k38.3¢0¢$0−$6,373+$15.6k
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?Yes14.1k17.1¢0¢$0−$2,410$0
Will Andrew Cuomo win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?Yes13.4k60.6¢0¢$0−$8,121−$8,916
Andrew Tate vs. Chase DemoorTate13.3k83.1¢0¢$0−$11.1k$0
Will the US next strike Iran on February 9, 2026 (ET)?Yes11.1k3.5¢0¢$0−$389$0
Knicks vs. SpursSpurs11.1k66¢0¢$0−$7,333−$1,170
Boxing: Tyson Fury vs. Arslanbek MakhmudovMakhmudov10.8k17.3¢0¢$0−$1,874$0
Will the Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (DMK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?Yes9,15785¢0¢$0−$7,784$0
Will Bhumjaithai Party (BJT) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?No8,88869¢0¢$0−$6,133−$5,891
French Open: Sinner vs. DjokovicDjokovic8,88823¢0¢$0−$2,044$0
Will another candidate win?Yes8,6280.1¢0¢$0−$8.63$0
Will Aryna Sabalenka win the 2025 French Open? Yes7,70065.4¢0¢$0−$5,036$0
Pacers vs. KnicksKnicks7,69668.4¢0¢$0−$5,261$0
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals?No6,67134¢0¢$0−$2,267$0
Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2025 NBA Finals?Yes6,66629.4¢0¢$0−$1,960+$24
Thunder vs. PacersPacers6,66632¢0¢$0−$2,133$0
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?Yes6,10048¢0¢$0−$2,929$0
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs LGD Gaming (BO3)Ninjas in Pyjamas5,58279.9¢0¢$0−$4,458$0
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?No5,55554¢0¢$0−$3,000−$41
Will Epstein Data Set 13 be released by February 28?Yes5,55544¢0¢$0−$2,444$0
Will the United States win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?Yes5,55530¢0¢$0−$1,667$0
Will Coco Gauff win the 2025 French Open?No4,44466¢0¢$0−$2,933$0
Will "Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua" be the top global Netflix show this week? (December 23, 2025)Yes4,32576.5¢0¢$0−$3,310$0
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?Yes4,26281¢0¢$0−$3,452−$1,978
Will England U21 beat Czechia U21?No4,02231.8¢0¢$0−$1,279$0
Oilers vs. PanthersPanthers3,81558.9¢0¢$0−$2,248$0
Boss Open: Zverev vs. MoutetMoutet3,8067.5¢0¢$0−$287+$85
Yankees vs. Red SoxYankees3,38463¢0¢$0−$2,132$0
Will All I Want For Christmas Is You - Mariah Carey be the #1 song on Spotify this week?Yes3,33360¢0¢$0−$2,000$0
White Sox vs. RangersWhite Sox3,33333¢0¢$0−$1,100$0
Angels vs. YankeesYankees3,33365¢0¢$0−$2,166$0
Rockies vs. NationalsNationals3,33363¢0¢$0−$2,100$0
Phillies vs. MarlinsMarlins3,33346¢0¢$0−$1,533$0
Pirates vs. CubsPirates3,33342¢0¢$0−$1,400$0
Athletics vs. RoyalsRoyals3,33359¢0¢$0−$1,966$0
Will voter turnout in the 2025 Polish presidential election be more than 72%?Yes2,90070.6¢0¢$0−$2,046$0
Rays vs. Red SoxRays2,87850¢0¢$0−$1,439−$93

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY YesWill Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?80.2¢5,555$4,45470%72Sharp
BUY YesUS x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?94¢4,444$4,17770%72Sharp
BUY YesUS x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?93¢5,688$5,29070%72Sharp
BUY YesWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?89¢686$61170%72Sharp
SELL YesWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?0.1¢56.4k$5670%72Sharp
SELL YesWill the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?0.9¢56.4k$50870%72Sharp
BUY YesWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?88¢85$7570%72Sharp
BUY NoWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?88¢54.0k$47.5k70%72WhaleSharp
BUY YesWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?85¢91$7870%72Sharp
BUY YesWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?85¢58.3k$49.6k70%72WhaleSharp
BUY YesWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?84¢58$4970%72Sharp
BUY YesWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?84¢34.5k$28.9k70%72WhaleSharp
BUY YesWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?80¢55.6k$44.4k70%72WhaleSharp
BUY YesWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?81¢55.6k$45.0k70%72WhaleSharp
SELL YesWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?49¢20.0k$9,80070%72Sharp
BUY YesWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?77.4¢9,610$7,43870%72Sharp
BUY YesWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?77.9¢1,111$86570%72Sharp
BUY YesWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?77.9¢1,111$86570%72Sharp
BUY YesWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?77.8¢220$17170%72Sharp
BUY YesWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?77.9¢1,111$86570%72Sharp