| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | Yes | 214k | 84.9¢ | 84.5¢ | $181k | −$925 | +$3,402 | |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? | No | 77.7k | 99.1¢ | 99.7¢ | $77.5k | +$391 | +$420 | |
| Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026? | No | 8,852 | 65¢ | 95.4¢ | $8,440 | +$2,683 | $0 | |
| Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 13.8k | 65.8¢ | 59.5¢ | $8,222 | −$868 | $0 | |
| Will US unemployment reach at least 6.0% in 2026? | No | 4,720 | 91.3¢ | 99.7¢ | $4,706 | +$398 | +$178 | |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 15.0k | 45¢ | 26.5¢ | $3,975 | −$2,775 | $0 | |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | 5,562 | 53.7¢ | 71.3¢ | $3,965 | +$981 | +$9,572 | |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | 4,219 | 74.5¢ | 87.3¢ | $3,683 | +$539 | +$1,288 | |
| Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027? | No | 1,652 | 94¢ | 97¢ | $1,602 | +$50 | $0 | |
| Will US unemployment reach at least 7.0% in 2026? | No | 1,023 | 90¢ | 98.5¢ | $1,007 | +$87 | +$7.20 | |
| Will US unemployment reach at least 5.5% in 2026? | No | 685 | 77.4¢ | 97.6¢ | $669 | +$138 | +$1,143 | |
| Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 10.0k | 18.8¢ | 5.9¢ | $592 | −$1,293 | +$295 | |
| Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair and will rates stay above 2.5% in 2026? | Yes | 576 | 84.7¢ | 98.5¢ | $567 | +$79 | $0 | |
| Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026? | Yes | 561 | 36.4¢ | 43.5¢ | $244 | +$40 | $0 | |
| Will Solana reach $160 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 1,277 | 37.6¢ | 18¢ | $230 | −$250 | $0 | |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.6% before 2027? | No | 234 | 74¢ | 97.3¢ | $227 | +$54 | $0 | |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.5% before 2027? | No | 230 | 81.5¢ | 98.9¢ | $227 | +$40 | +$3.77 | |
| Record crypto liquidation in 2026? | No | 156 | 80.1¢ | 93.4¢ | $145 | +$21 | +$6.19 | |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026? | No | 100 | 71¢ | 91.8¢ | $92 | +$21 | $0 | |
| Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? | Yes | 1,140 | 23.9¢ | 2.8¢ | $32 | −$241 | $0 | |
| Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 100 | 45¢ | 20¢ | $20 | −$25 | $0 | |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.0% before 2027? | No | 15 | 87.7¢ | 99.1¢ | $14 | +$1.65 | +$0.48 | |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | Yes | 255 | 62.2¢ | 5.1¢ | $13 | −$146 | −$51 | |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | No | 225 | 24.7¢ | 4.5¢ | $10 | −$46 | $0 | |
| Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026? | No | 10 | 85¢ | 95.5¢ | $9.55 | +$1.05 | $0 | |
| Iran leadership change by December 31? | No | 10 | 39¢ | 88.5¢ | $8.85 | +$4.95 | +$133 | |
| Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 65 | 30¢ | 10¢ | $6.50 | −$13 | $0 | |
| Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 641 | 5.3¢ | 0.8¢ | $4.81 | −$29 | $0 | |
| Ethereum all time high by December 31, 2026? | No | 5 | 64¢ | 95.3¢ | $4.76 | +$1.56 | $0 | |
| US recession by end of 2026? | No | 5 | 76¢ | 93.5¢ | $4.67 | +$0.88 | $0 | |
| Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026? | No | 5 | 81¢ | 93¢ | $4.65 | +$0.60 | $0 | |
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | Yes | 100 | 28¢ | 4¢ | $3.95 | −$24 | $0 | |
| Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | Yes | 5 | 86¢ | 43.5¢ | $2.17 | −$2.13 | $0 | |
| Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? | Yes | 53 | 42¢ | 4¢ | $2.11 | −$20 | $0 | |
| Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? | Yes | 53 | 19¢ | 1.8¢ | $0.92 | −$9.08 | $0 | |
| Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81 | Yes | 18 | 64¢ | 5¢ | $0.88 | −$10 | $0 | |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 50 | 3¢ | 1.3¢ | $0.63 | −$0.88 | $0 | |
| Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 125 | 0.8¢ | 0.5¢ | $0.56 | −$0.44 | $0 | |
| Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 143 | 7¢ | 0.3¢ | $0.36 | −$9.64 | $0 | |
| US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027? | Yes | 1 | 24.6¢ | 5¢ | $0.05 | −$0.20 | +$2.30 | |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.0% at the end of 2026? | Yes | 5 | 28¢ | 0.3¢ | $0.01 | −$1.39 | $0 | |
| Fed rate hike in 2026? | No | 80.1k | 68.2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$54.6k | −$16.1k | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on August 1? | Up | 61.7k | 10¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$6,190 | $0 | |
| Ethereum flipped in 2026? | No | 21.3k | 79.6¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$16.9k | −$661 | |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 19.1k | 15¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$2,869 | −$99 | |
| Will annual inflation increase by 3.0% or more in July? | Yes | 14.2k | 2.7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$387 | $0 | |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | Yes | 6,278 | 70.3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$4,412 | +$12.6k | |
| Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve by January 31, 2026? | No | 4,356 | 91.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$4,004 | −$591 | |
| Will the US not strike another country before 2027? | Yes | 3,265 | 0.6¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$19 | $0 | |
| Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day? | Yes | 2,236 | 18¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$402 | +$35 | |
| Will two people dissent the October Fed decision? | No | 1,423 | 82.7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1,177 | $0 | |
| Will there be no new Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30? | Yes | 1,243 | 6.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$80 | $0 | |
| Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting? | No | 1,167 | 79.2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$925 | −$0.64 | |
| Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished? | Yes | 1,150 | 6.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$75 | $0 | |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30? | No | 1,000 | 22¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$220 | −$200 | |
| Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? | Yes | 1,000 | 93¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$930 | −$1.95 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on November 19? | Up | 1,000 | 11¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$110 | $0 | |
| Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? | No | 828 | 81.4¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$674 | −$6.28 | |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | No | 813 | 12.3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$100 | $0 | |
| Will Trump say "Congo" during events with Polish president on September 3? | No | 675 | 48.6¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$328 | $0 | |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March? | No | 640 | 75.8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$485 | $0 | |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March? | No | 613 | 64¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$393 | $0 | |
| Will annual inflation increase by 2.9% in July? | Yes | 600 | 19.2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$115 | $0 | |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of March? | No | 591 | 32¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$189 | +$3.53 | |
| Will Christopher Waller dissent the next Fed Decision? | Yes | 502 | 87.7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$440 | $0 | |
| Bitcoin below MicroStrategy average buy price in 2026? | No | 494 | 29.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$148 | $0 | |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 3? | Up | 487 | 8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$39 | +$0.43 | |
| Will the 10-year treasury yield hit 4.4% by March 31? | No | 393 | 64.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$252 | +$155 | |
| Will annual inflation increase by 2.7% in August? | Yes | 393 | 2.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$9.68 | $0 | |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $75 by end of March? | No | 361 | 5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$18 | $0 | |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 19? | Yes | 299 | 10¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$30 | $0 | |
| Will the August 2025 unemployment rate be 4.0%? | Yes | 291 | 1.4¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$4.10 | $0 | |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 20? | Yes | 253 | 5.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$15 | $0 | |
| Will one person dissent the October Fed decision? | Yes | 251 | 57¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$143 | $0 | |
| Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 5, 2026? | No | 240 | 2.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$6.96 | $0 | |
| US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026? | Yes | 228 | 3.7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$8.44 | $0 | |
| Will Bitcoin reach $125K in August? | Yes | 203 | 1.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$3.84 | $0 | |
| Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | Yes | 200 | 0.8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1.60 | $0 | |
| Will Trump's remarks not air? | Yes | 186 | 1.3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$2.42 | $0 | |
| U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by January 31? | No | 144 | 79.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$115 | $0 | |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T? | Yes | 125 | 28¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$35 | +$75 | |
| Will Powell say "Good Afternoon" during April press conference? | No | 117 | 1.7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$2.03 | $0 | |
| Will the US strike another country first? | Yes | 112 | 0.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1.01 | $0 | |
| Will Hassan Khomeini be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | Yes | 110 | 21¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$23 | $0 | |
| Will Trump say "Polymarket" by December 31? | Yes | 110 | 2.4¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$2.64 | $0 | |
| Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by March 31? | Yes | 109 | 33¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$36 | $0 | |
| Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 7, 2026? | No | 100 | 6¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$6.00 | $0 | |
| Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-25? | Yes | 100 | 6¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$6.00 | −$0.17 | |
| US bank failure by January 31? | No | 100 | 99¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$99 | $0 | |
| Will Iraq win on 2026-06-26? | Yes | 100 | 7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$7.00 | −$0.20 | |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30? | Yes | 100 | 20¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$20 | $0 | |
| Will Bitcoin reach $96,000 December 8-14? | Yes | 100 | 10¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$10 | $0 | |
| Will the US add between 100k and 150k jobs in August? | Yes | 100 | 17¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$17 | $0 | |
| Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2025? | Yes | 100 | 59¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$59 | $0 | |
| Will Curaçao vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw? | Yes | 80 | 12¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$9.60 | −$0.25 | |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T? | Yes | 75 | 47¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$35 | +$34 | |
| Will Trump say "Bibi" or "Netanyahu" during Address to the Nation? | Yes | 74 | 23¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$17 | $0 | |
| Will BNB hit $1500 by December 31? | Yes | 72 | 30¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$22 | $0 | |
| Will 53 senators vote “Yea” for Trump’s Fed Chair nominee? | Yes | 65 | 12.7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$8.30 | $0 | |
| Will Senegal vs. Iraq end in a draw? | Yes | 50 | 15¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$7.50 | −$0.19 | |