Traders/Unranked

hirichzhou

0x71f…2e2e

Politics

Polymarket

PnL all-time−$4,943vol $505k

PnL 30d−$20.6kgains $21.0k · losses $15.7k

PnL 7d−$3,122win rate 7d 6.1%

Win rate15.0%adj 18.7% · 30d 13.9%

Open value$4,378cash n/a

Positions97 / 276open / all-time

Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak

Account age31dlast trade 5h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL−$2,177below peak −$4,647Oct 12

SharpScore inputs

28/ 100 SharpScore · v1

Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0

Adjusted win rateraw 15.0% · shrunk toward 50%0

Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable81

Recencylast trade; fades over 30d99

Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? · Yesclosed+$3,727 Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026? · Yesclosed+$3,637 Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? · Yesclosed+$3,556 Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026? · Yesclosed+$3,372 Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? · Yesclosed+$2,927

Worst markets

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? · Yesclosed−$515 Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? · Yesclosed−$207 Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026? · Yesopen−$182 Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? · Yesclosed−$170 Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? · Yesopen−$163

Open positions · 97

Market	Outcome		Avg entry	Now			Realized	Ends
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	3,003	4¢	36.3¢	$1,089	+$969	$0	22h 53m
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	3,054	6.5¢	33.9¢	$1,035	+$836	−$22	22h 53m
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	3,003	4¢	14.2¢	$428	+$308	$0	22h 53m
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	1,502	4¢	20.5¢	$308	+$248	$0	3d 22h
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	1,502	4¢	18.5¢	$278	+$218	$0	3d 22h
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	1,502	4¢	18.5¢	$278	+$218	$0	3d 22h
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	3,001	6.2¢	7.9¢	$237	+$51	+$1.31	22h 53m
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	1,502	4¢	13.6¢	$203	+$143	$0	3d 22h
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	1,502	4¢	8.4¢	$125	+$65	$0	3d 22h
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	1,502	4¢	8¢	$119	+$59	$0	3d 22h
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	1,502	4¢	4.3¢	$65	+$4.57	$0	3d 22h
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	1,502	4¢	3.8¢	$56	−$3.69	$0	3d 22h
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	2,700	4¢	1.8¢	$47	−$61	+$14	22h 53m
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	1,502	4¢	2.6¢	$39	−$21	$0	3d 22h
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	1,502	4¢	1.8¢	$26	−$34	$0	3d 22h
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	1,502	4¢	1.6¢	$23	−$37	$0	3d 22h
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	1,502	4¢	0.9¢	$13	−$47	$0	3d 22h
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	1,502	4¢	0.5¢	$6.76	−$53	$0	3d 22h
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?	Yes	3,900	3.7¢	0¢	$0	−$146	−$16	ended
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	Yes	3,883	4¢	0¢	$0	−$155	−$0.01	ended
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	Yes	3,883	4¢	0¢	$0	−$155	−$0.01	ended
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	Yes	3,883	4¢	0¢	$0	−$155	−$0.01	ended
Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	Yes	3,883	4¢	0¢	$0	−$155	−$0.01	ended
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	Yes	3,883	4¢	0¢	$0	−$155	−$0.01	ended
Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	Yes	3,883	4¢	0¢	$0	−$155	−$0.01	ended
Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	Yes	3,883	4¢	0¢	$0	−$155	−$0.01	ended
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	Yes	3,883	4¢	0¢	$0	−$155	−$0.01	ended
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	Yes	3,873	4¢	0¢	$0	−$155	−$0.40	ended
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?	Yes	3,872	4.7¢	0¢	$0	−$181	−$1.06	ended
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?	Yes	3,803	4.3¢	0¢	$0	−$163	−$0.33	ended
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?	Yes	3,778	4¢	0¢	$0	−$151	−$0.01	ended
Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?	Yes	3,778	4¢	0¢	$0	−$151	−$0.01	ended
Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?	Yes	3,778	4¢	0¢	$0	−$151	−$0.01	ended
Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?	Yes	3,778	4¢	0¢	$0	−$151	−$0.01	ended
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?	Yes	3,778	4¢	0¢	$0	−$151	−$0.01	ended
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?	Yes	3,778	4¢	0¢	$0	−$151	−$0.01	ended
Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?	Yes	3,772	4¢	0¢	$0	−$151	−$0.01	ended
Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?	Yes	3,772	4¢	0¢	$0	−$151	−$0.01	ended
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?	Yes	3,711	4.4¢	0¢	$0	−$164	+$24	ended
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?	Yes	3,600	4¢	0¢	$0	−$144	−$2.51	ended
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	Yes	3,513	5.4¢	0¢	$0	−$188	+$26	ended
Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	Yes	3,513	4¢	0¢	$0	−$140	−$0.01	ended
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	Yes	3,513	4¢	0¢	$0	−$140	−$0.01	ended
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	Yes	3,513	4¢	0¢	$0	−$140	−$0.01	ended
Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	Yes	3,513	4¢	0¢	$0	−$140	−$0.01	ended
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	Yes	3,500	0.7¢	0¢	$0	−$26	−$93	ended
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	Yes	3,443	4¢	0¢	$0	−$138	−$2.01	ended
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?	Yes	3,300	4¢	0¢	$0	−$132	+$10	ended
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?	Yes	3,300	4¢	0¢	$0	−$132	−$16	ended
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?	Yes	3,173	4.5¢	0¢	$0	−$143	+$43	ended
Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?	Yes	3,172	4¢	0¢	$0	−$127	−$23	ended
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	Yes	3,112	4¢	0¢	$0	−$124	−$15	ended
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?	Yes	3,067	5.2¢	0¢	$0	−$159	+$2.62	ended
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	Yes	3,048	4.9¢	0¢	$0	−$149	+$69	ended
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	Yes	3,038	5.3¢	0¢	$0	−$160	−$2.92	ended
Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	Yes	3,038	4¢	0¢	$0	−$121	−$0.01	ended
Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	Yes	3,038	4¢	0¢	$0	−$121	−$0.01	ended
Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	Yes	3,038	4¢	0¢	$0	−$121	−$0.01	ended
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	Yes	3,038	4¢	0¢	$0	−$121	−$0.01	ended
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	Yes	3,038	4¢	0¢	$0	−$121	−$0.01	ended
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	Yes	3,038	4¢	0¢	$0	−$121	−$0.01	ended
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?	Yes	3,019	4.2¢	0¢	$0	−$127	−$0.93	ended
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	3,003	4¢	0¢	$0	−$120	−$0.01	ended
Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	3,003	4¢	0¢	$0	−$120	−$0.01	ended
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	3,003	4¢	0¢	$0	−$120	−$0.01	ended
Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	3,003	4¢	0¢	$0	−$120	−$0.01	ended
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	3,003	4¢	0¢	$0	−$120	−$0.01	ended
Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	3,003	4¢	0¢	$0	−$120	−$0.01	ended
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?	Yes	3,003	4¢	0¢	$0	−$120	−$0.01	ended
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?	Yes	3,003	4¢	0¢	$0	−$120	−$0.01	ended
Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?	Yes	3,003	4¢	0¢	$0	−$120	−$0.01	ended
Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?	Yes	3,003	4¢	0¢	$0	−$120	−$0.01	ended
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?	Yes	3,003	4¢	0¢	$0	−$120	−$0.01	ended
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?	Yes	3,003	4¢	0¢	$0	−$120	−$0.01	ended
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	Yes	3,000	4¢	0¢	$0	−$120	−$33	ended
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	Yes	2,800	4.5¢	0¢	$0	−$126	−$13	ended
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	Yes	2,700	4¢	0¢	$0	−$108	−$13	ended
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	Yes	2,500	4¢	0¢	$0	−$100	−$20	ended
Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	Yes	2,468	4¢	0¢	$0	−$99	−$41	ended
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	2,402	4¢	0¢	$0	−$96	−$23	22h 53m
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	2,402	4¢	0¢	$0	−$96	−$23	22h 53m
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?	Yes	2,324	4¢	0¢	$0	−$93	−$36	ended
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	Yes	1,941	4¢	0¢	$0	−$78	−$76	ended
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	Yes	1,941	4¢	0¢	$0	−$78	−$76	ended
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	Yes	1,941	4¢	0¢	$0	−$78	−$76	ended
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?	Yes	1,772	4¢	0¢	$0	−$71	−$78	ended
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?	Yes	1,651	4¢	0¢	$0	−$66	−$83	ended
Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	1,502	4¢	0¢	$0	−$60	$0	3d 22h
Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	1,502	4¢	0¢	$0	−$60	$0	3d 22h
Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	1,502	4¢	0¢	$0	−$60	$0	3d 22h
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?	Yes	667	4¢	0¢	$0	−$27	−$121	ended
Will Spirit Win the ESL Pro League Season 24?	Yes	503	10.1¢	0¢	$0	−$51	+$9.66	13d 22h
Will Falcons Win the ESL Pro League Season 24?	Yes	503	4.7¢	0¢	$0	−$24	−$0.01	13d 22h
Will MOUZ Win the ESL Pro League Season 24?	Yes	503	4.7¢	0¢	$0	−$24	−$0.01	13d 22h
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?	Yes	246	4¢	0¢	$0	−$9.83	−$137	ended
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?	No	167	90¢	0¢	$0	−$150	−$0.75	ended
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	3	4¢	0¢	$0	−$0.10	−$112	22h 53m

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s

Time	Side	Market	Price	Shares	Value	Trader WR	Sharp
5h ago	SELL Yes	Will Vitality Win the ESL Pro League Season 24?	99.9¢	503	$502	15%	28
1d ago	SELL Yes	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	2.4¢	750	$18	15%	28
1d ago	BUY Yes	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	16¢	115	$18	15%	28
1d ago	BUY Yes	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	16¢	211	$34	15%	28
1d ago	BUY Yes	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	15.9¢	11	$1.75	15%	28
1d ago	BUY Yes	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	15.9¢	11	$1.75	15%	28
1d ago	BUY Yes	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	15.9¢	11	$1.75	15%	28
1d ago	BUY Yes	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	15.8¢	167	$26	15%	28
1d ago	BUY Yes	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	15.4¢	126	$19	15%	28
1d ago	BUY Yes	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	10.2¢	41	$4.18	15%	28
1d ago	BUY Yes	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	10.1¢	790	$80	15%	28
1d ago	BUY Yes	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	9.9¢	17	$1.68	15%	28
1d ago	BUY Yes	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	9.9¢	36	$3.56	15%	28
1d ago	BUY Yes	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	9.8¢	150	$15	15%	28
1d ago	BUY Yes	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	9.7¢	67	$6.50	15%	28
1d ago	SELL Yes	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	9¢	303	$27	15%	28
1d ago	SELL Yes	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	2.5¢	2,253	$57	15%	28
1d ago	SELL Yes	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	0.8¢	2,791	$22	15%	28
1d ago	SELL Yes	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	0.9¢	106	$0.95	15%	28
1d ago	SELL Yes	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	0.9¢	100	$0.90	15%	28