PnL all-time−$45vol $16.6k
PnL 30d−$102gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d−$102win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate52.9%adj 51.4% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$201cash n/a
Positions6 / 25open / all-time
Max drawdown−4.5%of equity peak
Account age2.3ylast trade 1d ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL−$42below peak −$45Oct 12
SharpScore inputs
29/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 52.9% · shrunk toward 50%28
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable47
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d95
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity96
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Worst markets
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026? · Noopen−$33Will Marco Francis win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election? · Yesopen−$7.50Will Trump mention $MAGA before Election? · Noclosed−$5.18Will Kostas Tasoulas be next Greek President? · Noclosed−$2.00Will Joe Kent win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Noclosed−$1.53
Open positions · 6
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 12? | Yes | 100 | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | $100 | +$0.30 | −$0.02 | |
| Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 102 | 98.3¢ | 98.3¢ | $100 | −$0.05 | $0 | |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 7 | 15.1¢ | 12.6¢ | $0.83 | −$0.17 | $0 | |
| Will Marco Francis win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election? | Yes | 2,500 | 0.2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$5.00 | −$2.50 | |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026? | No | 35 | 95.6¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$33 | $0 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026? | Yes | 6 | 15.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1.00 | −$0.04 |
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