sharpside
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Traders/Rank #5,598

GirlOnFire

0x723…f3d0
SharpWR 70+WR 60+PoliticsOtherSport
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$1,010vol $78.4k
PnL 30d+$667gains $516 · losses $163
PnL 7d+$189win rate 7d 63.6%
Win rate71.8%adj 69.5% · 30d 75.0%
Open value$2,872cash n/a
Positions69 / 248open / all-time
Max drawdown0%of equity peak
Account age7molast trade 8h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

Not enough history to draw an equity curve.

SharpScore inputs

75/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale43
Adjusted win rateraw 71.8% · shrunk toward 50%74
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable80
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d99
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity100

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 65

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will the Republicans win Leavenworth County in the Kansas Senate race in 2026?Yes39967.8¢82¢$327+$57$0
Will the Democrats win Denton County in the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes47055.6¢49.5¢$233−$29$0
Will the Republicans win Denton County in the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes47033.7¢47.5¢$223+$65$0
Will Bruce Blakeman win Nassau County in the New York governor race in 2026?Yes21048.7¢68.5¢$144+$42$0
Will the Republicans win Macomb County in the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Yes22562.6¢62.5¢$141−$0.17$0
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-04 House seat?Yes14489.5¢95.8¢$138+$9.05$0
Will the Democrats win Washoe County in the Nevada governor race in 2026?Yes17367.5¢69¢$120+$2.67$0
Will the Democrats win Grand Traverse County in the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Yes15958¢62¢$98+$6.35$0
Will Conservative win the most seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election?Yes10053¢81¢$81+$28$0
Will the Democrats win Miami-Dade County in the Florida Senate race in 2026?Yes19027¢40.5¢$77+$26$0
Will the Republicans win Miami-Dade County in the Florida Senate race in 2026?Yes19060¢39¢$74−$40$0
Will the Democrats win Leavenworth County in the Kansas Senate race in 2026?Yes39921.6¢17.5¢$70−$16$0
Will the Republican Party win the CA-04 House seat?No7092.6¢99.2¢$69+$4.61$0
Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the October interest rate announcement?Yes10015.3¢67.4¢$67+$52$0
Will the Democrats win Macomb County in the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Yes22528.8¢28¢$63−$1.86$0
Will the Republicans win Grand Traverse County in the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Yes15935.8¢36.5¢$58+$1.18$0
Will Kathy Hochul win Nassau County in the New York governor race in 2026?Yes21035.6¢27.5¢$58−$17$0
Will the Democrats win Collin County in the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes8064¢68.5¢$55+$3.60$0
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes20029¢26.5¢$53−$5.00$0
Will the Democrats win Clark County in the Nevada governor race in 2026?Yes6081¢85¢$51+$2.40$0
Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the December interest rate announcement?Yes10048¢47¢$47−$1.00$0
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 21, 2026?No4537¢94.5¢$42+$26$0
Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of October 2026?No5072.9¢82.1¢$41+$4.60$0
Will Anthropic be the #3 AI Lab at the end of October 2026 (Style Control On)?No5054.8¢72.4¢$36+$8.80$0
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Yes5055¢70¢$35+$7.50$0
Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $30M?No10034¢29.5¢$29−$4.50$0
Will Fernando Mendoza be named the Raiders' starting QB by Week 12?No3461¢78.5¢$27+$5.95$0
Will the Republicans win Collin County in the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes8024¢32¢$26+$6.40$0
Will Anthropic's market cap be $3.0T or greater at market close on IPO day?Yes6542.3¢3.8¢$25+$9.48$0
Will the Republicans win Washoe County in the Nevada governor race in 2026?Yes17323.3¢14¢$24−$16$0
Will Anthropic be the #2 AI lab at the end of October 2026?No5054¢48.5¢$24−$2.75$0
Will Josh Morgan win the 2026 London mayoral election?Yes2787.1¢86.5¢$23−$0.15$0
Will Susie Wiles leave the Trump administration before 2027?No3062¢62¢$19$0$0
Will Chou Chun-mi win the next Pingtung County Magistrate election?Yes2056¢84.5¢$17+$5.70$0
Will Emmanuel Macron be the next leader out before 2027?Yes1,3960.8¢1.2¢$17+$5.09$0
Will Conservative win the second most seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election?Yes10038¢16.5¢$17−$22$0
Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by December 31, 2026?No2031¢82¢$16+$10$0
Will Elizabeth Roy win the 2026 Whitby mayoral election?Yes2079¢78.5¢$16−$0.10$0
Bank of Canada Rate Hike in 2026?No10026¢15.5¢$16−$11$0
Will Fernando Mendoza be named the Raiders' starting QB by Week 13?Yes3422¢41.5¢$14+$6.63$0
Will Alison Jarman win the next Devonport mayoral election?Yes2065¢65¢$13$0$0
Will Janet Gatehouse win the next Sorell mayoral election?Yes2057¢64.5¢$13+$1.50$0
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-10 House election by 10%-15%?Yes5025.3¢25.7¢$13+$0.17$0
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-10 House election by 5%-10%?Yes5011¢25¢$13+$7.00$0
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Kansas Attorney General election?Yes2052¢54¢$11+$0.40$0
Will the Democrats win Mahoning County in the Ohio Senate race in 2026?Yes1564¢68.5¢$10+$0.68$0
Next Google Gemini Flash-Lite Model (3.6+) released by November 30, 2026?No2025¢50¢$9.87+$4.93$0
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Kansas Attorney General election?Yes2041¢46.5¢$9.30+$1.10$0
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-10 House election by 15%-20%?Yes5011.3¢17.5¢$8.72+$3.08$0
Will the Republicans win Clark County in the Nevada governor race in 2026?Yes6012.8¢13.5¢$8.07+$0.39$0
Will Kristian Horvath win the next Sorell mayoral election?Yes2028¢35.5¢$7.10+$1.50$0
Will Steve Martin win the next Devonport mayoral election?Yes2028¢29¢$5.79+$0.20$0
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-10 House election by 0%-5%?Yes5010¢10¢$5.00$0$0
Will the Republicans win Mahoning County in the Ohio Senate race in 2026?Yes1523¢30.5¢$4.58+$1.13$0
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-10 House election?Yes506.1¢8.6¢$4.28+$1.23$0
Will Susan Stevenson win the 2026 London mayoral election?Yes273.8¢13¢$3.51+$2.48$0
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-10 House election by 20%-25%?Yes504.1¢6.1¢$3.02+$0.97$0
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 21, 2026?Yes457.3¢6.6¢$2.95−$0.31$0
Will Chris Leahy win the 2026 Whitby mayoral election?Yes2014¢13.5¢$2.70−$0.10$0
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-10 House election by 25%-30%?Yes507.1¢5.3¢$2.65−$0.89$0
Will Su Ching-chuan win the next Pingtung County Magistrate election?Yes2014¢12.5¢$2.50−$0.30$0
Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of October 2026?Yes331¢88¢$2.24+$1.45+$27
Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 50+ bps at the December interest rate announcement?Yes1001.2¢2.1¢$2.10+$0.90$0
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-10 House election by 30% or more?Yes504.8¢3.6¢$1.80−$0.60$0
Will Russia target Kyiv on October 17, 2026?Yes1088¢10.9¢$1.09−$7.71$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
SELL YesWill the Central Bank of Colombia increase the monetary policy interest rate by 25 bps at the October meeting?36¢40$1472%75Sharp
BUY YesWill the Republicans win Leavenworth County in the Kansas Senate race in 2026?74¢67$5072%75Sharp
BUY YesWill the Democrats win Leavenworth County in the Kansas Senate race in 2026?20¢67$1372%75Sharp
BUY YesWill the Republicans win Macomb County in the Michigan Senate race in 2026?62¢75$4772%75Sharp
BUY YesWill the Democrats win Macomb County in the Michigan Senate race in 2026?31¢75$2372%75Sharp
BUY YesWill the Republicans win Washoe County in the Nevada governor race in 2026?24¢60$1472%75Sharp
BUY YesWill the Democrats win Washoe County in the Nevada governor race in 2026?68¢60$4172%75Sharp
BUY YesWill the Democrats win Washoe County in the Nevada governor race in 2026?68¢20$1472%75Sharp
BUY YesWill the Republicans win Washoe County in the Nevada governor race in 2026?23¢20$4.6072%75Sharp
BUY YesWill the Republicans win Washoe County in the Nevada governor race in 2026?23¢93$2172%75Sharp
BUY YesWill the Democrats win Washoe County in the Nevada governor race in 2026?67¢93$6372%75Sharp
BUY YesWill the Republicans win Leavenworth County in the Kansas Senate race in 2026?74¢20$1572%75Sharp
BUY YesWill the Democrats win Leavenworth County in the Kansas Senate race in 2026?20¢20$4.0072%75Sharp
BUY YesWill the Republicans win Leavenworth County in the Kansas Senate race in 2026?74¢50$3772%75Sharp
BUY YesWill the Democrats win Leavenworth County in the Kansas Senate race in 2026?20¢50$1072%75Sharp
BUY YesWill the Republicans win Macomb County in the Michigan Senate race in 2026?62¢20$1272%75Sharp
BUY YesWill the Democrats win Macomb County in the Michigan Senate race in 2026?26¢20$5.2072%75Sharp
BUY YesWill the Republicans win Macomb County in the Michigan Senate race in 2026?63¢130$8272%75Sharp
BUY YesWill the Democrats win Macomb County in the Michigan Senate race in 2026?28¢130$3672%75Sharp
BUY YesWill the Democrats win Leavenworth County in the Kansas Senate race in 2026?22¢212$4772%75Sharp