Traders/Unranked

idl

0x726…6bfd

SharpWR 60+PoliticsCulture

Polymarket

PnL all-time+$4,132vol $149k

PnL 30d+$1,763gains $1,870 · losses $2,014

PnL 7d−$599win rate 7d 42.9%

Win rate65.4%adj 64.8% · 30d 44.5%

Open value$8,007cash n/a

Positions72 / 924open / all-time

Max drawdown−15.5%of equity peak

Account age8molast trade 9h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$6,061below peak −$641Oct 12

SharpScore inputs

72/ 100 SharpScore · v1

Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale52

Adjusted win rateraw 65.4% · shrunk toward 50%62

Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable99

Recencylast trade; fades over 30d99

Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity85

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Will Taylor Swift release an album in 2026? · Noopen+$1,004 Will Trump say "Soaking Wet" in August? · Noclosed+$307 Will Trump say "Jerusalem" in August? · Noclosed+$252 Will Elon post "Never" on X this week? · Noclosed+$237 Will ECDSA.fail get at least 50% ahead of Google’s classified circuit by June 30, 2026? · Noclosed+$235

Worst markets

Will Trump Mobile release a phone by June 30, 2026? · Noclosed−$261 Will Trump say "Nasty" during White House Correspondents Dinner? · Noclosed−$200 Will Trump say "Future President" in July? · Noclosed−$166 Will Trump say "Incompetent" this week? · Noclosed−$144 Will Trump say "Shit" in August? · Noclosed−$138

Open positions · 72

Market	Outcome		Avg entry	Now			Realized	Ends
Will Taylor Swift release an album in 2026?	No	2,840	29.1¢	64.5¢	$1,832	+$1,004	$0	3mo
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	No	1,616	55.4¢	52.5¢	$848	−$48	$0	ended
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	1,129	55.4¢	52¢	$586	−$39	−$2.29	ended
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?	Yes	706	60.3¢	61.5¢	$434	+$8.43	−$8.42	22d 9h
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	No	609	63¢	62.5¢	$381	−$3.04	−$30	22d 9h
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	455	71.1¢	70.5¢	$321	−$2.78	$0	22d 9h
Will Zohran Mamdani be TIME Person of the Year 2026?	No	402	71¢	71.5¢	$288	+$1.91	$0	3mo
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	406	63¢	62.5¢	$254	−$2.03	$0	22d 9h
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	251	91¢	90.5¢	$227	−$1.25	$0	22d 9h
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	Yes	425	61.8¢	44.7¢	$190	−$72	$0	3mo
Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?	No	515	28¢	36.5¢	$188	+$44	$0	22d 9h
Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?	No	305	62¢	60.5¢	$184	−$4.57	−$1.17	22d 9h
Will Trump say "Visa" in October?	No	366	42.3¢	50.3¢	$184	+$29	$0	19d 9h
Will the Republican Party win the NC-11 House seat?	No	204	67¢	75¢	$153	+$16	$0	22d 9h
Google matches Anthropic's evaluator commitment by October 31?	No	180	63¢	82.5¢	$149	+$35	$0	19d 9h
Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?	No	160	75¢	84¢	$134	+$14	$0	3mo
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	No	153	69¢	70.5¢	$108	+$2.30	$0	22d 9h
Will Taylor Swift release "Taylor Swift (Taylor's Version)" in 2026?	No	180	65.8¢	59¢	$106	−$12	$0	3mo
Will Lil Uzi Vert release an album in 2026?	Yes	293	58.2¢	36¢	$105	−$65	$0	3mo
Will Trump say "Airbus" in October?	No	110	33.5¢	75¢	$83	+$46	$0	19d 9h
Will anyone insult Donald Trump during the 2026 Emmy Awards?	No	90	56.7¢	91¢	$82	+$31	$0	ended
Will the Republican Party win the TX-15 House seat?	No	101	64¢	80.5¢	$82	+$17	$0	22d 9h
Will Logan Paul return to the WWE ring before October 31, 2026?	No	74	56.6¢	93.8¢	$69	+$28	+$23	19d 9h
Will Jay Z release an album in 2026?	No	82	53.7¢	76.5¢	$63	+$19	$0	3mo
Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	166	36¢	36.5¢	$61	+$0.83	$0	22d 9h
US imports Russian diesel by October 31?	No	71	57.6¢	77.5¢	$55	+$14	$0	19d 9h
Will the Democrats win the Vermont governor race in 2026?	Yes	222	26.3¢	23.7¢	$53	−$5.83	$0	22d 9h
Will Nettspend be featured on GTA VI: The Album?	No	55	42.6¢	90.5¢	$50	+$27	+$17	44d 9h
Will the Democratic Party win the TX-15 House seat?	Yes	56	69¢	79.5¢	$44	+$5.85	$0	22d 9h
Will there be Houthi military action against Israel by October 31, 2026?	No	43	49¢	94.7¢	$41	+$20	$0	18d 9h
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,000 (LOW) in December?	No	46	69¢	81.5¢	$37	+$5.74	$0	3mo
Will Trump say "Chicken" in October?	No	50	53¢	74¢	$37	+$11	$0	19d 9h
Anthony Fauci charged by December 31?	No	42	54.4¢	87.5¢	$37	+$14	+$126	3mo
Any of the Cornell 7 charged with a felony sex crime?	No	51	71¢	71.5¢	$36	+$0.25	$0	4mo
Will the US federal government take a stake in Anduril Industries, Inc.?	No	45	64.1¢	78.5¢	$35	+$6.49	$0	3mo
Will Kodak Black be featured on GTA VI: The Album?	Yes	40	58¢	84¢	$34	+$10	$0	44d 9h
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	No	40	65¢	71.5¢	$29	+$2.60	$0	22d 9h
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	No	103	29¢	27.5¢	$28	−$1.54	$0	22d 9h
Will Trump say "Caterpillar" in October?	No	61	60.4¢	44.5¢	$27	−$9.61	$0	19d 9h
Will Playboi Carti release an album in 2026?	Yes	85	20.1¢	31.5¢	$27	+$9.67	+$48	3mo
Will "Digger" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	30	71¢	81¢	$24	+$3.00	$0	3mo
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	100	30¢	23.5¢	$24	−$6.50	$0	3mo
Will Trump say "Ferrari" in October?	No	30	50¢	76.5¢	$23	+$7.95	$0	19d 9h
Will STRC hit $100 by December 31?	Yes	26	80¢	85.5¢	$22	+$1.43	$0	3mo
Will France pass a national budget by December 31?	No	41	68¢	52.5¢	$21	−$6.28	$0	3mo
Will "GTA VI: The Album" first week sales be at least 25k?	Yes	20	74¢	89.5¢	$18	+$3.10	$0	3mo
Will JAY-Z release a new song in 2026?	No	33	21.2¢	53.5¢	$18	+$11	$0	3mo
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026?	No	20	69¢	80.5¢	$16	+$2.33	$0	3mo
Will Trump say "TikTok" or "ByteDance" in October?	Yes	30	24¢	52¢	$16	+$8.40	$0	19d 9h
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	No	20	69¢	74¢	$15	+$1.01	−$17	22d 9h
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by October 31?	No	16	51¢	91.5¢	$15	+$6.60	$0	19d 9h
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	20	63¢	63.5¢	$13	+$0.10	−$15	22d 9h
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026?	No	13	80¢	92¢	$12	+$1.58	$0	3mo
Will Bruce Blakeman win Nassau County in the New York governor race in 2026?	Yes	20	59¢	58¢	$12	−$0.20	$0	21d 9h
Will Trump say "Dancing in the Street" in October?	Yes	30	27¢	38¢	$11	+$3.30	$0	18d 9h
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?	No	53	20.5¢	20.5¢	$11	+$0.03	$0	22d 9h
Will Russia capture Bilytske by December 31, 2026?	Yes	10	71¢	79.5¢	$7.95	+$0.85	$0	3mo
Will Frank Ocean release a new song in 2026?	No	10	80¢	79.5¢	$7.95	−$0.05	$0	3mo
Meta's Watermelon released by October 31, 2026?	Yes	10	59¢	75¢	$7.62	+$1.63	$0	18d 9h
Will NYC have less than 3 inches of precipitation in October?	No	10	56¢	66.5¢	$6.80	+$1.07	$0	3mo
Meta's Watermelon released by October 15, 2026?	No	11	51.4¢	55.5¢	$6.20	+$0.45	$0	3d 9h
Trump meets with Putin by December 31?	Yes	5	0¢	80.5¢	$4.03	+$4.03	$0	3mo
Will Nicki Minaj release a new song in 2026?	No	10	20.9¢	38.9¢	$3.82	+$1.77	$0	3mo
Will Werner Pretorius be the next mayor of Mangaung?	No	5	57¢	65.5¢	$3.27	+$0.42	$0	23d 9h
Will Todd Achilles win the Idaho Senate race in 2026?	Yes	69	5.5¢	4¢	$2.74	−$1.03	$0	22d 9h
Will Russia enter Khatnie by December 31, 2026?	No	4	70¢	71.5¢	$2.60	+$0.05	$0	3mo
Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?	Yes	11	32¢	21.5¢	$2.28	−$1.11	$0	22d 9h
Will SpaceXAI officially rename itself to SpaceXSI by October 15?	No	628	18.1¢	0¢	$0	−$114	−$3.58	3d 9h
Will Trump say "FedEx" in October?	No	121	50¢	0¢	$0	−$61	−$1.21	19d 9h
Will Elon post "Border" on X this week?	Yes	62	22.5¢	0¢	$0	−$14	−$0.43	ended
Will Benedita da Silva win the most votes in the 2026 Rio de Janeiro Senate election?	Yes	45	62¢	0¢	$0	−$28	−$0.42	ended
Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	26	21.1¢	0¢	$0	−$5.49	−$0.22	6mo

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s

Time	Side	Market	Price	Shares	Value	Trader WR	Sharp	Flags
9h ago	BUY No	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	63¢	203	$128	65%	72	Sharp
9h ago	BUY No	Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	69¢	153	$106	65%	72	Sharp
9h ago	BUY No	Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?	62¢	102	$63	65%	72	Sharp
9h ago	BUY No	Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?	62¢	203	$126	65%	72	Sharp
9h ago	BUY No	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	63¢	102	$64	65%	72	Sharp
9h ago	BUY No	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	63¢	51	$32	65%	72	Sharp
22h ago	BUY No	Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?	20.5¢	53	$11	65%	72	Sharp
1d ago	SELL No	Will SpaceXAI officially rename itself to SpaceXSI by October 31?	10¢	40	$4.00	65%	72	Sharp
1d ago	SELL No	Will SpaceXAI officially rename itself to SpaceXSI by October 31?	12¢	54	$6.48	65%	72	Sharp
1d ago	SELL No	Will SpaceXAI officially rename itself to SpaceXSI by October 31?	12¢	68	$8.16	65%	72	Sharp
1d ago	SELL No	Will SpaceXAI officially rename itself to SpaceXSI by October 31?	13¢	36	$4.68	65%	72	Sharp
1d ago	BUY No	Will SpaceXAI officially rename itself to SpaceXSI by October 15?	18¢	300	$54	65%	72	Sharp
1d ago	BUY No	Will SpaceXAI officially rename itself to SpaceXSI by October 15?	19¢	41	$7.85	65%	72	Sharp
1d ago	BUY No	Will SpaceXAI officially rename itself to SpaceXSI by October 15?	18¢	56	$10	65%	72	Sharp
1d ago	BUY No	Will SpaceXAI officially rename itself to SpaceXSI by October 15?	20¢	146	$29	65%	72	Sharp
1d ago	BUY No	Will NYC have less than 3 inches of precipitation in October?	56¢	10	$5.72	65%	72	Sharp
1d ago	BUY No	Will SpaceXAI officially rename itself to SpaceXSI by October 15?	16¢	25	$4.00	65%	72	Sharp
1d ago	BUY No	Will SpaceXAI officially rename itself to SpaceXSI by October 31?	12.6¢	747	$94	65%	72	Sharp
1d ago	BUY No	Will SpaceXAI officially rename itself to SpaceXSI by October 15?	15¢	30	$4.50	65%	72	Sharp
1d ago	SELL Yes	Will SpaceXAI officially rename itself to SpaceXSI by October 31?	89.3¢	152	$136	65%	72	Sharp