sharpside
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Traders/Rank #3,113

0x727…a67d

0x727…a67d
PnL 10k+WR 80+WR 70+WR 60+1y+PoliticsOtherCulture
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$21.0kvol $123k
PnL 30d+$3,394gains $3,722 · losses $0
PnL 7d+$630win rate 7d 100.0%
Win rate90.6%adj 79.5% · 30d 100.0%
Open value$5,804cash n/a
Positions46 / 100open / all-time
Max drawdown−28.6%of equity peak
Account age1.6ylast trade 2d ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$21.6kbelow peak −$337Oct 13

SharpScore inputs

68/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale62
Adjusted win rateraw 90.6% · shrunk toward 50%99
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable67
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d91
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity71

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 46

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?No2,00063.5¢86.5¢$1,730+$459$0
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?No1,00079¢93.5¢$935+$145$0
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 17, 2026?No1,00019¢72.5¢$725+$535$0
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 24, 2026?No7959.9¢56.5¢$449+$371$0
Pakistan military action against Afghanistan by November 15, 2026?Yes50062¢75¢$375+$65$0
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?Yes1,00031¢24.5¢$245−$65$0
Iran leadership change by December 31?Yes2,00016¢10.5¢$210−$110$0
Will "Whalefall" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 8m?No37237¢42.5¢$158+$20$0
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?No50027¢27.5¢$137+$2.50$0
Will Core CPI YoY be 2.5% in September?No20165¢63.5¢$128−$3.02$0
Will "You Can See Everything" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 7m?No33229¢37.5¢$124+$28$0
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? (copy)Yes86246¢13.5¢$116−$280$0
Will Democrats sweep the Minnesota Senate and Governor elections?No1,00011¢10.5¢$105−$5.00$0
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?Yes50039¢19.5¢$97−$97$0
Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026?No1,00030¢7¢$70−$230$0
No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the November 2026 meeting?No18016¢26.5¢$48+$19$0
Will Saudi Arabia recognize Israel by December 31?Yes1,0008¢2.6¢$26−$54$0
Will "You Can See Everything" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 3m?Yes1,0006.4¢2.6¢$26−$38$0
Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 15?Yes20037¢9¢$18−$56$0
Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the November 2026 meeting?Yes7113.6¢24.9¢$18+$7.99$0
Iran leadership change by October 31?Yes1,0006¢1.7¢$17−$44$0
Cornell President out by October 31?Yes5006¢3.1¢$16−$15$0
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NC-12 House election by 55%-60%?No2061.4¢59.4¢$12−$0.40$0
Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amapá?Yes725¢12¢$8.58+$5.01$0
Will UK annual inflation be between 3.1% and 3.3% in September?Yes2820¢22¢$6.16+$0.56$0
Will the total domestic gross for Resident Evil be between 150m and 160m by October 31?No11044¢3.8¢$4.17−$44$0
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes2,00035¢0¢$0−$700$0
Will Elon tag @realDonaldTrump on X in July?Yes1,00042¢0¢$0−$420$0
No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?Yes1,00010¢0¢$0−$100$0
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by December 31?Yes1,00020¢0¢$0−$200$0
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes1,0002¢0¢$0−$20$0
Will a Chinese AI model become #1 in 2025? Yes69814.3¢0¢$0−$100$0
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Yes50019¢0¢$0−$95$0
Will "BbY WOW - KAROL G, Judeline, rusowsky" be the #1 song this week?Yes50025.6¢0¢$0−$128$0
Grok 5 released by December 31?Yes40040¢0¢$0−$160$0
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations in 2025?Yes38725.9¢0¢$0−$100$0
Will Andrew Yang join the America Party?Yes35827.9¢0¢$0−$100$0
Will Google have the top AI model on September 30?No3005.3¢0¢$0−$16$0
Will Leila do Vôlei win the second-most votes in the 2026 Federal District Senate election?Yes20025¢0¢$0−$50−$1.50
Will Taylor Swift be the top Spotify artist for 2025?Yes16612¢0¢$0−$20$0
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Yes10040¢0¢$0−$40$0
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by October 31?Yes1007¢0¢$0−$7.00$0
US congress stock trading ban in 2025?Yes10013¢0¢$0−$13$0
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes443.5¢0¢$0−$1.53$0
Will Trump attend UFC 320?Yes1615¢0¢$0−$2.42$0
Will the Trump and Xi handshake last 2–6 seconds during their summit?No1653¢0¢$0−$8.48−$0.16

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY YesWill UK annual inflation be between 3.1% and 3.3% in September?20¢28$5.6091%68
BUY YesWill Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amapá?5¢72$3.5891%68
BUY YesWill "You Can See Everything" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 3m?6.4¢1$0.0391%68
BUY NoWill "Whalefall" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 8m?37¢272$10191%68
BUY NoWill "You Can See Everything" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 7m?29¢332$9691%68
BUY NoWill Democrats sweep the Minnesota Senate and Governor elections?11¢1,000$11091%68
BUY YesPerim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 15?37¢8$3.1491%68
BUY YesReserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the November 2026 meeting?13.6¢71$9.6691%68
BUY NoWill Core CPI YoY be 2.5% in September?65¢144$9491%68
BUY NoWill "Other Mommy" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 30m and 33m?69¢500$34591%68
BUY YesPakistan military action against Afghanistan by November 15, 2026?62¢382$23791%68
BUY NoWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NC-12 House election by 55%-60%?61.4¢20$1291%68
BUY YesCornell President out by October 31?6¢500$3091%68
BUY NoNo change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the November 2026 meeting?16¢180$2991%68
BUY NoWill Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?27¢500$13591%68
BUY NoNext Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 24, 2026?7¢470$3391%68
BUY NoNext Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 17, 2026?19¢357$6891%68
BUY NoNext Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 24, 2026?14¢325$4691%68
BUY YesBillionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?31¢1,000$31091%68
BUY NoWill the total domestic gross for Resident Evil be between 150m and 160m by October 31?44¢110$4891%68