PnL all-time+$111kvol $3.35M
PnL 30d+$2,000gains $26 · losses $0
PnL 7d+$1,244win rate 7d 100.0%
Win rate73.3%adj 69.6% · 30d 100.0%
Open value$41.5kcash n/a
Positions6 / 112open / all-time
Max drawdown−16.9%of equity peak
Account age1.7ylast trade 4mo ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$116kbelow peak −$54Oct 11
SharpScore inputs
60/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale72
Adjusted win rateraw 73.3% · shrunk toward 50%74
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable68
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity83
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City? · Yesclosed+$21.6kWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? · Yesclosed+$18.7kWill Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland? · Noclosed+$14.1kWill George Simion win the Romanian presidential election? · Yesclosed+$11.2kWill Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland? · Yesclosed+$11.1k
Worst markets
Will Jorge “Tuto” Quiroga win the most votes in the first round of the 2025 Bolivia presidential election? · Yesclosed−$16.4kWill voter turnout in the 2025 Romanian presidential election be 12m or more? · Yesclosed−$3,318Will Anca Alexandrescu finish second in the 2025 Bucharest mayoral by-election? · Noclosed−$3,126Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? · Noclosed−$2,318Will Mamdani get over 50% of the vote in the general mayoral election? · Noclosed−$1,929
Open positions · 6
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | No | 35.8k | 86.4¢ | 97.8¢ | $35.0k | +$4,063 | +$2,588 | |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 4,892 | 38.2¢ | 87.9¢ | $4,302 | +$2,433 | $0 | |
| US takes Panama Canal before 2027? | No | 2,253 | 89.6¢ | 97.5¢ | $2,197 | +$179 | +$45 | |
| Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 4,147 | 21.6¢ | 0.5¢ | $23 | −$874 | $0 | |
| Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 17.7k | 0.4¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$68 | −$2.13 | |
| Will Geraldo Alckmin finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 1,418 | 0.2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$2.84 | $0 |
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