sharpside
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Traders/Rank #2,839

LukiB

0x730…d448
SharpWhalePnL 10k+WR 80+WR 70+WR 60+Politics
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$11.8kvol $633k
PnL 30d+$412gains $116 · losses $0
PnL 7d+$146win rate 7d 100.0%
Win rate81.3%adj 75.0% · 30d 100.0%
Open value$39.5kcash n/a
Positions18 / 99open / all-time
Max drawdown−9.4%of equity peak
Account age8molast trade 1d ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$14.0kbelow peak $0Oct 10

SharpScore inputs

70/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale58
Adjusted win rateraw 81.3% · shrunk toward 50%88
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable67
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d95
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity91

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 18

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Iran Nuke before 2027?No11.3k93.8¢96.3¢$10.9k+$279$0
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?No5,00097.2¢97¢$4,848−$13$0
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseNo5,00092¢91.5¢$4,575−$25$0
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?No4,60084¢85¢$3,910+$46$0
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?No3,11385.2¢97¢$3,019+$368$0
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes3,25063.7¢87.5¢$2,844+$774$0
Will Harry Kane finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes2,70097¢97¢$2,618−$1.35$0
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No2,99377.1¢84.5¢$2,529+$222+$502
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Yes2,50079¢80.5¢$2,012+$37$0
Iran leadership change by December 31?No1,50067¢88.5¢$1,328+$323+$430
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?No1,00081¢93.5¢$935+$125$0
Will Pau Cubarsi finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No3598.9¢98.4¢$34−$0.19$0
Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes20.0k0.5¢0¢$0−$100−$2.98
Will Trump Insult Xi this week?Yes2,8002.1¢0¢$0−$59−$2.33
US forces enter Iran by December 31?No1,00031¢0¢$0−$310$0
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?No50084¢0¢$0−$420−$275
US forces enter Iran by April 30?No17045.2¢0¢$0−$77+$56
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 28, 2026?Yes10088¢0¢$0−$88$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY NoWill Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?99.6¢2,500$2,49081%70Sharp
BUY NoWill Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?99.6¢3,000$2,98881%70Sharp
BUY NoWill Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?99.6¢6,000$5,97681%70Sharp
BUY NoWill Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?99.5¢9,512$9,46581%70Sharp
BUY NoIran Nuke before 2027?96.5¢6,300$6,08081%70Sharp
BUY NoWill Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?97.2¢5,000$4,86081%70Sharp
BUY NoWill Pau Cubarsi finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?98.9¢35$3581%70Sharp
BUY No2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House92¢5,000$4,60081%70Sharp
SELL NoWill Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?24¢254$6181%70Sharp
BUY NoWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?71¢1,000$71081%70Sharp
BUY NoKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?99.1¢363$36081%70Sharp
SELL NoStarmer out by December 31, 2026?4¢500$2081%70Sharp
BUY YesWill Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?0.5¢20.0k$10081%70Sharp
BUY NoWill Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?89¢750$66881%70Sharp
BUY NoWill Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?88.7¢1,250$1,10981%70Sharp
BUY NoFriedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?81¢51$4281%70Sharp
BUY NoWill Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?75.5¢35$2681%70Sharp
BUY NoWill Cristiano Ronaldo be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?95.7¢220$21081%70Sharp
BUY YesStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?63¢750$47381%70Sharp
BUY NoWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?89¢1,000$89081%70Sharp