PnL all-time−$111vol $25.0k
PnL 30d$0gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d$0win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate80.0%adj 66.7% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$110cash n/a
Positions7 / 33open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age1.1ylast trade 10mo ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL−$111below peak −$1,011Oct 14
SharpScore inputs
20/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 80.0% · shrunk toward 50%67
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable51
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will Rodrigo Paz win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election? · Yesclosed+$434Will the Government shutdown end October 15+? · Yesclosed+$231Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31? · Yesclosed+$136Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with China in October? · Noclosed+$94Will the federal government be shut down for 4–9 days in 2025? · Noclosed+$53
Worst markets
Will China lift rare earths export ban by December 31? · Noopen−$499Will Trump meet with Putin by November 30? · Yesopen−$236Will Trump and Putin meet next in another EU country? · Yesopen−$200Will Henrique Gouveia e Melo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election? · Yesopen−$179Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Canada in October? · Yesclosed−$104
Open positions · 1
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Argentina"? | No | 110 | 85.7¢ | 100¢ | $110 | +$16 | $0 |
Recent trades
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