PnL all-time−$5,726vol $59.6k
PnL 30d$0gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d$0win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate38.9%adj 44.7% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$822cash n/a
Positions2 / 20open / all-time
Max drawdown−99.4%of equity peak
Account age9molast trade 8mo ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL−$5,726below peak −$5,691Oct 12
SharpScore inputs
8/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 38.9% · shrunk toward 50%12
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable43
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity1
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 2 to February 4, 2026? · Noclosed+$54Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026? · Yesclosed+$46Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026? · Yesclosed+$37Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair? · Noopen+$27US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? · Noclosed+$10
Worst markets
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026? · Noclosed−$2,753Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026? · Yesclosed−$2,536Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026? · Yesclosed−$136Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026? · Yesclosed−$109Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026? · Yesclosed−$97
Open positions · 2
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair? | No | 822 | 96.7¢ | 100¢ | $822 | +$27 | $0 | |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C or higher on February 5? | Yes | 340 | 0.3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1.02 | $0 |
Recent trades
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