PnL all-time+$2,591vol $3.39M
PnL 30d+$1,104gains $971 · losses $250
PnL 7d+$295win rate 7d 69.4%
Win rate73.0%adj 72.1% · 30d 70.7%
Open value$3,312cash n/a
Positions8 / 1,175open / all-time
Max drawdown−9.5%of equity peak
Account age8molast trade 4h ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$4,082below peak $0Oct 9
SharpScore inputs
76/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale49
Adjusted win rateraw 73.0% · shrunk toward 50%80
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d99
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity91
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 9? · Noclosed+$57Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 2? · Yesclosed+$40Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 1? · Yesclosed+$39Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 15? · Yesclosed+$38Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 18? · Yesclosed+$37
Worst markets
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C or higher on August 13? · Noclosed−$401Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 19? · Noclosed−$62Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? · Noclosed−$40Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 2? · Noclosed−$36Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 28? · Yesclosed−$34
Open positions · 8
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 10? | Yes | 1,500 | 98.3¢ | 98.9¢ | $1,483 | +$8.69 | −$0.34 | |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 11? | Yes | 959 | 99.1¢ | 99.4¢ | $953 | +$2.40 | $0 | |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 10? | Yes | 475 | 99.4¢ | 99.8¢ | $474 | +$1.66 | +$3.57 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026? | No | 232 | 98.3¢ | 98.3¢ | $228 | −$0.21 | $0 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on October 10? | No | 200 | 61.9¢ | 52¢ | $104 | −$20 | $0 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on October 10? | No | 73 | 94.1¢ | 97.7¢ | $71 | +$2.55 | $0 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? | Yes | 2,800 | 0.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$2.80 | −$0.14 | |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on September 17? | No | 100 | 0.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$0.10 | −$0.01 |
Recent trades
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