sharpside
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Traders/Rank #6,115

Tony108

0x741…f96f
SharpWR 80+WR 70+WR 60+1y+SportWeatherPolitics
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$257vol $54.8k
PnL 30d+$96gains $125 · losses $0
PnL 7d+$7.95win rate 7d 100.0%
Win rate96.1%adj 93.3% · 30d 100.0%
Open value$4,624cash n/a
Positions37 / 347open / all-time
Max drawdown−12.9%of equity peak
Account age2.2ylast trade 18h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$285below peak $0Oct 14

SharpScore inputs

78/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale34
Adjusted win rateraw 96.1% · shrunk toward 50%100
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable85
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d97
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity87

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 37

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?No1,37399.5¢99.7¢$1,368+$2.33$0
Deel IPO before 2027?No19496¢99.6¢$193+$6.89$0
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.25% or lower before 2027?No19695.1¢98.4¢$193+$6.28$0
Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?No19695.2¢98.4¢$193+$6.17$0
Xi Jinping out before 2027?No19695.1¢97.2¢$190+$4.02$0
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.5% or lower before 2027?No19595.3¢97.6¢$190+$4.39$0
Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027?No19496¢97.2¢$189+$2.33$0
Iran nuclear test before 2027?No19496¢95.2¢$185−$1.55$0
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?No19496¢93.5¢$181−$4.85$0
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on October 14?No8199.9¢100¢$81+$0.04$0
Will the Democrats win the Michigan governor race in 2026?Yes6694.3¢95.5¢$63+$0.75$0
Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?No6892¢93¢$63+$0.68$0
Will the Republicans win the Michigan governor race in 2026?No6694.8¢95.6¢$63+$0.49$0
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?No6595.7¢96.3¢$63+$0.36$0
Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026?Yes6892¢92.5¢$63+$0.34$0
Will the Republicans win the Idaho Senate race in 2026?Yes6694.9¢95.3¢$63+$0.29$0
Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?Yes6891¢91.5¢$62+$0.34$0
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 28 or 29 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections?No6497.2¢97.5¢$62+$0.19$0
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes6595.9¢96.3¢$62+$0.23$0
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No6497.9¢98¢$62+$0.06$0
Will the Democrats win the Florida Senate race in 2026?No6892¢91.5¢$62−$0.34$0
Will the Republicans win the Georgia Senate race in 2026?No6496.9¢96.3¢$62−$0.42$0
Will the Democrats win the Rhode Island governor race in 2026?Yes6497.9¢97¢$62−$0.59$0
Will the Republicans win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026?No6496.8¢95.8¢$61−$0.67$0
Will the Democrats win the Georgia Senate race in 2026?Yes6497.3¢96.2¢$61−$0.73$0
Will the Republicans win the Massachusetts governor race in 2026?No6496.8¢95.7¢$61−$0.74$0
Will the Democrats win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026?Yes6497.3¢95.8¢$61−$0.96$0
Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026?Yes6892¢90.5¢$61−$1.01$0
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseNo6793¢91.5¢$61−$1.00$0
Will the Republican Party hold between 220 and 224 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?No6398.4¢96.4¢$61−$1.30$0
Will the Republicans win the New York governor race in 2026?No6496.9¢94.8¢$61−$1.32$0
Will the Democrats win the New York governor race in 2026?Yes6497¢94.4¢$61−$1.67$0
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?No6793¢90.5¢$60−$1.67$0
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes6793¢90.5¢$60−$1.67$0
Will the Republicans win the Arizona governor race in 2026?No6891¢88.5¢$60−$1.71$0
Will the Democrats win the Arizona governor race in 2026?Yes6892¢88.5¢$60−$2.37$0
Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?No5998.6¢98.9¢$58+$0.16$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on October 14?99.9¢81$8196%78Sharp
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 13?99.9¢81$8196%78Sharp
BUY NoWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?99.4¢649$64596%78Sharp
BUY NoWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?99.3¢116$11596%78Sharp
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on October 12?98.7¢77$7696%78Sharp
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on October 10?99.8¢293$29296%78Sharp
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 10?99.5¢220$21996%78Sharp
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 10?99.4¢20$2096%78Sharp
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on October 10?99.8¢50$5096%78Sharp
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on October 9?99.9¢233$23396%78Sharp
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on October 9?99.6¢15$1596%78Sharp
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on October 9?99.8¢10$9.5396%78Sharp
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 8?98.6¢149$14796%78Sharp
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 8?99.9¢1$0.6296%78Sharp
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 8?98.5¢66$6596%78Sharp
BUY NoWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on October 8?97¢41$4096%78Sharp
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on October 7?99.5¢9$8.9696%78Sharp
BUY YesWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on October 7?99.9¢206$20596%78Sharp
BUY YesWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on October 7?99.6¢10$9.9696%78Sharp
BUY YesWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on October 7?99.5¢10$9.9596%78Sharp